Translate

Thursday, April 23, 2026

Patriots Take At 28: Caleb Lomu, A Tale of Two Tapes

The plan is straightforward. Morgan Moses is not a long-term answer at right tackle. New England drafted Lomu to sit behind Moses for a year, develop functional strength, learn the right side at the NFL level, and take over the starting job when Moses leaves. That is the primary plan. The secondary plan, if Lomu develops faster or the roster demands it, is kicking Campbell inside and letting Lomu hold down the left side. Neither scenario is automatically bad. Here is why the pick holds up.

Background

Caleb Lomu is a 21-year-old, 6'6", 313-pound Polynesian tackle out of Highland High School in Gilbert, Arizona, where he anchored a state championship offensive line and earned every major in-state honor available to a high school lineman. He came to Utah as a consensus four-star recruit in the 2023 class, choosing the Utes over Michigan, USC, Florida, and Tennessee.

At Utah

He redshirted in 2023, took over the starting left tackle job as a redshirt freshman in 2024, and never gave it back. Over two seasons as a starter he logged 25 games, allowed three total sacks across 800-plus pass blocking snaps, earned First Team All-Big 12 honors in 2025, and did it all while maintaining Academic All-Big 12 status and a business degree. He declared after his redshirt sophomore season with 27 career starts, no documented injuries, and four career penalties. The profile coming out of college is a high-character, high-motor, low-maintenance prospect who got better every single season he played.

The Good Tape

Lomu's calling card is pass protection, and it is legitimate. Zero sacks on 383 snaps in 2025 is not a fluke. It is the product of genuine technical sophistication for a 21-year-old. His hand timing is among the best in this class. He does not just punch; he times the punch to the rusher's weight transfer, which is a learned skill that most tackles spend years developing. The snatch-trap technique specifically is elite level. When he gets his hands inside on a rusher's chest plate, the rep is effectively over.

His mirror athleticism is real. The RAS of 9.77 confirms what the tape shows: elite explosion profile for his size. The 4.99 forty and 9'5" broad at 313 pounds are genuinely rare. That athleticism translates directly to his ability to expand his set point laterally, widen the corner against speed, and recover when he loses a half-step. Most tackles his size who get beat outside are done. Lomu redirects. Against twists and stunts his mental processing is ahead of his experience level. He passed off games cleanly and showed awareness that you cannot fully coach.

His pull blocking is a legitimate weapon. He locates second-level targets with spatial intelligence that fits zone and gap-pin-and-pull concepts naturally. For any offense running wide zone or pin-and-pull as a core identity, that is immediately deployable value.

What gets underweighted in the skeptical reads on Lomu is how rare the combination of processing and athleticism actually is. Most tackles at this age have one or the other. Lomu has both, and that is the foundation every quality NFL tackle is built on. The strength will come. The football intelligence either exists or it does not, and his does.

The Bad Tape

The run game is a full tier below the pass protection and it is not a small gap. His core strength deficiency is the root cause of most of his technical breakdowns. He gets deep with his kick slide too frequently, opening the inside gap. Against defenders who cross his face with jab steps and direction changes, his mirroring is adequate but not reliable. On combo blocks he turns too far off the first level, killing his timing to the second level. Reach block hip discipline is inconsistent. His angles on outside runs to the second level are too deep. Against power rushers he can be grabbed and pulled forward out of his stance, which is a core strength problem that scheme can mask but cannot fix.

The arm length at 33 3/8 inches is below the preferred threshold and it showed against Romello Height at Texas Tech. Height got the jump on him with inside counters twice, which exposed the tendency to overset for outside protection. Short arms combined with that overset habit is a combination NFL speed-to-power rushers will attack until it is coached out of him.

The Overall

Here is what the skeptical read misses. The Patriots are not drafting a finished product. They are drafting a 21-year-old redshirt sophomore with 27 career games, a 9.77 RAS, elite hand technique, and a frame that scouts universally project can carry another 15 to 20 functional pounds. The Moses situation gives New England exactly the development runway Lomu needs. One year behind a veteran starter to learn NFL-level power concepts on the right side, add mass, and clean up the run game technique before the job is his. That is an ideal landing spot for this prospect.

The right tackle transition is not a significant concern. Lomu's athleticism and processing skills are the traits that travel across both tackle positions. The hand technique, the mirror ability, the stunt recognition, all of it works on the right side. What he needs to add is power, and right tackle in a year-one developmental role is precisely the environment where that addition happens without the pressure of protecting the blind side from day one.

The Campbell interior move remains the alternative path. If Lomu develops ahead of schedule or the roster demands flexibility, New England can kick Campbell inside and hand Lomu the left tackle job. That outcome solves two line positions with one draft pick and one positional adjustment, which is efficient roster construction on a rebuilding team.

The Thorn grade of 7.5 reflects the current product honestly. The Steelers Depot grade of 8.6 reflects the reasonable projection. The Patriots drafted the projection. At pick 28 on a roster building toward a window two or three years out, that is the correct decision. The floor is a quality starting right tackle. The ceiling is a ten-year starter who can hold down either bookend.

The comp: Alaric Jackson ceiling, Dan Moore Jr. floor.

Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Media And I Agree On 33 Prospects For The Patriots

I went through and looked at four Patriots Big Boards from Mike Dussault (Patriots.com), Evan Lazar (Patriots.com), the Pats Pulpit Staff, and  Chad Graff (NYT). What I found was 33 players from my Patriots Big Board had made the professional circuit. That is about one sixth of my board. Now they did have a few names, like maybe five to 10 that I could've added to my board but I didn't. So here are the prospects I agree with the media on, even if they have different positions listed.

Wide Receivers
- Denzel Boston (Washington)
- Chris Bell (Louisville)
- De'Zhaun Stribling (Ole Miss)
- Bryce Lance (NDSU)
- Josh Cameron (Baylor)

Edge Rushers
- Cashius Howell (Washington)
- Jaishawn Barham (Michigan)

Offensive Tackles / OL
- Blake Miller (Clemson)
- Max Iheanachor (Arizona State)
- Gennings Dunker (Iowa)
- Isaiah World (Oregon)
- Dametrious Crownover (Texas A&M)
- Micah Morris (Georgia)

Linebackers
- Anthony Hill Jr. (Texas)
- Jacob Rodriguez (Texas Tech)
- Jake Golday (Cincinnati)
- Red Murdock (Buffalo)



Safeties
- Treydan Stukes (Arizona)
- Zakee Wheatley (Penn State)
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (Toledo)
- Bud Clark (TCU)
- VJ Payne (Kansas State)

Defensive Tackles / DL
- Domonique Orange (Iowa State)
- Kayden McDonald (Ohio State)

Tight Ends/FullBacks
- Joe Royer (Cincinnati)
- Sam Roush (Stanford)
- Justin Joly (NC State)

Running Backs
- Adam Randall (Clemson)
- Eli Heidenreich (Navy)

Cornerbacks
- Tacario Davis (Washington)

If the media is right this year, that my board doesn't have the proper prospects, it's gonna be difficult to continue my streak of landing a player. However, this list here still covers almost all of their needs. From out boards, I would say that these are the realistic prospects. The draft starts Thursday night and the Patriots are expected to draft around 10:20 PM.

If you're curious who I have by round out of 175 prospects, click here.

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

The Superback, The Future Of The NFL Running Game

FULL POSITIONAL ARCHETYPE SCOUTING REPORT

Position: Superback
Sub-position types: H‑Back / Fullback / Powerback / Slot

Minimum build requirements: 6'2", 250 lbs
Frame

Thick, powerful lower half built for leverage and sustained drive at the point of attack. Broad upper body with naturally distributed mass, not manufactured bulk, enabling effective blocking without sacrificing athleticism. Frame carries 250+ lbs without stiffness, allowing fluid movement in and out of traffic. Built for the long haul: the kind of body that holds up through an 18-week grind.

Athletic Profile

Explosive in the first three steps, everything needed to attack a crease or win inside a phone booth. Long-speed is functional, not elite, but adequate to threaten the second level on wheels and leak routes. Flexible enough to redirect, stack, and adjust blocking angles on the move. Exceptional balance through contact; consistently falls forward and resets upright.

