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Saturday, September 14, 2024

The Right Three Down Dime Is Still The Future Of Football

The 5-6 or 3-2-6 version of the three down dime defense. Is the future of football. This base dime defense scheme is well-suited for the modern NFL, which is increasingly adopting college-style offenses that emphasize speed and agility. The scheme's versatility, adaptability, and emphasis on speed and agility make it an attractive option for teams looking to counter these types of offenses.

The scheme's ability to create uncertainty and confusion for the offense, disrupt blocking schemes, and create pressure on the quarterback are significant advantages. Additionally, its flexibility in adjusting to various game situations and its ability to counter emerging trends and strategies make it a valuable asset for teams.

However, the scheme's limitations, such as its vulnerability to power running games, pass rush limitations, and red zone defense challenges, must be carefully addressed through personnel selection, coaching, and game planning.

With careful implementation and execution, this variation of a dime defense scheme can be a highly effective and formidable defense in the NFL and other leagues. Its ability to adapt and evolve makes it a valuable asset for teams looking to stay ahead of the curve in the ever-changing landscape of NFL offenses.

*Dime Defense Personnel:*

- 1 Nose Tackle
- 2 (43) Defensive Tackles/ (34) Defensive Ends hybrids
- 2 (43) Defensive Ends/ (34) Outside Linebackers (Edge) hybrids
- 3 Strong Safeties (2 playing Middle Linebacker or box)
- 1 Free Safety
- 2 Cornerbacks

*Advantages:*

1. Versatility and adaptability
2. Speed and agility
3. Excellent pass coverage
4. Blitz flexibility
5. Run defense
6. Deception and confusion for the offense
7. Adjustability
8. Matchup flexibility
9. Pressure from multiple angles
10. Confusion for the quarterback
11. Red zone defense
12. Goal-line defense
13. Tight end coverage
14. Running back coverage
15. Quarterback spy
16. Defensive linemen freedom
17. Offensive line confusion
18. Forced adjustments
19. Increased turnovers
20. Third-down efficiency
21. Reduced big plays
22. Improved red zone efficiency
23. Injury mitigation
24. Hidden blitzers
25. Quarterback decision-making challenges
26. Enhanced defensive back rotation
27. Increased use of speed
28. Improved nickel and dime packages
29. Better containment of mobile quarterbacks
30. More opportunities for turnovers
31. Greater flexibility in red-zone defense
32. Ability to disguise coverage
33. Improved defense against screens and draws
34. More opportunities for defensive linemen to make plays
35. Greater flexibility in adjusting to offensive formations
36. Ability to counter option plays
37. Effective use of speed and agility in the secondary

*Key Features:*

1. Rotating from a 3 to a 5-man line
2. Defensive linemen playing multiple roles
3. Strong safeties rotation playing middle linebacker roles
4. Six defensive backs providing excellent coverage
5. Blitz flexibility from multiple angles
6. Adjustability and matchup flexibility
7. Ability to stop the run or the pass

*Benefits:*

1. Creates uncertainty and confusion for the offense
2. Disrupts blocking schemes and creates pressure on the quarterback
3. Improves pass coverage and run defense
4. Increases turnovers and reduces big plays
5. Provides flexibility and adaptability in various game situations

*Strategic Advantages:*

1. Adaptability to pass-happy situations
2. Effective against multiple offensive formations
3. Ability to adjust to emerging trends and strategies
4. Encourages collaboration among coaches
5. Boosts player confidence and development

*Dime Defense Strategy:*

1. Rotate defensive linemen to create uncertainty
2. Utilize strong safeties as linebackers or blitzers
3. Employ multiple coverage disguises
4. Pressure the quarterback from various angles
5. Adjust defensive scheme to suit team's strengths and weaknesses

This dime defense's ability to adapt, confuse, and disrupt the offense, making it a formidable and flexible scheme. And a good base for the modern game that relies more on speed and agility than power.

There's always cons. The following potential challenges and limitations of this dime defense, emphasizing the importance of careful personnel selection, coaching, and game planning to execute effectively.

