For starters Lance was given a draft grade of 6.47 by NFL.com. That's not horrible and they compare him to Josh Allen. I remember when Allen came out, I saw two comparisons and Bills' fans ran with them. Brett Farve and Big Ben. Two guys who are gunslingers that throw a lot of interceptions. So if NFL.com is the standard, that's a double edge sword to me. I have heard some fans compare him to Cam Newton and that's even worse but let's continue.
In 19 he completed 65.4% on 318 passes, for 2947 yards. Throwing for 30 touchdowns and 1 interceptions. Rushed for 18 touchdowns, averaging 6.9 yards on 192 carries.
Before I continue, I should note that in my research, Lance was off-target on seven or eight passes in a controlled environment, which Belichick was surely to notice if he noticed the one errant pass by Mac Jones.
Lance stands 6'4" 225lbs, so good size for a quarterback. That's a plus. Intelligent with good work ethic. Fools defenses with play fakes. Runs RPOs and play-actions. Can play under center. Makes calls and adjustments at the line but wasn't required or asked to and not up to a NFL level. Can run pro-style offense but ran majority half-field reads or 2 read progressions and quite simplistic spread and air raid concepts by design.
Goes through progressions when protected.
Too many designed one read and scramble plays. Adjusts post snap, goes through progressions but shows Indecisive decision making. Leaving throws on the field. Can be overly cautious at times. Occasionally throws balls low or in the dirt due to bad footwork.
Can stand in the pocket and take hits but doesn't always trust his lineman. Can escape the pocket but has an inconsistent pocket presence. Gets distracted by pressure, and will occasionally drop eyes or hear footsteps when facing blitzes. Shows some elusiveness in the pocket but quick to scramble instead of moving around the pocket.
Field General spreads the ball around but occasionally has below average reaction time. Throws to the underneath guy with inconsistent accuracy and occasionally eliminates y.a.c. potential on short throws. Keeps his eyes downfield and pushes the ball downfield aggressively. Will throw through tight windows.
Doesn't turn the ball over but there are enough near turnovers on tape. Can throw around 70 yards and sometimes trusts his arm too much. Puts air under the ball, and delivers a catchable throw but has Inconsistent deep-ball strength and accuracy.
Leads receivers but with frequently bad ball placement. Tendency to throw to bubbles, needs more development in the accuracy department or needs athletic pass catchers with large wingspans. Throws with good zip. Understands coverages and can pick a part zone coverage. Looks off defender but will occasionally lock onto his receiver and alert defenders, like a cook ringing the dinner bell.
Can throw timing routes but they were limited designed timing routes and read throws. Occasionally good anticipatory throws but not an anticipation thrower. Can throw with touch. Good quick release to go with the occasionally late release. Makes sideline throws when there.
Duel threat playmaker, has to be accounted for. Improvises, especially when play breaks down. Has good strength throwing but only average accuracy on the run and can throw off balance. Sometimes trusts his legs too much. Willingness to scramble and fully commits once decided. Hard to tackle due to ability and frame.
Has running back speed, athleticism, power, and vision. Must be viewed as a second and short yard running back at all times. Has ability to convert positions, play the wildcat or run gadget plays.
Will take off if his target is covered. Is better scrambling to his right. Lowers shoulder to pickup extra yards and tries to run over defenders. Needs to learn how to slide as a runner. Didnt fumble on the college level but has shown bad ball security as a runner.
Has tremendous upside but is raw and highly inexperienced, due to lack of game time experience. Opted out after one bad game in 2020. Has limited tape evaluation due to offensive scheme and limited attempts, averaging under 20 attempts per game. Played mainly weak defenses. Didn't test well out of high school and declined to run the 40 yard dash at pro-day. Suffered at times from the same accuracy issues Newton suffered from in his lone year as a Patriot.
Shows Good hip alignment in his mechanics but that's about it. Worked on his footwork and has shown ability to reset feet. Needs to improve fundamentals. Footwork is in need of development. Plays occasionally with wide stance. Habit of throwing without setting feet. Footwork can be lazy. Mechanics need improvement. Throws with a windup that could lead to turnovers. Loose throwing motion. Mechanics causes a quick but flat trajectory. Mechanics hurt zip and accuracy. Keeps the ball low. Can he change his motion successfully or will he turn into Tebow. Could take multiple years for development but only 20.
Comparisons to Cam Newton and Josh Allen, not always in a good way. A very high Risk Player who could be high reward just as much as he could be a one year wonder.
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