Michel was set to make over four million if his option was picked up. Michel is now on a prove it deal, not only for the Patriots but for the entire NFL.
In 2020 Michel started six and played in nine games. He averaged 5.7 yards in 79 Carrie's for a total of 449 yards. That's not bad seeing has he lost his job to Damien Harris but the lack of production in the passing game has really hurt Michel's value. Michel is only averaging just under 9 catches a season for about 80 yards.
Michel must show improvement in year four in the passing game. If Michel stays on his trajectory, he should play in 13 games and rush for around 785 yards. Being that he has to split carries with Harris, a successful year on the ground for Michel will be 500 yards +/- 15 yards on the ground in 17 games. That's figuring he splits time with Harris.
If Michel can find a way to average 4.7 yards or better in 2021, he can see someone playing that money if he stays healthy. However if he is averaging 4 - 4.2 or less, Michel will be lucky to see over two million a season from any team. Honestly I can see the Patriots offering Michel two and a quarter to two and a half million next offseason, question is how bad does Michel want to get paid.
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