*1-20:*

1. Finding hybrid players
2. Lack of specialization
3. Depth concerns
4. Run defense vulnerability
5. Pass rush limitations
6. Gap control issues
7. Managing strong safety roles
8. Middle linebacker responsibilities
9. Free safety isolation
10. Complexity overload
11. Communication breakdowns
12. Vulnerability to screens and draws
13. Short-yardage situations
14. Power running games
15. Two-minute drill
16. Injury risk
17. Fatigue
18. Lack of consistency
19. Difficulty in adjusting
20. Coaching challenges

To optimize the three-down dime defense, invest in player development programs and scout versatile players to address hybrid player needs. Cross-train players and utilize position-specific coaches to mitigate specialization concerns. Foster a competitive culture through a strong practice squad and clear expectations. Adjust defensive schemes and personnel to counter power running games and enhance pass rush capabilities. Improve defensive line technique, linebacker play recognition, and secondary support to address gap control and coverage issues. Simplify complex schemes, establish clear communication protocols, and develop specialized packages for various situations. Prioritize player safety, manage fatigue, and provide coaches with resources to ensure effective implementation and adaptation of the three-down dime defense.

*21-40:*

1. Player buy-in
2. Practice time constraints
3. Scouting challenges
4. In-game adjustments
5. Blitzing limitations
6. Coverage confusion
7. Lack of edge pressure
8. Tackling issues
9. Red zone challenges
10. Goal-line defense
11. Two-point conversion vulnerability
12. Overtime challenges
13. Player development challenges
14. In-game substitution challenges
15. Opponent adjustments
16. Increased stress on strong safeties
17. Limited flexibility
18. Difficulty in defending trick plays
19. Vulnerability to quarterback runs
20. Challenges in defending strong receivers

To further optimize the three-down dime defense, foster a positive team culture and encourage player input to ensure buy-in. Maximize practice efficiency and utilize film study to overcome time constraints. Invest in scouting resources and technology to address scouting challenges. Improve sideline communication and utilize data analysis for effective in-game adjustments. Mix up pressure packages and emphasize coverage disguises to overcome blitzing limitations. Simplify coverage schemes and enhance defensive back communication to reduce coverage confusion. Employ creative pass rush packages and emphasize physicality to address tackling issues. Develop specialized packages for red zone, goal-line, and two-point conversion situations. Stay adaptable and adjust the scheme to counter opponent strengths, while rotating strong safeties and emphasizing player versatility. Improve defensive recognition and emphasize film study to defend against trick plays and quarterback runs. Finally, develop situational packages and emphasize cornerback play to counter strong receivers, ensuring a comprehensive and effective three-down dime defense.

*41-60:*

1. Increased risk of defensive penalties
2. Challenges in defending against teams with strong offensive lines
3. Difficulty in defending against teams with mobile quarterbacks
4. Overreliance on key players
5. Vulnerability to misdirection plays
6. Challenges in defending against teams with strong kick games
7. Increased risk of special teams mistakes
8. Difficulty in defending against teams with creative play-calling
9. Overemphasis on blitzing
10. Lack of containment
11. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong screens
12. Increased risk of defensive exhaustion
13. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong quarterback play-action fakes
14. Vulnerability to deep passes
15. Challenges in defending against teams with strong receiver motion
16. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong running back pass-catching skills
17. Increased risk of defensive miscommunication
18. Challenges in defending against teams with strong offensive coordinator play-calling
19. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong quarterback reads
20. Increased risk of defensive confusion

To address advanced challenges, emphasize discipline and technique to minimize defensive penalties. Counter strong offensive lines with upgraded defensive linemen and adjusted schemes. Develop situational packages to contain mobile quarterbacks and mitigate overreliance on key players by fostering depth and competition. Improve defensive recognition and film study to combat misdirection plays, creative play-calling, and strong screens. Enhance special teams technique and discipline to reduce mistakes. Mix up pressure packages and emphasize coverage disguises to avoid overblitzing. Rotate players and manage game tempo to prevent defensive exhaustion. Develop situational packages and emphasize cornerback play to defend against deep passes, receiver motion, and running back pass-catching skills. Regular team meetings and clear communication protocols will minimize defensive miscommunication. Simplify schemes and emphasize player communication to prevent defensive confusion. Additionally, improve defensive recognition and film study to counter strong quarterback reads, ensuring a well-rounded and adaptive three-down dime defense.

