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Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Thirty-Three Top 100 Prospect Fits For The Patriots

So I went through and got my 175 prospect big board, and sorted it by need, click the link. Here are the 33 top 100 prospects from that list, with four links scouting report draft profiles for each. I'm only providing links to four sources and then a link to their PFF profile for a little more info on how they were used. If the source doesn't have a report on the player, the number will obviously be lower. 

5 - David Bailey - ED - Texas Tech
6'3" 247 lbs. Senior

9 - Sonny Styles - LB - Ohio St
6'5" 243 lbs. Senior

16 - Cashius Howell - ED - Texas A&M
6'2" 248 lbs. Senior

18 - Caleb Banks - DL - Florida
6'6" 335 lbs Senior

21 - Denzel Boston - WR - Washington
6'4" 210 lbs. Junior

23 - Kayden McDonald - IDL - Ohio St
6'3" 326 lbs. Junior 

28 - Lee Hunter - Texas Tech
6'4" 320 lbs. Junior

31 - Monroe Freeling - T - Georgia
6'7" 315 lbs. Junior

32 - Christen Miller - DL - Georgia
6'4" 305 lbs. Junior 

34 - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren - S - Toledo
6'2" 202 Lbs. Senior

37 - Chris Bell - WR - Louisville
6'2" 220 lbs Senior 

39 - R Mason Thomas - ED - Oklahoma
6'2" 249 lbs. Senior

40 - Anthony Hill Jr. - LB - Texas
6'3" 238 lbs. Senior 

47 - Max Iheanachor - T - Arizona St
6'5" 325 lbs. Senior 

52 - LT Overton - ED - Alabama
6'5" 278 lbs. Senior 

52 - Jake Golday - LB - Cincinnati
6'4" 240 lbs. Senior 
 
54 - Blake Miller - T - Clemson
6'6" 315 lbs. Senior

60 - Derrick Moore - ED - Michigan
6'3" 254 lbs. Senior

63 - Josiah Trotter - LB - Missouri
6'2" 237 lbs. Sophomore

66 - Elijah Sarratt - WR - Indiana
6'2" 213 lbs Senior

67 - Domonique Orange - IDL - Iowa St
6'4" 325 lbs. Senior 

79 - Garrett Nussmeier - QB - LSU
6'1" 205 lbs. Senior 

81 - Gennings Dunker - T - Iowa
6'4" 320 lbs. Senior 

83 - Malachi Fields - WR - Notre Dame
6'4" 218 lbs.  Senior 

85 - Devin Moore - CB - Florida
6'2" 198 lbs. Senior 

86 - Darrell Jackson Jr. - IDL - Florida St
6'5" 328 lbs. Senior 

88 - Keyron Crawford - ED - Auburn
6'3" 251 lbs. Senior 

91 - Jacob Rodriguez - LB - Texas Tech
6'1" 233 lbs. Senior 

94 - Carson Beck - QB - Miami
6'4" 225 lbs. Senior 

95 - Zakee Wheatley - S - Penn St
6'2" 201 lbs. Senior 

99 - Seth McGowan - RB - Kentucky
5'11" 215 lbs. Senior 

99 - Justin Joly - H-Back - N.C. State
6'3" 251 lbs. Senior 

100 - Genesis Smith - S - Arizona
6'2" 204 lbs. Junior 

The NFL combine starts this weekend and the concensus will probably change but these are the current top 100 prospects for the Patriots big board. There are 7 more names in my main "Big Board" that could easily be drafted in the top 100.

Sunday, February 22, 2026

The New England Patriots 2026 Draft Prospect Big Board

Agree or disagree, here are the Patriots team needs immediately after the super bowl. 

• WR – first 
• T – second 
• ED – third
• LB – fourth 
• TE, DL, S – fifth
• IOL – eight
• CB – ninth
• RB – tenth
• P – eleventh 
• QB, OL – twelveth
• FB, C, G, IDL, DT, NT, OLB – fourteenth

Some of these they may be addressed in free agency, some may have been on IR but as of the monday after the superbowl, here they are.

There's are 175 prospects sorted by position and ranked by averaging out their ranking from a few sources as of February 20th, 2026. I want to be clear, the players assembled are of my own opinion. The need list was done by taking 20-30 NFL analysts, recording what they said the priorities were, and (like in ranked choice voting)  tallying the positions. 175 prospects is nothing when there are thousands of prospects annually, and then there's approximately 10 positions, divided into sub positions.

A depth need is still a need for those who only pay attention to the starters. Each player has a link to providing more information, majority are scouting reports. A 999 Ranking is a clear practice squad player, all other rankings have a chance at being drafted. Also, I want to make note that at least half of the Hawaii Players are a UDFA at best and an honorable mention but there are 1 or 2 that should be legit prospects. Hawaii is a disrespected D1 school, so go bows!

WR: 16
If Maye's gonna just heave the ball down field, he needs someone that can bring it in that isn't a one trick pony.

Every single one of these receivers is a big-bodied, contested catch, physical possession receiver. We're talking 6'2" and up, physical at the catch point, red zone weapons, guys who win with size and hands rather than separation and speed. Nobody on this list is a burner. Nobody's there because of YAC explosion or slot quickness. The entire group can high-point the ball, win 50-50s, and give Maye a legitimate target when he trusts his arm and just lets it go. Receivers who finds the soft spot and presents themselves cleanly rather than one who requires a perfect ball.