Running Ability

Downhill, decisive, and punishing. Runs with leg churn that generates yards after initial contact, not a dancer, a finisher. Built for short-yardage, goal-line, and clock-control situations but schemes-versatile enough to operate in gap (power, counter), iso, duo, split-flow, and occasional outside zone. Rarely gives ground on his initial move. Runs with an authority that affects defensive effort over the course of a game.

Receiving Ability

Comfortable catcher with natural hands, doesn't fight the ball. Functional in a wide range of route concepts from any alignment: flats, arrows, seams, wheels, crossers, and leak-outs. Post-catch mentality is a running back's, not a receiver's, YAC comes from running through contact, not around it. Alignment versatility (slot, wing, backfield, tight) creates pre-snap stress on defense. Reliable checkdown and play-action outlet; won't make the quarterback hesitate to go there.

Blocking Ability
Run Blocking

Understands the geometry of blocking, arrives at the right angle, with low pad level and active hands. Can function as a lead blocker in the hole, insert blocker from the backfield, kick-out on perimeter runs, or sift blocker on combo assignments. Controlled aggression: not reckless, but finishes with physicality. Capable of handling linebackers, safeties, and some edge defenders when given clean paths.

Pass Protection

Strong anchor against power rushers, hard to move on a straight shot. Reads blitz path from depth without requiring pre-snap telegraphing from the QB. Capable of identifying and picking up stunts, late blitzers, and green-dog rushers in full-protection scans. A reliable piece in spread protection where the lone back carries full protection responsibility.

Football IQ / Versatility

Formation-agnostic: can align at FB, RB, TE, slot, or wing without tipping the play. Motion-friendly across a full menu: orbit, sift, yo-yo, split-flow, arc. Understands spacing principles in play-action and misdirection, knows when to be a clear-out and when to be a target. Core-four special teams candidate. Most importantly: forces the defense to declare. His presence in a formation demands base or dime, that declaration is the value even on plays he doesn't touch the ball.

Competitive Toughness

Sets the physical tone of a game. Plays with a punishing demeanor that accumulates cost on defensive personnel over four quarters. Thrives in grind-it-out scripts where physicality compounds. Durability and snap-to-snap consistency are hallmarks, doesn't vanish in the fourth quarter or in bad weather. Finishes. That word alone describes the trait that separates functional backs from valuable ones.

Usage For Current NFL

The Superback belongs in 12 and 21 personnel with flex capability into spread, not as a novelty but as the fulcrum. Specific deployments:

- Lead blocker and short-yardage runner with downhill finishing from under center or pistol
- Move TE/H-back in motion-heavy schemes using arc and sift to manipulate box counts and leverage
- Backfield receiver in play-action, boot, RPO, and quick-game structures
- Slot or wing in single-back formations to isolate linebacker matchups or force nickel on the field
- Lone back in shotgun with the ability to motion out and empty, turning personnel packages into formations
- Dual/triple-Superback sets where staggered alignments (backfield + slot/s) stress both structure and responsibility
- Insert blocker on IZ, duo, and split-flow from spread looks, the bridge between power football and modern spacing
- YAC-driven underneath target against nickel and dime coverage; weight and run-after-catch skill punish lighter personnel

Role Projection

Three-down utility back functioning as the offensive chess piece in a system that refuses to be categorized. Specifically:

- Feature back for any team looking to evolve
- H-back anchor in motion-heavy and misdirection-based schemes
- Short-yardage and goal-line hammer under center or in shotgun
- Matchup-friendly underneath receiver from backfield, slot, or wing — primarily targeting linebackers and safeties
- Lead blocker in gap, zone, and spread-run concepts
- Lone back in spread formations with pre-snap shift capability to empty the box
- Protection adjuster and quick-game outlet in full-protection spread looks
- Special teams anchor: consistent, physical, four-phase contributor

Final Summary

The Superback isn't a throwback, it's the resolution of a tension the NFL has been poorly managing for two decades: the false choice between power football and spread principles. A true Superback collapses that binary. He gives a coordinator the ability to run downhill power from 11 personnel and spread formations simultaneously, without substituting. His size is a declaration. His versatility is the argument. His physicality is the closing statement.

High floor, genuine ceiling. In the right system, one built around pre-snap stress, personnel manipulation, and commitment to the run, this archetype becomes a structural identity piece, not a role player.

NCAA/NFL style comps: Keith Byars, Peyton Hillis, Kyle Juszczyk, Rod Bernstein, Danny Vitale, Dalton Keene, Clint Ratkovich, Colt Lyerla, Charles Clay, Elija Lofton.

Many of these players, especially the more recent ones, carried the 'superback' label in college scouting reports or were explicitly projected as H-backs. They functioned as versatile hybrids capable of aligning at fullback, tight end, slot, wing, or backfield to create pre-snap stress. Keith Byars and Rod Bernstine, in particular, ran in all situations as featured backs early in their careers before evolving into true every-down hybrids who did it all. This archetype delivered point-of-attack blocking, power rushing bruiser, short-yardage finishing, and YAC production with a running back’s mentality after the catch.

And any team smart enough to use analytics to manage snap counts, to build an offense with no Receivers or RBs but instead move tight ends, superbacks/H-backs, and inline tight ends, can run an 05 disguise offense and have the defensive coordinators confused on how to attack it. That is the evolution of offense.

Thursday, April 9, 2026

Patriots Complete Seven Round 2026 NFL Mock Draft

The Patriots have quite a bit of needs and 11 draft picks. This was a tough draft; pick 95 would have been reaching for players from my board, so I had to trade down, but I think the Patriots met most of their needs with this mock. There is a good mix of starting and developmental talent here.

Round 1 pick 31: Monroe Freeling, Tackle, Georgia
6'7" 315lbs, Age 21

Monroe Freeling is a long, athletic tackle prospect with elite movement skills that make him a natural fit for zone and outside-zone blocking schemes, where his ability to reach, pull, and get to the second level separates him from others in this class, and his pass protection gives coaching staffs something to build around immediately. His upright playing style creates balance and leverage issues that cause him to fall off blocks and overextend, his run blocking technique needs refinement, and his limited starting experience means he is still learning to handle the full range of NFL pass rush counters, making him a risk in gap-heavy schemes that demand anchor strength at the point of attack. The ceiling is that of a quality NFL starter with Pro Bowl potential, but the floor is significant enough that his landing spot, developmental window behind a veteran, and the quality of his offensive line coaching will ultimately determine whether those tools translate.

Round 2 pick 63: Derrick Moore, Edge, Michigan
6'4" 255lbs, Age 23

Derrick Moore is a power-first edge rusher whose bull rush is the best in this class, generating real pocket collapse and backing up a 10-sack senior season against Big Ten competition, with alignment versatility that lets him operate from a three-point stance or standing up without losing effectiveness. His run defense is inconsistent, which reads more like an effort and approach issue than a physical limitation, and his pass rush repertoire needs inside counters to prevent NFL tackles from simply anchoring and waiting him out. The floor is a reliable third-down pass rush specialist who earns rotation snaps, and the ceiling, if the run defense urgency and counter game develop, is a consistent starter who pressures quarterbacks every week.

Patriots trade pick 95 to Indianapolis for round 4 pick 113, round 5 pick 156, and round 7 pick 249. Should rank no worse than a B grade.

Round 4 pick 113: Bud Clark, Safety, TCU
6'1" 188lbs, Age 24

Bud Clark is a coverage-versatile, ball-hawking defensive back with 15 career interceptions and the instincts and range to play deep safety, box safety, or slot defender, making him an alignment-flexible option whose best fit is a split-safety or Cover 2/Cover 4 scheme where his quarterback-reading and ball-driving abilities can be maximized without asking him to be a true single-high centerfielder. His six years of experience give him a plug-and-play quality in sub-packages on day one, and his slot background adds immediate passing-down value as a big nickel who can match tight ends, with a realistic path to a starting role if his body holds up. The concerns are legitimate: his slender, high-waisted frame creates durability questions and limits his ability to hold up against bigger receivers and tight ends in the run game, his gambling tendencies that produce turnovers will be exploited more often by NFL quarterbacks who manipulate eyes, and the injury history requires thorough medical evaluation before committing significant draft capital.