*61-80:*

1. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong quarterback scrambling ability
2. Vulnerability to fake punts and kicks
3. Challenges in defending against teams with strong special teams units
4. Increased risk of defensive frustration
5. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong fullback play
6. Vulnerability to counter runs
7. Challenges in defending against teams with strong tackle play
8. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong guard play
9. Increased risk of defensive injuries
10. Challenges in defending against teams with strong center play
11. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong tight end blocking
12. Challenges in defending against teams with strong wildcat formations
13. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong direct snap plays
14. Limited adjustments
15. Increased risk of defensive breakdowns
16. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong formations
17. Vulnerability to play-action passes
18. Challenges in defending against teams with strong quarterback reads
19. Increased risk of defensive mental fatigue
20. Difficulty in defending against teams with strong option plays

To address the final set of challenges, develop situational packages and emphasize containment to counter quarterback scrambling ability, fake punts and kicks, and strong fullback play. Emphasize special teams technique and discipline to combat strong special teams units. Foster a positive team culture and encourage player resilience to minimize defensive frustration. Utilize stronger defensive linemen and adjust schemes to counter strong tackle, guard, and center play. Prioritize player safety and develop depth to reduce defensive injuries. Develop situational packages and emphasize linebacker play to defend against strong tight end blocking and wildcat formations. Stay adaptable and adjust schemes to counter opponent strengths, simplify schemes to prevent defensive breakdowns, and improve defensive recognition to defend against strong formations, play-action passes, and option plays. Rotate players and manage game tempo to prevent defensive mental fatigue, ensuring a comprehensive and resilient three-down dime defense.

Statement on Apparent contradictions:

It may appear that there are contradictions in the areas of run defense, pass rush, red zone defense, hybrid players, strong safety roles, and blitzing. However, these apparent contradictions can be resolved by considering the following clarifications and solutions:

- Run defense: While the dime defense may be vulnerable to power running games, it can be strengthened by adjusting personnel and schemes to address specific opponent strengths.
- Pass rush: The defense's pass rush limitations can be mitigated by utilizing blitz flexibility and creative pressure packages.
- Red zone defense: The vulnerability in the red zone can be addressed by employing specialized packages and emphasizing tight end coverage.
- Hybrid players: The challenge of finding hybrid players can be overcome by investing in player development and scouting.
- Strong safety roles: The overexposure of strong safeties can be managed by rotating personnel and utilizing matchup flexibility.
- Blitzing: The limitations and overemphasis on blitzing can be balanced by mixing up pressure packages and emphasizing coverage disguises.

By understanding these clarifications and solutions, coaches and teams can effectively navigate the complexities of the three-down dime defense and unlock its full potential.

Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Patriots Beat The Bengals 16-10 In Week One

Jerod Mayo and the Patriots took on the Bengals in the first game post Belichick. Was a few questions going into the game, mainly concerning the offensive line.

So to answer the offensive line play. The left tackle had seven bad plays. And there were 11 more bad line plays in both aspects of the offense, with one being a false start. There also wasn't good separation from the pass catchers. A recurring problem.

On offense Brissett was accurate majority of the game, keeping the ball out of harms way minus a 50/50 ball. His decision making was good enough to manage the offense and that's the very least one wants from their starter.

The two running backs combined for 138 yards rushing. They never stopped moving the ball for majority of the game, repeatedly battering the defensive line.

The pass catchers hands were solid almost all game long, showing that while they might not be able to get decent separation, they were possession receivers. 

Special teams was excellent all around. Two good punts, three field goals, and forcing a turnover.

On defense it was a bend don't break soft pass coverage that only got beat 10 times, with two that could've been costly.

There were a few plays where tackling could've been better or was missed. Overall a good day for the patriots who beat the Bengals. I will say, Joe Burrow's decision making or vision was not on today as he missed somethings. The Patriots are 1-0. It's a new era in New England, and the team is off to a good start. The big concern is Mayo cannot let this be the teams superbowl.

Thursday, May 30, 2024

Discipline And Intelligence A Staple Under Belichick

Brian Hoyer spoke to Phil Perry and Tom Curran about the playing football around the NFL and with the Patriots. His comments got me thinking about what Chad O'Shae was criticized for in Miami. And it got me thinking.

When Hoyer was talking, he said basically that every practice was important in New England and players were criticized anytime they had a bad day or made a mistake.. That with the Raiders under McDaniels, Josh tried that but some of Hoyer's teammates couldn't handle it.

