The story now is the Patriots have no chance. That overconfidence can be the Ravens' undoing. This is Bill Belichick we're talking about, not Adam Gase.
The Patriots offense has to manage the game but more importantly, they have to play mistake free football. Drops and penalties cannot happen.
The offense must convert on third down and must put the ball in the endzone when they enter the red zone. The Patriots must keep Bailey off the field and at minimum, Folk must walk away with points to end every drive.
On Defense, they must play like they did Kansas City. Slow down the Ravens' offense, make a couple of key stops and force turnovers. Minimum of two.
Contain Jackson, if a guy is staying into block have the man defender blitz. Play a robber - man to man with one zone defenser in the middle and a zone defender deep. That means, they may only be rushing three or four by design.
The pats have been playing a hybrid variation of the 3-2-6 and nickle. So keep the disguise up on who's doing what. Let the adjustment come after the snap. So Lamar cannot adjust.
It's a simple but complex recipe for victory but the Patriots can do it. If 2017 Newton shows up and the Patriots are down at the half by three or more scores, don't wait until the fourth. Get Stidham in and take the pressure off of him instead of letting him come in down by 10 at the start of the fourth.
The kid has been playing equal to Newton through the air, so theirs a chance that he could play well versus the Ravens. If he's coming in thr Patriots are gonna need his arms, not his legs. Either way, if the Patriots end up down by three scores; bringing in Stidham will be the right decision.
The Patriots have probably a one in eight chance of winning the game. With nobody counting on Belichick to win, maybe the Ravens will get caught looking to their next game. Teams do it all the time and that's how upsets happen. It could happen Sunday.
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