Round 4 pick 125: Marlin Klein, Tight End, Michigan
6'6" 248lbs, Age 23

Marlin Klein is a German-born developmental tight end whose late entry into football makes his current tape a starting point rather than a finished product, with legitimate physical tools in his 6'6" frame and 4.61 speed that make him a genuine vertical threat on seam routes and crossers, while his blocking is a competitive but inconsistent work in progress where effort and hand strength show up but anchor issues and hand placement cost him too many reps against stronger defenders. He profiles as a backup Y tight end whose best fit is a play-action heavy offense that uses him in the middle of the field and on vertical shots, with a realistic ceiling of a number two tight end if a patient coaching staff can refine his route running and blocking technique, giving a reasonable range of outcomes for a fourth round investment.

Round 4 pick 131: Jager Burton, IOL, Kentucky
6'4" 312lbs, Age 23

Jager Burton is a 47-consecutive-start veteran with elite athleticism for his position, a 9.91 RAS, and the versatility to play center or guard, making him a scheme-flexible interior lineman whose best fit is a zone-blocking system where his quickness, footwork, and ability to reach the second level and handle combo blocks can be maximized. His processing, communication, and pass-protection awareness are legitimate strengths, and his experience at multiple interior positions adds immediate roster value as a depth piece with spot-start capability. The concerns center on his physicality and anchor: he struggles to sustain blocks when defenders get to his edges, his wide base creates balance issues against bull rushers, and he does not strike with enough aggression to hold up consistently against two-gapping defensive tackles at the point of attack, making him a finesse-dependent player whose ceiling in a power scheme is limited.

Round 5 pick 156: Trey Moore, Linebacker, Texas
6'2" 243lbs, Age 22

Trey Moore is an undersized, athletically gifted linebacker who projects as a 3-4 outside linebacker or passing-down edge rusher, where his advanced rush plan, legitimate spin move, and elite combine athleticism for his position can be maximized in favorable matchups without asking him to anchor against NFL-caliber tackles who can power him off his gap. His UTSA production was historic but came against overmatched competition, and his 2025 Texas tape showed the rush creativity had to work harder against better length while expanded coverage responsibilities exposed slow route recognition and uncertain ball reaction that will cap his every-down viability. The floor is a rotation pass rusher who earns third-down snaps, and the ceiling, if the coverage game and off-ball reads develop, is a versatile 3-4 OLB who can stress quarterbacks consistently and handle a limited role in space.

Round 5 pick 171: Jeff Caldwell, WR, Cincinnati
6'5" 216lbs, Age 25

Jeff Caldwell is a developmental X receiver with Z versatility whose 6'5" frame, 4.31 speed, and 42-inch vertical create a size-speed combination that almost does not exist at the position, giving him a legitimate ceiling as a vertical threat and red zone weapon who can beat press with pure athleticism, work play-action concepts, and win fades and back-shoulder throws inside the 20. The tape does not match the testing or perfect RAS score yet: his route tree is almost entirely vertical, his footwork is inconsistent, his contested catch rate is disappointing for his size, and three seasons at Lindenwood leave real questions about competition level. A fifth-round bet on a developmental piece with legitimate starter upside if an offensive staff can teach him to play with the physicality his body promises is a reasonable gamble.

Round 6 pick 191: Cole Brevard, IDL, Texas
6'3" 346lbs, Age 24

Cole Brevard is a 346-pound rotational nose tackle who dominates as a two-gap run defender by absorbing double teams and controlling the A-gap, with enough bull-rush power to push the pocket occasionally, but limited explosiveness keeps him from being more than a depth piece on passing downs without proper coaching development.

Round 6 pick 198: Enrique Cruz Jr., Tackle, Kansas
6'6" 313lbs, Age 22

A swing tackle with outstanding length and explosive upper-body power that can knock defenders off-balance, plus 800-plus snaps at both tackle spots giving him immediate roster versatility, but tight hips, tall pad level, below-average anchor against bull rushes, and struggles to redirect against inside counters cap his ceiling and make long-term starting viability a question his combine athleticism alone cannot answer.

Round 6 pick 202: Andre Fuller, Corner, Toledo
6'1" 200lbs, Age 24

Andre Fuller is a developmental boundary corner with legitimate press-man size, speed, and physicality in run support, whose best fit is a zone-heavy or Cover 2 scheme that masks his functional but not fluid hips and limited recovery ability when beaten off the line, with a missed 2024 season limiting his development reps and MAC competition leaving questions about how his route-matching holds up against NFL separation threats. The floor is a special teams contributor with rotational sub-package value, and the ceiling is a scheme-specific boundary starter if a staff can clean up his transition mechanics and press technique.

Round 6 pick 212: Eli Heidenreich, Running Back, Navy
6'0" 198lbs, Age 22

Eli Heidenreich is a versatile tweener weapon whose 6'0", 198-pound frame, mid-4.4 speed, elite explosiveness, and 6.55 three-cone back up legitimate athleticism, with soft hands, strong route feel, electric RAC ability, and spatial processing that make him most dangerous in space as a schemed gadget piece rather than a volume runner or traditional back. His entire college career in Navy's Wing-T means pass protection needs significant development and the transition to a pro-style system is a steep climb, but his floor as a special teams contributor and third-down receiving back with swiss-army-knife formation versatility gives him a real path to sticking on a roster for the right creative offensive staff.

Round 7 pick 247: Jack Kelly, Linebacker, BYU
6'2" 240lbs, Age 23

A versatile SAM linebacker and pass rush weapon whose sideline-to-sideline range, near-elite on-attack explosion, and 30.2% pressure rate on pass rush reps demonstrate a two-way threat who can blitz standing up or with his hand in the dirt, roam the middle of the field, and contribute immediately on special teams. His warts are real: average reaction time and leverage inconsistencies as a run defender, short arms that get him stuck to blockers, a 15% missed tackle rate, and below-average coverage fluidity limit his every-down viability, but his floor as a core special teamer with rotational pass rush value and his ceiling as a starting SAM if his play diagnosis and tackling technique improve make him a worthwhile late-round investment.

Round 7 pick 249: Keeshawn Silver, IDL, USC
6'4" 335lbs, Age 23

A massive, former five-star nose tackle with a seven-foot wingspan whose rare size and length make him a natural two-gap run stuffer in a 3-4 front, but limited athleticism beyond his first step, minimal pass rush production, and experience almost exclusively as a 0-technique head-up nose tackle make him a purely developmental space-eater whose ceiling depends entirely on what an NFL coaching staff can unlock from his physical tools.

Final Thoughts

The NFL Draft is two weeks away. The Patriots currently have eleven selections, and that number could fluctuate. With the team's needs, there are many ways they could go. This mock draft would set them up for both the 2026 and 2027 seasons. Everything with them depends on how they evaluate their current roster and what they truly believe is needed. While I acquired two selections in this draft, I have no idea what they are thinking trade-wise at the moment.

Sunday, April 5, 2026

Patriots 2026 NFL Draft Big Board.

The Patriots have another draft on the horizon and with less than a month away from pick 31, I decided it was time to do a full round by round prospect list for players that could be of use. The draft ranking is updated  from the original list done in February.

Give or take every positional group ADP since February 22 to April 5th has changed by the following:

WR: -12.54
Tackle: +6.70
Edge: -36.83
LB: +19.15
TE: +5.45
D-Line: +76.13
Safety: -5.71
IOL: +18.30
Corner: +1.11
RB: -60.37
Punter: +61.99
Passer: +1.71
IDL: -12.36
Kicker: +71.15
FB/H-Back: 0

Team needs ranked as of April 1st
• T – first
• ED, WR – third
• LB – fourth 
• TE, DL, S – fifth 
• IOL – eight (Depth)
• CB – ninth (outside)
• RB – tenth (Brandon Bolden rotation type)
• P – eleventh 
• OT (Swing) – twelveth 
• IDL, DT, NT – fourteenth (depth and rotational starter)

The Patriots Draft Pick Breakdown (2026):
Round 1: 32, Round 2: 33-64, Round 3: 65-100, Round 4: 101-140, Round 5: 141-181, Round 6: 182-216, Round 7: 217-257.