Basically Hoyer was saying his teammates with the Raiders couldn't handle criticism. Which was a problem Matt Patricia had in Detroit and I believe both Joe Judge and Brian Florez were also accused of, being too hard on the players.

Hoyer was then asked about the difference between the difference between AVP's offense and the McDaniels-O'Brien Offense. Hoyer was like in the new Offense you don't have to think, it's dumbed down, taking pressure off of the players on comparison to the Brady Offense.

O'Shea was fired from Miami because the Offense was to complicated, to intelligent for the Dolphins to memorize and learn. When thinking about how Hoyer compared the new Patriots Offense to the old, one must think the same was true in Miami and that that's why O'Shea was gone. Not because he was a bad OC but because his players needed a Dumbed down Offense that didn't require thinking on the part of the players. 

The reason why coaches have failed once they leave New England is not because they're bad coaches. It's because they're intelligent, disciplined coaches and don't know how to coaches coach an unintelligent and undisciplined roster. And because they couldn't just cut the entire roster, they had no choice to deal with them. This now makes sense to why Belichick relied on interviews so much. The Patriots were just built different. 

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Patriots Schedule And Early Prediction

The Patriots schedule is out. They have one game in Europe. So what is a realistic expectation and will people be okay with it? I think that depends on the person. 

First I am going to say currently that I think the Patriots will start the season 3-3, beating Seattle, New York, and Miami. The next two wins I think come against the titans and cardinals. I think theu could get swept by the dolphins and I think both the jets and Patriots could sweep the other but I don't think the Patriots can beat Miami twice.

In the win column, I have the Patriots improving by one game but I also think they will be in a lot of games, just like last season. I think either the Arizona game or the week after, if Maye is to start, that is when he will. Playing Buffalo twice in the final four games, I wouldn't bother playing Maye until 2025. That's me though.

The worst thing for Patriots fans is for the team to finish 8-9. We should want the team to improve but not to win unless they can seize a wildcard birth. I want the draft picks and so should everyone else unless the team looks like a contender. Let the team emerge in 2025 as a wild card team, don't force 2024. And don't play Maye unless the team loses the first 7.

Saturday, May 11, 2024

Patriots Opened Rookie Mini-camp

The media gained access to the Patriots' rookie mini-camp, a rare occurrence under former coach Bill Belichick's tenure. However, with Mayo now at the helm, this move may signal a shift in the team's media policy. The media took the opportunity to get a closer look at the team, so we might expect to see something significant.

Based on accuracy heading into the post-draft offseason and preseason training, Milton should be the fourth quarterback on the depth chart - or should he? While some claimed Milton lacked accuracy, others argued the opposite, saying Maye was the inaccurate one.

The rest of the camp was uneventful. It's unclear why the Patriots opened this up to the media, aside from keeping the team's name in the news. When the entire team meets up, there might be something worth discussing, but this was a waste of the media's time.

In other Patriots news, Elliot Wolf was named Executive Vice President of Personnel, essentially another title for General Manager. This move was widely anticipated, much like the general manager search, making this announcement a formality.

Tuesday, May 7, 2024

Patriots's General Manager Interviews Are A League Formality.

The Patriots are looking to promote Elliot Wolf to General Manager, but league rules require them to conduct mandatory interviews with external minority candidates. This has sparked frustration among fans, but let's take a step back and consider the bigger picture.

The NFL's rules are designed to ensure diversity and fairness in the hiring process. However, it's no secret that the Patriots want to promote Wolf, which is why many candidates are declining interviews. Moreover, if a team knows they have the best candidate available, they're unlikely to take a chance on someone else.

So, now that the formalities are out of the way, let's focus on how the Patriots can make the most of this situation. Instead of simply going through the motions, they should use these interviews as an opportunity to gather valuable insights from experienced professionals.

The Patriots should be bringing in candidates to share their opinions on the current staff and roster. They should ask for their assessment of the team's direction and what's needed for success. This is precisely what fans and media were advocating for when Jerod Mayo was named head coach.

Given that front office personnel are turning down the Patriots, they should consider interviewing high-ranking scouts. And, I'll throw a longshot name out there - Bill Belichick. Yes, you read that right. Belichick should be interviewed, not as a slight against him but as a gesture of respect. He knows what the team is trying to build and can offer valuable insights from an outside perspective.

