NESN's Dale Arnold tweeted, "What I’ve been told, by a reliable source —- @Patriots are working on a new contract for Jimmy G that could lead to a deal with @49ers. Same source who correctly told me Tom Brady had signed with @Buccaneers. Doesn’t mean it will get done, but they’re working on it."
This comes one day after it came out that the Patriots were making calls, with Albert Breer having a source that "at least one team was skeptical of the Patriots moving up" and Todd McShay having two sources from other teams saying "the Patriots are likely to trade back."
I said yesterday that the Patriots could trade back to get draft capital to make a Jimmy trade. Dale Arnold in his tweet doesn't say the Patriots are in talks with the 49ers or Garoppolo, just that they're working on a contract. Common sense says it's a contract that would be submitted and agreed upon as part of the trade proposal.
I know what people are going to say, "I don't want Jimmy Glass" but it's better than "Skip the ball across the field" Newton. If we trust Belichick, we can agree to disagree. I trusted Belichick last year, and with exception of the Seahawks and Chiefs games, like many, I was bored all season due to Cam's accuracy issues and not seeing/ignoring open pass catchers. And the slowness of his option handoffs. Whether or not we get Jimmy, us real fans will get over it.
Garoppolo is still young and could be the face of the decade for the next five to eight years, or like he's currently being viewed as in San Francisco, He could be a two to three year bridge quarterback that has the ability to keep a team competitive while they develop a quarterback. A possible trade could be for a second by itself, or a third and N'Keal Harry.
What should a Garoppolo contract look like? A wise move would be to pay Garoppolo 3 years, 25 million, with majority of it tied into incentives that if he can stay healthy he gets paid.
In my opinion Garoppolo is a guy who is better suited to help develop a quarterback who can throw from the pocket, regardless of the quarterbacks mobile ability. Stidham, Mac Jones, Kellen Mond, or any other quarterback in the draft would benefit more from Jimmy.
Jimmy Garoppolo has played in 48 games, starting 32 with a regular season win loss record of 24-8. He has a completion percentage of 67.5%, throws a touchdown pass 5.2% of his drop backs and an interception 2.7% of his passes. Garoppolo averages 8.2 yards per pass attempt and .1 yard per rush attempt.
Cam Newton has played in 140 games, starting 139. He has a regular season record of 75-63-1. He has a career completion percentage of 60.1, throws a touchdown 4.4% of his passes and an interception 2.7%. Newton averages 7.3 yards per pass and 5.0 yards per rush.
I am not including touchdowns because while Newton is rushing for touchdowns, Garoppolo is handing it off to a back for touchdowns. All I will say is that while Cam may average less yards per pass attempt, his legs make up for it. However, the reason why Cam averages less yards per attempt is because he's completing less and having to throw the ball more. Fans can hop on the excuse train, blame the pass catchers and coordinators or they can be honest with themselves and blame him.
In 2020, Garoppolo threw 140 passes completing 67.1% of them. He averaged 7.8 yards per competition. He threw a touchdown 5% of his passes and an interception 3.6% of his passes. He also averaged 2.5 yards per carry.
Newton in comparison threw 368 passes, completing 65.8% of them. He averaged 7.2 yards per competition. He threw a touchdown 2.2% of his passes and an interception 2.7% of them. He also averaged 4.3 yards per carry.
I know, look at Newton's weapons, the group of guys who ranked third in target separation and one of the highest true catch percentages in the league.
There are several differences between the two quarterbacks. One is a mobile quarterback and the other is a pocket passer.
After that, the main differences are Cam throws to bubbles and relies on the catching ability of his receivers to bail him out; while Garoppolo on the other hand, is a more accurate passer who has been hurt a lot, missing 10 games in 2020 alone.
Both quarterbacks have shown that when they're on, they can do their job and help get their team to the superbowl. However, they both have shown that they also hinder their teams passing game. One from inaccuracy and the other from not being able to stay healthy.
Patriots fans were not happy with Cam Newton, I am going to go out on a limb and say that's majority of Patriots Nation. Proving his rushing ability didn't make up for his deficiencies in his accuracy.
Sure McDaniels wasn't calling plays where Cam was constantly rolling out and throwing the ball 40 yards down field 80% of his passes but if McDaniels had been, defenses would've adjusted and still stuffed him at the line when he tried to run.
Why, because Newton is not accurate and man to man or a cover 4 with a quarterback spy and 5 rushers would've been enough to shut him down and stop the run. Once man guys figured out who was staying in to block, they would've started going after Cam or the back.
I had Cam pegged for 3200 yards and 25 passing touchdowns with 10+ interceptions last year with the depleted weapons. Newton was far worse than that, and that is an average quarterback stats. That's what many are now predicting for Newton with his elite tight ends. That's bad.
If the Patriots get Garoppolo, he'll play 8-9 games and throw for 2200-2500 yards, 16-18 touchdowns and 5-6 interceptions.
Sure Garoppolo wont rush for 400 yards or even half that but the offense wont need him to. For the Patriots it comes down to health versus passing ability. For the fans it comes down to whether you want a conservative percussion passer or a running back that throws with reckless abandonment. The latter is why there's a rift in Patriots Nation.
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