Round 1: 1 (Pick 31)
Round 2: 1 (Pick 63)
Round 3: 1 (Pick 95)
Round 4: 2 (Picks 125, 131)
Round 5: 1 (Pick 171)
Round 6: 4 (Picks 191, 198, 202, 212)
Round 7: 1 (Pick 247) 

Here is the NFL draft picks point chart

Click the players name to be taken to their draft profile, for rounds 1-4, I stopped because the source didn't produce that entire round. Across my seven rounds and the UDFA section, roughly a dozen prospects have appeared in consensus mock drafts as possible Patriots targets or strong fits. With the draft and post-draft UDFA signings, I’d be surprised if New England doesn’t sign at least one player from this board to some form of contract. It’s been a few years since one of my big boards didn’t produce at least one future Patriot.


Round 1
6.15 - David Bailey, Edge, Texas Tech
7.65 - Sonny Styles, Linebacker, Ohio State
22.4 - Cashius Howell, Edge, Texas A&M
23.25 - Monroe Freeling, Tackle, Georgia
25.1 - Caleb Banks, D-Line, Florida
25.2 - Kayden McDonald, IDL, Ohio State
25.65 - Denzel Boston, WR, Washington 
28.55 - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Safety, Toledo

Round 2
35 - Lee Hunter, IDL, Texas Tech
35.85 - Christen Miller, D-Line, Georgia
39.2 - Max Iheanachor, Tackle, Arizona State
39.7 - Blake Miller, Tackle, Clemson
40.55 - Chris Bell, WR, Louisville
43.85 - R Mason Thomas, Edge, Oklahoma
55.75 - Jake Golday, Linebacker, Cincinnati
60.85 - Anthony Hill Jr., Linebacker, Texas
62.2 - Derrick Moore, Edge, Michigan

Round 3
65.25 - Josiah Trotter, Linebacker, Missouri
67.2 - Jacob Rodriguez, Linebacker, Texas Tech
68.75 - Gennings Dunker, Tackle, Iowa
69.15 - Elijah Sarratt, WR, Indiana
69.7 - Domonique Orange, IDL, Iowa State
71.4 - Brian Parker II, Tackle, Duke
72.1 - LT Overton, Edge, Alabama
83.1 - Darrell Jackson Jr., IDL, Florida State
84.55 - Treydan Stukes, Corner, Arizona
86.3 - Devin Moore, Corner, Florida
87.65 - Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU
89.5 - Malachi Fields, WR, Notre Dame
90.55 - Keyron Crawford, Edge, Auburn
97.55 - Davison Igbinosun, Corner, Ohio State
97.9 - Zakee Wheatley, Safety, Penn State
98.05 - Genesis Smith, Safety, Arizona
98.55 - Sam Roush, Tight End, Stanford

Round 4
102.1 - Jaishawn Barham, Edge, Michigan
107.7 - Carson Beck, QB, Miami
110.8 - De'Zhaun Stribling, WR, Mississippi
111.05 - Bryce Lance, WR, ND State
113.35 - Bud Clark, Safety, TCU
114.45 - Justin Joly, FB/H-Back, N.C. State
114.6 - Mike Washington Jr., Running Back, Arkansas
115.5 - Seth McGowan, Running Back, Kentucky
117.95 - Keyshaun Elliott, Linebacker, Arizona State
119.55 - Drew Allar, QB, Penn State
130.15 - Marlin Klein, Tight End, Michigan
131.7 - Nicholas Singleton, Running Back, Penn State
133.35 - Jager Burton, IOL, Kentucky
137.95 - Eric McAlister, WR, TCU
137.85 - Jalon Kilgore, Corner, South Carolina

Round 5
140.4 - Isaiah World, Tackle, Oregon
141.5 - Dametrious Crownover, Tackle, Texas A&M
150.4 - Joe Royer, Tight End, Cincinnati
151 - Tacario Davis, Corner, Washington
151.45 - Eli Raridon, Tight End, Notre Dame
151.6 - Jimmori Robinson, Edge, West Virginia
153.5 - Julian Neal, Corner, Arkansas
154.5 - Caleb Fauria, Tight End, Delaware
155.25 - Al-Jay Henderson, Running Back, Buffalo
156.55 - Zxavian Harris, IDL, Ole Miss
157 - Miles Capers, Edge, Vanderbilt
158.8 - Ar'maj Reed-Adams, IOL, Texas A&M
162.3 - Ryan Mosesso, Tackle, UMass
162.4 - Trey Zuhn III, Tackle, Texas A&M
163.05 - Rayshaun Benny, D-Line, Michigan
168.95 - Trey Moore, Linebacker, Texas
172.2 - Drew Shelton, Tackle, Penn State
175.55 - Pat Coogan, IOL, Indiana
177.65 - Mason Murphy, Tackle, Auburn

Round 6
179.2 - Ka'ena Decambra, IOL, Arizona
182.7 - Ephesians Prysock, Corner, Washington
183.85 - Mason Randolph, IOL, Boise State
185 - Miles Kitselman, Tight End, Tennessee
185.15 - Alan Herron, Tackle, Maryland
185.35 - Jeff Caldwell, WR, Cincinnati
185.85 - Caleb Douglas, WR, Texas Tech
187.05 - Tanner Koziol, Tight End, Houston
190.4 - Chase Roberts, WR, BYU
191.9 - Cole Brevard, IDL, Texas
193.7 - John Michael Gyllenborg, Tight End, Wyoming
194.65 - Red Murdock, Linebacker, Buffalo
196.2 - Josh Cameron, WR, Baylor
196.8 - Kam Olds, Edge, Kentucky
198.5 - Cole Wisniewski, Safety, Texas Tech
201.25 - Shyheim Brown, Safety, Florida State
207.4 - Mo Westmoreland, Edge, Tulane
209.8 - Weylin Lapuaho, IOL, BYU
213.2 - Micah Morris, IOL, Georgia
213.5 - Enrique Cruz Jr., Tackle, Kansas
214 - Xavier Nwankpa, Safety, Iowa
215.75 - Andre Fuller, Corner, Toledo
216 - Dane Key, WR, Nebraska
216.2 - Desmond Purnell, Linebacker, Kansas State

Round 7
217.25 - Domani Jackson, Corner, Alabama
222.2 - Eli Heidenreich, Running Back, Navy
222.3 - Colbie Young, WR, Georgia
223.55 - Kam Dewberry, IOL, Alabama
223.65 - Stephen Hall, Corner, Missouri
223.85 - Roman Hemby, Running Back, Indiana
224.85 - Febechi Nwaiwu, IOL, Oklahoma
225.15 - Trevor Brock, Tackle, Buffalo
226.15 - J. Michael Sturdivant, WR, Florida
228.25 - Max Bredeson, FB/H-Back, Michigan
230.45 - VJ Payne, Safety, Kansas State
230.9 - Jack Velling, Tight End, Michigan State
232.45 - Jakobe Thomas, Safety, Miami
234.7 - Deven Eastern, IDL, Minnesota
235.5 - Luke Altmyer, QB, Illinois
235.95 - Fa'alili Fa'amoe, Tackle, Wake Forest
237.15 - Haynes King, QB, Georgia Tech
237.25 - Cole Payton, QB, ND State
240.15 - James Thompson Jr., D-Line, Illinois
241.15 - Riley Nowakowski, FB/H-Back, Indiana
241.46 - Jack Stonehouse, Punter, Syracuse
241.5 - Damonic Williams, D-Line, Oklahoma
242.1 - Ryan Eckley, Punter, Michigan State
242.35 - Lander Barton, Linebacker, Utah
243.25 - Dominic Zvada, Kicker, Michigan
243.35 - Bryson Eason, D-Line, Tennessee
243.7 - Bobby Jamison-Travis, IDL, Auburn
243.7 - Jimmy Rolder, Linebacker, Michigan
244.9 - Matt Gulbin, IOL, Michigan State
245.4 - Joshua Braun, IOL, Kentucky
245.9 - Jeadyn Lukus, Corner, Clemson
246.5 - Adam Randall, Running Back, Clemson
247.3 - Ahmari Harvey, Corner, Georgia Tech
247.35 - Dean Connors, Running Back, Houston
248.7 - Chip Trayanum, Running Back, Toledo
248.7 - Trey Smack, Kicker, Florida
249.4 - Micah Pettus, Tackle, Florida State
249.9 - DeShon Singleton, Safety, Nebraska
250.05 - Kendal Daniels, Safety, Oklahoma
250.6 - Tomas Rimac, IOL, Virginia Tech
251.4 - Riley Mahlman, Tackle, Wisconsin
251.5 - Keagen Trost, Tackle, Missouri
253.95 - Will Kacmarek, Tight End, Ohio State
254.05 - Carsen Ryan, Tight End, BYU
254.15 - Logan Taylor, IOL, Boston College
254.75 - Jaden Dugger, Linebacker, Louisiana
255.75 - Keeshawn Silver, IDL, USC
256.25 - Gary Smith III, IDL, UCLA
256.75 - Alex Harkey, Tackle, Oregon
257.65 - Cameron Ball, IDL, Arkansas
258 - Matthew Hibner, Tight End, SMU
258.85 - Donaven McCulley, WR, Michigan
259.9 - Jalen Huskey, Safety, Maryland
262.6 - Jack Kelly, Linebacker, BYU
268.6 - Kansei Matsuzawa, Kicker, Hawaii
464.15 - Trinidad Chambliss, QB, Ole Miss
492.86 - Peter Manuma, Safety, Hawaii