If Robert Kraft wants to honor Belichick in the Patriots' Hall of Fame someday, this could be a starting point to mend fences. As for Wolf and the General Manager position, this is merely a formality, so the Patriots might as well make the most of it. After all, being ahead of the curve wins games.

Friday, May 3, 2024

When To Start Maye

Drake Maye was a boom or bust prospect and everyone knew it. If you disagree, sorry but you're kidding yourself. There's a reason why Mayo mentioned his floor during the pre draft period. Johnny Manziel is Drake Maye's floor. Where is Manziel? So when do the Patriots start Maye?

The smartest thing the Patriots can do is start him when they believe he's ready. They have Maye for four or five seasons. And if he's not ready until sometime in year four, so be it. Those who thought he was too big of a red flag should at least agree with this.

Now if you're on the fence, that might not be good enough. To that I say the team should believe he's ready by no later then some point next season, the 2025 season, regardless if he plays. If Maye were Daniels or McCarthy, this is where my expectations for him would be.

For those that only looked at his ceiling and big play ability, You don't start Maye in 2024 until the season is lost. Take the pressure completely off of him. Once they start him, treat every game like a preseason game and let him know that he will be pulled to protect him if needed. That allows them to so develop Milton.

Unless one wants to see a team do to Maye what Belichick did to Darnold, the timelines I mentioned are the best ways to approach when to Start Maye. Right now Drake Maye is at his floor until he proves otherwise. He is someplace between Nathan Petermann and Johnny Manziel. His mid level is Rob Johnson and his ceiling for me is Eli Manning.

Go into the season with your worst expectations of the rookie quarterback. That way if he's bad, you expected it but if he has a good game, you didn't expect it and he can impress you repeatedly until you just expect him to be average or better. If you're expecting MVP Josh Allen, you're probably gonna hate the guy before he can get there.

Friday, April 26, 2024

The Patriots Select Drake Maye In The First Round Of The 2024 NFL Draft

With the third pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the New England Patriots select boom or bust quarterback Drake Maye from the University of North Carolina. Maye is the highest quarterback the Patriots have taken since the team drafted the Wile E. Coyote, the King of The North, Drew Bledsoe. Here's a scouting report on Drake Maye.

Between 2021 and 2023 Maye started 25 of 30 games. Completing 64.9% of his 618 attempts. He threw for 8,018 yards, 63 touchdowns and 16 interceptions over that span. Unfortunately, he was also sacked 70 times with 69 coming the last two seasons. Maye also averaged 4 yards a carry on 302 attempts, scoring 16 touchdowns. He even averaged 40.5 yards in two punts. Maye lost 7 of 11 Fumbles over his college career.

When it comes to the sacks, keep in mind that Mac Jones was sacked 14 more times over that span and started hearing footsteps and seeing ghosts. If Maye plays before the Patriots line is fixed, that could be him.

Drake Maye is 6'4" 223 lbs and 21 years old, so he should have a decade of football at the least if he pans out. Let's look at all his pros and cons according to the various media scouting reports.

Pros:
-Prototype build
-Athletism
-Escape artist
-Velocity 
-Arm strength
-Throws off platform
-Throwing motions
-Accuracy
-Pocket play
-Awareness
-Processor
-Decision making
-IQ
-Field vision
-Nerves

Cons:
- Making adjustments after the snap
- Inconsistent throwing mechanics/stances
- Inconsistent footwork
- Poor decision making
- Hesitates to make decisions
- Tends to hold onto the ball
- Risk taker
- Average pocket presence
- Poor throws under pressure
- Unnecessarily puts the ball in harm's way
- Throwing between coverages/defenders
- Forces throws
- Throws with too much velocity
- Bubble thrower
- Inconsistent accuracy, misses open targets
- Sails sideline throws
- Accuracy declines when play breaks down
- Goes with the first read too often
- Too many paper cuts (quick passes)
- Doesn't lead receivers
- Tucking the ball while running
- Doesn't slide when should
- Average mobility
- Cerebral escape artist
- Not a runner by design


The Boom:

A big, strong passer, Maye has impressive arm talent and can throw with velocity and accuracy, whether it's firing passes over the middle or launching deep rainbow passes. He also has good touch and ball placement on their deep throws. When it comes to reading the defense, he takes what's given to him and make precise throws, even fooling defenders with their eyes.

He's not just limited to the pocket either, as he is mobile enough and can scramble when pressured or take off when they see an open running lane. And let's not forget his ability to throw on the run! Maye knows how to anticipate the blitz and avoid the rush. And ran UNC's simple offense better than Zappe ran the Patriots' offense.

The Bust:

Maye has a few areas where he could use some improvement. His footwork in the pocket can be inconsistent, leading to accuracy issues. He also has a longer release, which can affect his throws. Sometimes, he overthrows his targets or doesn't give his receivers a chance to make yards after the catch. He throws to the area of his receivers to much instead of to them. Additionally, Maye has a tendency to lock onto one receiver instead of going through their progressions, which allows defenders to read his eyes and make plays on the ball.

His post-snap movement recognition and pre-snap reads could use some work too. His decision-making can be questionable at times, and he has a tendency to go for the big play rather than taking what's given to him. This can lead to unnecessary sacks, turnovers, or missed opportunities. He has some areas to focus on to improve his game, especially against more complex defenses. And one has to question if he can run a more complicated offense.

Overall:

A prototypical quarterback for the modern NFL but in need of a lot of development. He will need to sit a season minimum. He also needs to learn to play the position and to stop trying to be a superstar. Not every quarterback can get away with Madden bullcrap. He has the qualities of a long term starting quarterback while simultaneously having the red flags of a bust. He needs to learn to be consistent instead of being consistently Inconsistent.

Check out how the Goat scouted him. I still trust the goat, even if he's no longer with the franchise. In Bill I trust. Like Bill I had Daniels as the top prospect for the Patriots. As unpopular as it is, I also had Nix and then McCarthy ahead of Maye. I took Maye off my board shortly after compiling the list of pros and cons for the quarterbacks in this draft back in January.

NFL comparisons per media Sources:
Justin Herbert, Jordan Love, Johnny Manziel, Eli Manning, Carson Palmer, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Malik Willis, and personally, a big armed quarterback that I thought was a bust, that got hyped, Rob Johnson.

If I had to go with three comparisons from what I see,
Ceiling: Eli Manning (Former Giant)
Middle: Rob Johnson (Former Bill)
Floor: Johnny Manziel (Former Brown)

Here's hoping Maye can prove me wrong like Herbert did.

Sunday, April 14, 2024

McCarthy May Not Be The Potential Reward Maye Is But He's Also Not The Potential Damage That Maye Is.

Wanna watch people turn as red as a fire truck? Criticize Drake Maye or say that JJ McCarthy is capable of being drafted at the number three spot. Back in January, I thought Maye wasn't accurate or cerebral enough and was a 'Boom or Bust' prospect. Later, I compiled a list of pros and cons from every media scouting report I could find, listing all the pros and cons of over 20 quarterback draft prospects for the current draft.

The Patriots' acting GM, offensive coordinator, and head coach all spoke about what they want in a quarterback. Mayo said he looks for decision-making, competitiveness, and toughness. Wolf looks for winning, leadership, and composure. Van Pelt looks for decision-making, leadership, and accuracy. So, who, according to the pros and cons, fits that?

The two quarterbacks came from different situations, and the media knows that. Let's take a look at what they said about Maye and McCarthy, according to the media and see who wins.

Drake Maye
QB North Carolina R-Soph
6'4" 223 LBS
Pros:
-Prototype build
-Athletism
-Escape artist
-Velocity 
-Arm strength
-Throws off platform
-Throwing motions
-Accuracy
-Pocket play
-Awareness
-Processor
-Decision making
-IQ
-Field vision
-Nerves

Cons:
- Making adjustments after the snap
- Inconsistent throwing mechanics/stances
- Inconsistent footwork
- Poor decision making
- Hesitates to make decisions
- Tends to hold onto the ball
- Risk taker
- Average pocket presence
- Poor throws under pressure
- Unnecessarily puts the ball in harm's way
- Throwing between coverages/defenders
- Forces throws
- Throws with too much velocity
- Bubble thrower
- Inconsistent accuracy, misses open targets
- Sails sideline throws
- Accuracy declines when play breaks down
- Goes with the first read too often
- Too many paper cuts (quick passes)
- Doesn't lead receivers
- Tucking the ball while running
- Doesn't slide when should
- Average mobility
- Cerebral escape artist
- Not a runner by design