UDFA-Camp Invites
501 - Wynden Ho'ohuli, Linebacker, Hawaii
509.55 - Kuao Peihopa, IOL, Hawaii
519.51 - Jamar Sekona, IDL, Hawaii
533.55 - Zhen Sotelo, IOL, Hawaii
545.87 - Justin Sinclair, Safety, Hawaii
548 - Nick Cenacle, WR, Hawaii
553.48 - Lucas Borrow, Punter, Hawaii
567.71 - Devyn King, Corner, Hawaii
581.29 - Christian Vaughn, Running Back, Hawaii
591.69 - Edwards Li Videl, Corner, Hawaii
593.51 - De'Jon Benton, IDL, Hawaii
642.04 - Tariq Jones, D-Line, Hawaii
674.44 - James Milovale, Tackle, Hawaii
686 - Jalen Smith, Linebacker, Hawaii
696.85 - Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen, Safety, Hawaii
970 - Jackie Johnson III, Edge, Hawaii
983.09 - David Cordero, Running Back, Hawaii
983.19 - Landon Sims, Running Back, Hawaii
985.15 - Truman Werremeyer, FB/H-Back, North Dakota State
986 - Giovanni Iovino, Linebacker, Hawaii
987.67 - Jaheim Wilson-Jones, Corner, Hawaii
992 - Carsen Stocklinski, IDL, Hawaii
992 - Qwyn Williams, IDL, Hawaii

I put together a list of what I saw as team fits based on needs. The list grows towards the middle rounds. However, that's where I think the Patriots are really gonna do damage. Also, shout out to Steelers Depot. Their draft profiles are usually on point. I expect Kansei Matsuzawa from Hawaii to make a roster this season and one or two could be udfa practice squad players for the Patriots.

Sunday, March 29, 2026

THE THREE DOWN DIME: WIDE EAGLE BEAR 5-0 / 3-2-6

WHAT THE DEFENSE IS

The Three Down Dime is a 3-2-6 personnel structure that presents as a 5-0 front and operates as a base defense across all three downs plus special teams. It is not a situational package. It is the base defense for the game that is actually being played.

Personnel Grouping:

- 1 NT (0-tech, two-gap, both A-gaps)
- 2 DTs (3i through 4-tech, both lining up between tackle and guard on each side of the NT, both playing 3i and 4-tech interchangeably depending on call, formation, and offensive tendency)
- 2 Edge/LBs (5 through 7-tech, pass rush and coverage capable)
- 2 Outside Corners (press-man primary)
- 1 FS (single-high)
- 2 Rover/Box SSs
- 1 Robber/Box SS

Total: 11 players. Zero traditional linebackers. Six defensive backs. A dime defense operating as a base.

The Wide Eagle refers to the wide alignment of the Edge/LBs outside the tackles, creating a five-man front appearance. The Bear refers to the NT controlling both A-gaps in the tradition of the Chicago Bears' historic Bear front. The 5-0 designation reflects five players on or near the line of scrimmage with zero traditional linebackers. The 3-2-6 reflects the underlying personnel reality: three interior linemen, two hybrid edges, six DBs.

HOW THE DEFENSE IS BUILT

The construction methodology is the genuine innovation separating this defense from every existing implementation in the literature.

Step one is scheme definition before player evaluation. Every positional role is defined by its specific function within the collective system before a single player is evaluated. The NT role, each DT role, each Edge/LB role, and each of the three distinct SS roles are defined separately because Robber and the two Rovers are three different jobs wearing the same position label.

Step two is analytics filter by position. Each role generates its own specific metric requirements derived from what that role does within this scheme, not generic positional grades.

For the NT: double-team draw rate, two-gap stop rate, point-of-attack holding ability. Single-coverage win rate is secondary because the job is gap control and block absorption.

For both DTs: single-coverage pass rush win rate combined with high double-team draw frequency. Both filters simultaneously. A player who wins singles but draws no doubles is stat-padding against inferior competition. A player who draws doubles but does not win singles becomes a liability when singled. The combination is required. When all three interior linemen meet this combined filter, the offense faces an impossible blocking math problem before the snap. Both DTs carry identical analytical requirements because both play 3i and 4-tech interchangeably. They are the same role deployed on each side of the NT, not specialists differentiated by technique.

For the Edge/LBs: pass rush win rate against tackles singled, zone coverage grade, man coverage rate against TEs and backs. The hybrid grade, not pure pass rush and not pure coverage, but the intersection of both.

For the outside corners: press-man specific metrics, not zone metrics.

For the FS: single-high coverage grades, range metrics, processing and communication indicators.

For the Robber/Box SS: intermediate zone coverage grades, run-stop rate, QB-eye-reading instincts.

For the Rover/Box SSs: versatility grades across multiple alignments, man coverage rate against slots, blitz effectiveness rate. Players other teams cannot cleanly classify. That unclassifiability is the target trait.

Step three is scouting within the qualified pool. Analytics builds the universe. Scouting closes the evaluation. Technique, instincts, processing speed, and how players win determine selection within each pool. The most talented player who fits the scheme-specific metrics gets the role.

This process eliminates draft board groupthink, positional inflation, and roster incoherence simultaneously. Every player on the field was selected through the same scheme-first filter. No individual player is doing something impossible. The emergent properties come from eleven players each executing their specific function within a structure whose pieces were selected to interlock.

HOW THE DEFENSE FUNCTIONS

The Wall and Spill.

The NT at 0-tech controls both A-gaps and demands a double from the center plus one guard. Both DTs, playing 3i through 4-tech interchangeably on each side of the NT, control the B and C gaps and draw double-team attention from the remaining guards and tackles. Three interior linemen account for all interior gaps while demanding doubles at high rates. This forces the offense to need five OL plus a TE to manage the interior. That TE is no longer a route runner. The route combination loses a body before the snap.

The Edge/LBs use squeeze technique to force runs outside. Once outside, the Rover/Box SSs running downhill from depth and the Robber/Box SS have angles in space. The ball is funneled to where the defense has speed advantages.

The disguised 8-man box.

Against 11 personnel the defense shows six DBs. The offense reads dime and adjusts. Post-snap the two Rover/Box SSs fold into the box from depth, the Robber/Box SS fills from his alignment, and eight defenders converge at the point of attack. The offense has already committed to its blocking assignment based on a pre-snap read that was deliberately constructed to mislead.

The blocking math problem.

Against empty the offense has removed the TE that was chipping the Edge/LBs. The interior three are still winning 70-plus percent in singles. Five OL against that interior means at minimum one free or near-free rusher from the interior before the edges are even accounted for. The Edge/LBs are now single covered against tackles with no chip help. If both edges rush, that is five rushers against five blockers with interior already winning. If one drops, that is six coverage-capable defenders and four rushers with a built-in free or contested block. If both drop, that is eight coverage defenders and interior pressure still arriving structurally. No formation choice produces a good outcome for the offense.

The Mike problem.

In a traditional defense the Mike is easy to identify. He stands in the same place on every play. The center points to him, the line adjusts, and protection is set. In the Three Down Dime there is no Mike. The two Rover/Box SSs could be linebackers, blitzers, or dropping into coverage. The Edge/LBs could be edge rushers or dropping into flats and hook zones. The Robber/Box SS could be blitzing an A-gap or sitting in the intermediate throwing lane. The offense cannot identify the Mike because the Mike does not exist in a static form. This is not manufactured by the play call. It is built into the roster.

RPO destruction.

RPOs exploit the conflict between run-fit defenders and coverage defenders. They work because linebackers trigger on run fakes and vacate throwing lanes. This defense has no traditional linebackers to trigger. The Rover/Box SSs read QB eyes and offensive line movement simultaneously. They are fast enough to defend both options at once. The Robber/Box SS occupies the intermediate throwing lanes that RPO passes target. There is no run-pass conflict to exploit because the personnel cannot be put in conflict the way RPO design assumes.

Front multiplicity from one personnel package.

Without substituting a single player the defense can present a 5-0-6 look with all five down, a 3-2-6 look with both Edge/LBs standing up, a 6-1-4 look with a Rover creeping to the line, or a 7-0-4 look threatening an all-out pressure. The offense cannot confirm what is coming until the snap. The protection has already been set on a read that was wrong.

THE PROBLEMS WITH THE DEFENSE

The NT is non-negotiable and scarce. Everything downstream depends on the NT commanding a double and still controlling both A-gaps. If the NT is displaced vertically, the DTs receive combo blocks climbing to the second level, the Edge/LBs lose their one-on-one advantages, and the Rover run fits become contested instead of free. The entire pressure math collapses at one position. The NFL market for true two-gap zero-tech NTs who simultaneously draw doubles at high rates is extremely thin.

Three rare archetypes simultaneously. The NT, the Edge/LB hybrids, and the Rover/Box SSs are all underproduced in the NFL pipeline. The market inefficiency that makes this scheme financially efficient in construction is also the personnel scarcity that makes it organizationally difficult to build completely. It can be drafted for systematically over multiple cycles. It cannot be assembled through free agency quickly.

Sustained heavy personnel creates wear. Modern offenses do not stay in heavy personnel because it eliminates their tempo and constraint advantages. But a team committed to 12 or 21 personnel on consecutive drives with a dominant offensive line can wear on lighter box defenders. Walking a Rover or the Robber down adds size but modifies the coverage structure that makes the secondary threatening. Not a fatal flaw. A constraint requiring specific game-planning.

Play-action vertical shots against single-high. The FS covers the entire deep middle alone. If the FS processes a run fake incorrectly or the outside corners lose phase in man coverage, post and corner routes are the clearest path to explosive plays. Two-high rotation on obvious play-action downs mitigates this but requires the FS and Rovers to read formation tendencies accurately pre-snap.

Elite offensive line play is a universal stress. If the center and guards consistently win their individual matchups against the NT and DTs, the interior wall does not form and the pressure math stops working. The analytics filter selects the best available players at those roles. It cannot guarantee dominance against the best offensive lines on every snap.

Complexity demands consistent communication. The pre-snap disguise functions only if all eleven players execute the same deception simultaneously. One player in the wrong alignment breaks the picture the offense is reading. The margin for error is narrow because the scheme's advantage lives in ambiguity, and ambiguity requires precision to maintain.

WHY IT IS STILL THE WAY FORWARD

The problems are real but they define operational constraints, not structural failures.

The NT scarcity is a personnel acquisition challenge, not a scheme flaw. The analytics-first methodology creates a different player pool than conventional scouting. The NT equivalent gets found not as a top draft pick graded by traditional standards but as a player whose specific metrics match the scheme requirements and who other teams passed on because he did not fit conventional positional templates. That is the market inefficiency. Belichick built a dynasty on exactly this logic.

The heavy personnel vulnerability is self-limiting for the offense. An offense committing to 12 or 21 personnel for an entire game to attack this defense has also abandoned spread formations, RPOs, tempo, and the matchup advantages that define modern offensive design. They have chosen to play a slower, more physical game. That is a concession, not a counter.

The play-action single-high risk is the universal cost of single-high coverage. Every defense that plays single-high accepts this. The mitigation in this scheme is structural. If the interior is winning at 70-plus percent, the QB's window to throw the deep post closes before the route fully develops. The pass rush collapses the exploitation window.

The fundamental case for this defense as the way forward is structural. NFL offenses operate from 11 personnel on 60 to 80 percent of snaps. Traditional base defenses built for 21 and 22 personnel are defending a game that no longer exists at scale. Every traditional defense is substituting into dime to match modern offenses. This defense starts where they end up. Every heavy personnel adjustment is made from this base outward, not the reverse.

WHY DISGUISE IS THE MULTIPLIER

Disguise in this scheme is not a stylistic addition or a play-call feature. It is a structural property that emerges from the personnel construction itself.

Every other three-high or dime-base scheme in the existing literature achieves disguise through alignment movement: walking players around pre-snap, mugging linebackers, rotating safeties post-snap. The disguise is the scheme calling the disguise.

In the Three Down Dime the disguise exists because the roster contains players who cannot be classified by the offense pre-snap. The Rover/Box SSs are not safeties performing predictable safety assignments. They are athletes whose individual capability profiles span linebacker, safety, slot corner, and edge rusher simultaneously. The Edge/LBs are not defensive ends or outside linebackers. They are hybrids whose rush-and-coverage duality cannot be resolved by the offense before the snap.

The QB's pre-snap identification process works when positions correspond to predictable assignments. When the center points to the Mike, protection sets because the Mike's alignment predicts his assignment. When a Rover/Box SS aligns in the box, the center cannot confirm whether he is the Mike, a blitzer, or a coverage player because his capability profile does not allow that confirmation. The ambiguity is built into the player, not manufactured by the play call.

This is what the literature documents when describing the Flores Vikings creating the highest blitz rate by volume while Flores himself clarified they were not blitzing. They were using alignment and their base five-man front to create one-on-one matchups. The offense reads blitz. The defense plays base. The gap between what the offense reads and what the defense actually runs is the source of pressure without extra rushers.

The Three Down Dime systematizes this property across all eleven positions simultaneously. Not one hybrid player creating confusion. Eleven players whose individual capability profiles each contain multiple plausible assignments, making pre-snap identification structurally impossible across the entire formation.

SOURCES: THIS CONCEPT IS NOT WITHOUT PRECEDENT

Belichick and the Patriots documented the foundational path. By 2020 the Patriots were playing dime on nearly 40 percent of plays as their de facto base, playing zero snaps of traditional base defense in the first four games of the season. They held the Chiefs to 94 rushing yards despite playing every snap with six or more defensive backs, proving run defense integrity of the dime structure when the interior line is constructed correctly. The Patriots led the league in Big Nickel usage and put three safeties on the field on over 60 percent of snaps in 2022, at points rostering seven safeties. The documented philosophy: the key to holding up against the run with light personnel is a block-eating defensive line keeping smaller second-level defenders clean. That is the NT and DT philosophy of this scheme operating at NFL scale.

Brian Flores and the Vikings proved the pressure architecture works under modern conditions. Flores incorporated a version of the defense popularized at the college level by Pittsburgh coach Pat Narduzzi, combining a six-man front with zone coverage behind it. The Vikings led the NFL in zone coverage frequency at 69 percent while simultaneously having the league's highest rates in both blitzes and three-man rushes, using personnel groupings that complicate blocking schemes and reduce the offensive play menu. [vikings](https://www.vikings.com/news/espn-deep-dive-brian-flores-innovations-with-defense) For most defensive snaps the Vikings had six or seven defenders on the line of scrimmage, creating massive stress on offenses, forcing them to run into loaded boxes or compromise their protections. [matchquarters](https://www.matchquarters.com/p/brian-flores-vikings-defensive-scheme-breakdown-6-1-defense-red-zone) Flores himself pointed out they were not pressuring per se but using alignment and their base five-man front to create one-on-one matchups.