J.J. McCarthy
QB Michigan Jr
6'2" 219 LBS
Pros:
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Athletism
-Extends plays
-Toughness 
-Pocket presence
-Accuracy
-Leads pass catchers
-Looks off defenders
-Processor
-Reads
-Nerves

Cons:
-Build
-Struggles under pressure
-Inconsistent pocket awareness
-Risk taker, forces throws
-Field vision
-Decision making
-Inconsistent accuracy
-Late trigger puller, especially on deep balls
-Inconsistent throwing outside numbers
-Lacks touch
-Relies on athletism
-Game manager
-Developmental

McCarthy has been called a game manager at worst, meaning he can effectively manage a game and lead a team to victory by avoiding mistakes. He's tough, and one of the criticisms against him is that he only knows how to win, so he didn't have a lot of game footage to showcase. Another knock on him is that he never had to play from behind. However, McCarthy has consistently shown his ability to convert third downs when needed.

On the other hand, Maye had a tough 2024 season. Reports on him ended up seeing his pros and cons, canceling each other out. Unlike McCarthy, who is criticized for being a game manager at his worst, Maye is seen as an inconsistent risk taker, which could be a potential bust.

While I personally consider Daniels and Nix as better passers than both quarterbacks, McCarthy has recently moved ahead of Penix for me, becoming the third-best quarterback prospect for the Patriots. Based on what the Patriots have said they look for in a quarterback, McCarthy aligns more with their criteria than Maye does.

If Maye is selected, I'll accept it, but I understand the risks involved. He'll have to prove himself to remove the bust label. On the other hand, even at his worst, McCarthy seems to offer what we saw from Mac Jones in 2021. I'll hold him to that expectation until he proves himself.

I listen to people talk about Maye and it's like someone going to a casino and betting three paychecks on a hand of poker, being advised that they cannot make rent if they lose, and them being like 'yeah, but if I win I can pay rent for the year and that's worth risking homelessness.' Maye is not a safe pick even though he's a consensus top three prospect, so it's gonna take balls and a lot of faith to select him. Does Wolf have that kind of confidence, will the Krafts force his hand, or will he pass on Maye when the time comes? Not everyone gets as lucky as rhe Chargers did with Herbert, boom or bust prospects tend to be busts more than not.

Sunday, April 7, 2024

73 Priority Draft Prospects For The New England Patriots In 2024.

So I have my Patriots big board with 292 prospects on it. This year instead of shrinking the board after free agency, I am doing something different and listing the prospects they need to prioritize based on team needs from the 292 prospects on my board. There are a total of 73 priority prospects playing six positions, that our Patriots should target out of necessity. 

QB:
Bo Nix, Oregon
J.J. McCarthy, Michigan
Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
Sam Hartman, Notre Dame
Carter Bradley, South Alabama
Davius Richard, NC Central
Parker Mckinney, Eastern Kentucky 

X-WR:
Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio St.
NT:
Evan Anderson, Florida Atlantic
Cam Jackson, Florida
McKinnley Jackson, Texas A&M,
Deron Irving-Bey, Ferris St

Outside CB:
Caelen Carson, Wake Forest
Mike Sainristil, Michigan
Cam Hart, Notre Dame
Kamal Hadden, Tenn 
Nate Wiggins, Clem, 
Cooper DeJean, Iowa, 
Ryan Watts, Texas, 
Lorando Johnson, Arkansas,
Isaiah Hazel, Charlotte,
Marcus Banks, Miss St,

Jaden Hicks, Washington State
Malik Mustapha, Wake Forest
Josh Proctor, Ohio St
Maxen Hook, Toledo
Elijah Jones, Boston College

I am uncertain if Wolf will draft by need and skill or if he will go completely off prospect star and census ranking. With Belichick, it was a little easier to figure out his style. Too many fans and media members seem to just want the team to draft the consensus best ceiling available at certain positions. That in my opinion is a sure way to stockpile draft busts in every round. I'm not saying don't take high ceiling guys but the body of work and the red flags matter. So does the system fit.

Also, you don't change a system completely for one player. McDaniels showed that with Cam Newton. He let Cam run but when it was time to pass he expected him to be a passer and not just a guy who can throw to an area. Hopefully Wolf gets that as well or he's gonna mess the team up more.