The Big 12 college landscape validated the base dime concept years before NFL adoption. By 2019 the Big 12 transition to base dime was evident, with most teams fielding at least five DBs and several running true six-DB looks as their base structure rather than a situational package. [sportstreatise](https://sportstreatise.com/2019/08/dime-is-base-in-2019s-big-12/) Iowa State under Heacock and Campbell made a deliberate structural decision in spring 2017 to run the Odd Stack from a three-safety shell, specifically modifying it to use Tampa-style principles with the middle safety fitting the run from depth. [matchquarters](https://www.matchquarters.com/p/three-high-defense-evolution-counters-iowa-state-kansas-state)

The 3-2-6 specifically has documented precedent at multiple levels. The 3-2-6 is a recognition that the 3-4 is not optimal for defending spread offenses and the expansion of a dime package into a base defense. Texas embraced it when spread offenses did not have a great answer for two-robber coverage and when four safeties provided more versatile athletes than specialists. [sportstreatise](https://sportstreatise.com/2018/02/a-glossary-of-modern-defensive-formations-pt-iii/)

Oregon under Lanning represents the current NFL-adjacent implementation. Lanning modernized the Mint Front into a 4-down 3-high safety structure with specific run fit rules and coverage rotations built into the system rather than called situationally. [matchquarters](https://www.matchquarters.com/p/oregon-mint-3-high-system-run-fits-coverage) Still a four-down structure. Still arriving at three-high from the secondary side rather than from interior construction logic.

What the literature does not contain is the specific methodology: scheme defined first, positional metric filters derived from scheme requirements, analytics building position-specific pools, scouting closing within those pools, and the collective interior analytics selection combining single-coverage win rate with double-team draw frequency as the load-bearing foundation that makes the entire superstructure viable. The pieces exist across the literature. The integrated system with the analytics-first roster construction methodology does not exist anywhere else.

BOTTOM LINE

Belichick proved the run integrity of dime personnel when the interior is constructed correctly. Flores proved the pressure architecture at NFL level. The Big 12 proved the base dime concept years ahead of the NFL. Oregon proved the three-safety structure in the modern spread era. Texas proved the 3-2-6 specifically. Nobody has published the complete system with the interior analytics construction as its foundation and the three distinct SS roles as its coverage engine.

The Three Down Dime is not a gimmick. It is not a situational package. It is the base defense for the game that is actually being played, built by a methodology no franchise has formally codified, validated by two decades of evidence from the most successful defensive coach in NFL history and the most innovative defensive coordinator currently working.

The players exist. The evidence exists. The methodology is documented here. It's analytically possible to construct. Why is it not more prevalent in the NFL?

Thursday, March 26, 2026

Patriots Meet With Over 10 Percent Of My 2026 Patriots Draft Big Board

The Patriots have met with prospects prior to the 2026 NFL draft. They have met with over ten percent of my Big Board for them. Now, although they were in proximity to many other prospects from my boards according to the Patriots Pulpit staff, realistically, they had the opportunity to meet with any of the prospects in this year's draft, so I am not going to include those names. Here are the prospects from my list that they met with and everyone is not only a need but a fit. This list is not solely from top 30 visits.

Before I list. I didn't want to flood the list with Steeler Depot scouting reports but if they have one on any of these players, I have found over the years that they tend to know what they're talking about, more so then some other publications, so check them out. Also, when looking at who the patriots meet with, you have to truly understand the philosophy behind roster construction from the draft portion.

Quarterback:
These are potential long term backups. They're athletic enough to be playmakers but aren't projected to be anything more than a spot starter at best.

Receiver:
These are field stretchers, someone Maye can launch the ball to. Early on they'll be rotational guys but they have potential to develop into the team's X.

Offensive Linemen
While listed as a tackle, he's projected as an interior player. They Patriots under Vrabel, don't appear to care about measurable when it comes to the position, instead looking at ability. So I don't know where they see him.

Edge
These edges are more versatile than being given credit for. While Vrable and the Patriots seem egor to continue ro run a big nickel, these are guys that could help them run a heavy (4) safety 3-2-6 three down dime successfully.

Interior Defensive Line 
Show the ability to disrupt the pocket or be versatile, that is what you see here. One guy isn't gonna be flashy but he's gonna force the quarterback to move, the other is gonna come from anywhere. Two different styles, both fill needs.

Linebacker
Another versatile linebacker that can help build a 3-2-6 safety heavy three down dime. The Patriots clearly have a type, even if they're planning on running the wrong money formation. 

Tight End
While versatile, I think these are guys the Patriots would try to develop into an inline tight end, while they have Henry under contract. So that way they could have a complete tight end weapon. These are guys you're looking more at year 2 production.

Corner
He's a developmental depth piece that can contribute in multiple phases. He shouldn't be asked to start early but he can come in when needed as a rotational guys early on the outside. This is someone to solidify the depth chart that one hopes can develop into a starter.

Safety
These aren't just run stopping safeties, they can play everywhere. And allow for the Patriots to disguise who is gonna be the free single high safety. While they're not a star in any area, their holes are few in their games. 

Running Back 
These are pass catching, every down committee backs. That can play on special teams. A better or worse version of Brandon Bolden. Classic JMD style players that should give the team what it needs, so that Henderson can slide into that Kevin Faulk, James White role.

19 total matches so far is not bad, and they could add to this list as they have over half of their top 30 visits remaining. I have a good list of prospects but this shows the Patriots are at least partially on board with how I see their needs and fits. These players aren't about getting stars, they're about continuing getting parts and allowing them to do what they do best. If that is the continued mentality of the roster building, then everything they do will come down to scouting and player development, and cannot be put on the players they bring in. Fans will need to direct any criticisms to the proper areas.

I want to say this, if I am correct, the Patriots board is probably only holding a quarter to two-fifth of the projected top 100 prospects, while majority of the board will be prospects projected from rounds three thru five. I'd bet the board is like 150 concensus mid round prospects, up to 40 top 100 prospects, and maybe 80 to 100 concensus and non concensus late round and UDFA prospects realistically, and there's only about 1,000 prospects annually worthy of being a UDFA - practice squad member or better.

Sunday, March 8, 2026

2026 Free Agent Options At Receiver

In the 2022 NFL draft, there were a handful of players I wanted the Patriots to draft. Jerreth Sterns out of Kentucky (out of the NFL), and current free agents Jahan Dotson and  Romeo Dobbs. Sterns getting a workout with McDaniels isn't likely to happen but the other two would allow the Patriots to draft a developmental number one. Here's a refresher on Dotson and Dobbs.

Jahan Dotson | WR | Philadelphia Eagles → 2026 Free Agent
Height: 5'11" | Weight: 184 lbs | Draft: 2022, Round 1, Pick 16 (Washington Commanders) | Alignment Type: Slot / Z

Dotson was originally drafted by Washington, then traded to Philadelphia in 2024, where he operated as a depth piece behind A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, earning a Super Bowl ring in a limited role. The production is thin by volume: 19 receptions for 219 yards in 2024, followed by 18 receptions for 262 yards in 2025. But context is everything. He has never once been given a genuine role as a featured option. Every snap of his career has come in a system that had no obligation to feed him. His career arc has been defined more by flashes than consistency, but that's a product of opportunity deprivation, not inability.

Strengths: Elite hands with a large catch radius for his size; polished route runner with strong understanding of tempo and leverage; 4.43 speed allows him to threaten vertically from the Z alignment and avoid press at the line. Capable of acrobatic, contested catches when targeted.

Weaknesses: Undersized frame is a recurring liability against physical man coverage. 121 career receptions and 1,519 receiving yards across four seasons, the career numbers are what they are, and there is legitimate uncertainty about whether his production in a featured role would justify first-round expectations.

Role Projection: His floor is a high-end WR3 and his expectation is a legitimate WR2. He has the route-running IQ, hands, and speed to be a reliable second option in a structured passing offense with spacing and timing built in. His ceiling depends entirely on finally receiving consistent targets and a defined role, neither of which he's had since entering the league. At 25 years old, there's still time to find out.

Romeo Doubs | WR | Green Bay Packers → 2026 Free Agent
Height: 6'2" | Weight: 204 bs | Draft: 2022, Round 4, Pick 132 (Green Bay Packers) | Alignment Type: X / Z

Doubs led the Packers in receptions, targets, and receiving yards in 2025, 55 catches for 724 yards and six touchdowns on 85 targets, yet still won't be retained, due to a crowded receiver room that includes Watson, Reed, Wicks, and Golden.  He isn't leaving because he underperformed. He's leaving because Green Bay can get younger and cheaper behind him. His postseason exit was emphatic: eight catches for 124 yards and a touchdown in the Wild Card loss to Chicago, leading the Packers in every receiving category on the night. He is tied for the most career touchdown receptions among all receivers from the 2022 draft class, and became one of only three players in Packers franchise history to reach at least 40 catches, 400 yards, and three touchdowns in each of his first three seasons. The drop issues that followed him early in his career are real but trending in the right direction. He also recorded a career-high 12 receptions of 20-plus yards in 2025.

A legitimate concern worth flagging: San Francisco has already been linked to Doubs as the legal tampering window opens, which means New England isn't the only team that's noticed what he is. The market is real.

Strengths: Exceptional ball-tracking and body control; reliable in contested catch situations; consistent red-zone producer; size and stride length let him win against off-coverage on the perimeter. 202 career receptions, 2,424 yards, and 21 touchdowns in four seasons from a fourth-round pick is legitimate value.

Weaknesses: Limited YAC ability, he wins at the catch point, not beyond it. Green Bay's system spread targets across multiple receivers and lean heavily on the run game, so his true ceiling as a featured receiver remains untested.

Role Projection: His floor is a high-end WR2. His expectation is a bottom-tier WR1, he has the size, production, and red-zone reliability to function as a team's primary receiver, but without elite separation or YAC upside he profiles best alongside a strong supporting cast rather than carrying an offense alone. At 25 years old entering free agency, his best football is arguably still ahead of him.

As for Sterns, he's a pure slot guy like Edelman, Welker, and Amendola. He spent his rookie off-season with the buccaneers. Didn't make the team,  got signed in release by the Rams at the end of the 2022 season. And has been tearing it up in the CFL since. It's doubtful Winnipeg will let him out of his contract signed in February. 

Thursday, February 26, 2026

The 350 Pound Anchor Nose Tackle Isn't Obsolete, Your Understanding Of Defense Is Misguided.

It's combine weekend, and I'm hearing things I know are false. Don't tell me the zero/two-gap nose tackle that pushes the center into the quarterback and becomes both A gaps is obsolete. That is a clear lapse of imagination, and the problem with modern football at the college and pro level. The line should have three interior linemen, and I'll explain.

The nose tackle should be a zero or zero-one technique. You're looking for the anchor that requires double if not triple coverage, who can push the center into the backfield/quarterback. The double-team rate can be found without looking at tape, which helps narrow the field of players that require film on. He's forcing the quarterback to leave the pocket and denying runs up the middle. Since the quarterback will have to leave the pocket, it makes direction easy, spot the ball and chase it down.

The sides of the nose tackle are where teams mess up. Most teams would assume you're playing a 3-4 defense with a nose tackle like that, that is wrong. An A-gap-penetrating DT should be on both sides of the NT. One who can play a 4I and 3 technique, one who can play a 2 and 2I, but at minimum the 4I and 3 are required. This player must crash through the B gap while shoving the guard into the A gap, and this should be done on both sides of the nose tackle while pursuing whoever has the ball. This is another player you're going to start with double-team requirements.

If scouting is done correctly, there is no longer an A gap, and the offense will have a defender coming through the B gap. And if all three of those men require double teams against non-elite offensive linemen, that means a 6th and 7th blocker will be needed to stay in.

This leaves two possible groups behind them: either a 3-3-5 nickel or a 3-2-6 dime. It's just a matter of how many linebackers and safeties the team wants on the field.

A 3-3-5 team plays with two edges capable of playing both standing and in the dirt, one middle linebacker, a single-high free safety, two strong box safeties capable of playing either the rover or robber position, and two outside corners.

A team running a 3-2-6 will play with the same type of edges but will play with one strong safety box/robber and two strong safety box/rovers, plus the same single-high free safety and two outside corners.

And let's be honest, how many teams nowadays are looking for that nose tackle when scouting? How many teams ignore the film on 0 tech nose tackles, ignore their proday, or their combined? I'm betting a significant portion of the league.

That nose tackle who is "obsolete" is the keystone of the defensive line described here. Without him, the defense fails. While there are hybrid nose tackles, there's no substitute for the real thing.

The modern defensive player is a hybrid, maybe not as strong or as fast as previous generations, but where they lack in one area, they make up in another. The idea that a team gets beat by a single type of offense per formation is no longer true. It can happen, but modern defenders can hold up against most formations. Most teams run almost exclusively a combination of spread and 21 personnel formations nowadays.

A defensive formation with a solid interior line as described here means teams only have to rush three, as long as only five men are left in to block, meaning that 4th and 5th rusher can come from anywhere on the field. And it all starts with the 350 +/- pound anchor nose tackle.

Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Thirty-Three Top 100 Prospect Fits For The Patriots

So I went through and got my 175 prospect big board, and sorted it by need, click the link. Here are the 33 top 100 prospects from that list, with four links scouting report draft profiles for each. I'm only providing links to four sources and then a link to their PFF profile for a little more info on how they were used. If the source doesn't have a report on the player, the number will obviously be lower. 

5 - David Bailey - ED - Texas Tech
6'3" 247 lbs. Senior

9 - Sonny Styles - LB - Ohio St
6'5" 243 lbs. Senior

16 - Cashius Howell - ED - Texas A&M
6'2" 248 lbs. Senior

18 - Caleb Banks - DL - Florida
6'6" 335 lbs Senior

21 - Denzel Boston - WR - Washington
6'4" 210 lbs. Junior

23 - Kayden McDonald - IDL - Ohio St
6'3" 326 lbs. Junior 

28 - Lee Hunter - Texas Tech
6'4" 320 lbs. Junior

31 - Monroe Freeling - T - Georgia
6'7" 315 lbs. Junior

32 - Christen Miller - DL - Georgia
6'4" 305 lbs. Junior 

34 - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren - S - Toledo
6'2" 202 Lbs. Senior

37 - Chris Bell - WR - Louisville
6'2" 220 lbs Senior 

39 - R Mason Thomas - ED - Oklahoma
6'2" 249 lbs. Senior

40 - Anthony Hill Jr. - LB - Texas
6'3" 238 lbs. Senior 

47 - Max Iheanachor - T - Arizona St
6'5" 325 lbs. Senior 

52 - LT Overton - ED - Alabama
6'5" 278 lbs. Senior 

52 - Jake Golday - LB - Cincinnati
6'4" 240 lbs. Senior 
 
54 - Blake Miller - T - Clemson
6'6" 315 lbs. Senior

60 - Derrick Moore - ED - Michigan
6'3" 254 lbs. Senior

63 - Josiah Trotter - LB - Missouri
6'2" 237 lbs. Sophomore

66 - Elijah Sarratt - WR - Indiana
6'2" 213 lbs Senior

67 - Domonique Orange - IDL - Iowa St
6'4" 325 lbs. Senior 

79 - Garrett Nussmeier - QB - LSU
6'1" 205 lbs. Senior 

81 - Gennings Dunker - T - Iowa
6'4" 320 lbs. Senior 

83 - Malachi Fields - WR - Notre Dame
6'4" 218 lbs.  Senior 

85 - Devin Moore - CB - Florida
6'2" 198 lbs. Senior 

86 - Darrell Jackson Jr. - IDL - Florida St
6'5" 328 lbs. Senior 

88 - Keyron Crawford - ED - Auburn
6'3" 251 lbs. Senior 

91 - Jacob Rodriguez - LB - Texas Tech
6'1" 233 lbs. Senior 

94 - Carson Beck - QB - Miami
6'4" 225 lbs. Senior 

95 - Zakee Wheatley - S - Penn St
6'2" 201 lbs. Senior 

99 - Seth McGowan - RB - Kentucky
5'11" 215 lbs. Senior 

99 - Justin Joly - H-Back - N.C. State
6'3" 251 lbs. Senior 

100 - Genesis Smith - S - Arizona
6'2" 204 lbs. Junior 

The NFL combine starts this weekend and the concensus will probably change but these are the current top 100 prospects for the Patriots big board. There are 7 more names in my main "Big Board" that could easily be drafted in the top 100.