Denzel Boston - Washington - 21
Chris Bell - louisville - 37
Elijah Sarratt - Indiana - 66
Malachi Fields - notre dame - 83
De'Zhaun Stribling - Mississippi - 112
Eric McAlister - TCU - 143
Bryce Lance - ND state - 155
Chase Roberts - BYU - 181
Jeff Caldwell - Cin - 196
Dane Key - Neb - 206
Caleb Douglas - Texas Tech - 211
Colbie Young - Georgia - 215
J. Michael Sturdivant - FLORIDA - 217
Josh Cameron - Baylor - 224
Donaven McCulley - Michigan - 295
Nick Cenacle - Hawaii - 555

Tackle (Right and Swing): 20
They need to plan for RT in a season or two and they never replaced Waddle. And it's hurt them.

These are all long, athletic tackles with solid pass protection traits. Every single one of them has the size, length and foot quickness profile that translates to protecting the right side of the pocket but more importantly they all have developmental upside still on the table. The arm length specifically jumps out across all of them. Long tackles who can redirect speed rushers without giving up the chest. None of them are finished products. I'm not looking for a polished veteran type, i'm betting on ceiling and coachability.

Monroe Freeling - Georgia - 31
Max Iheanachor - Arizona St - 47
Blake Miller - Clemsen - 54
Gennings Dunker - Iowa - 81
Brian Parker II - Duke - 113
Isaiah World - Oregon - 128
Drew Shelton - Penn St - 162
Dametrious Crownover - Texas A&M - 175
Trey Zuhn III - Texas A&M - 183
Enrique Cruz Jr. - Kansas - 216
Alan Herron - Maryland - 217
Fa'alili Fa'amoe - Wake Forest - 230
Mason Murphy - Auburn - 237
Ryan Mosesso - Umass - 257
Riley Mahlman - Wisconsin - 261
Micah Pettus - Florida ST - 270
Keagen Trost - Missouri - 271
Trevor Brock - Buffalo - 288
Alex Harkey - Oregon - 313
James Milovale - Hawaii - 699


Edge (and OLB): 12
Edge seems like a revolving door for the Patriots, it's time to restock the cupboard.

High motor, high effort pass rushers who win with athleticism, explosion and length rather than pure size and power. These are speed-to-power guys, not bull rushers. Most of them have run defense questions but serious upside as designated pass rushers who can develop into every-down players. They're athletic edge rushers who can win with their first step and are versatile enough to stand up or put their hand in the dirt, making them fits for a 3-4 or hybrid scheme.

David Bailey - Texas Tech - 5
Cashius Howell - Texas A&M - 16
R Mason Thomas - Oklahoma - 39
LT Overton - Alabama - 52
Derrick Moore - Michigan - 60
Keyron Crawford - Auburn - 88
Jaishawn Barham - Michigan - 105
Miles Capers - Vanderbilt - 246
Jimmori Robinson - West Virginia - 267
Kam Olds - Kentucky - 278
Mo Westmoreland - Tulane - 287
Jackie Johnson III - Hawaii - 999

Linebacker: 16
Every single one of them can play in space, match up with tight ends and running backs, and stay on the field in sub packages. These aren't thumpers or stack-and-shed run stuffers, they're modern, three-down linebackers built for the passing game first. Essentially building a second level that can blur the line between linebacker and safety, which is exactly how the best modern defenses operate.

Sonny Styles - Ohio st - 9
Anthony Hill Jr. - Texas - 40
Jake Golday - Cincinnati - 52
Josiah Trotter - Missouri - 63
Jacob Rodriguez - Texas Tech - 91
Keyshaun Elliott - Arizona St - 133
Trey Moore - Texas - 157
Red Murdock - Buffalo - 186
Lander Barton - Utah - 253
Jimmy Rolder - Michigan - 275
Desmond Purnell - Kansas St - 279
Jaden Dugger - Louisiana - 280
Jack Kelly - BYU - 309
Wynden Ho’ohuli - Hawaii - 514
Jalen Smith - Hawaii - 699
Giovanni Iovino - Hawaii - 999

Tight End: 12
If they're gonna act like they don't want Hooper, they need to replace him.

These are true Y tight ends, guys who line up inline, can sustain blocks in the run game and pass pro, but have enough receiving ability to be legitimate threats on play action and in the seam. Not move tight ends, not matchup nightmares, functional, do-your-job second tight ends who complement Hunter Henry rather than replace him.

Sam Roush - Stanford - 106
Marlin Klein - Michigan - 116
Joe Royer - Cincinnati - 137
Eli Raridon - Notre Dame - 141
Miles Kitselman - Tennessee - 173
Tanner Koziol - Houston - 177
John Michael Gyllenborg - Wyoming - 188
Carsen Ryan - BYU - 268
Jack Velling - Michigan ST - 261
Caleb Fauria - Delaware - 263
Matthew Hibner - SMU - 287
Will Kacmarek - Ohio St - 298

D-Line: 10
These are 3-4 versatile multi-front defensive linemen. Guys who can play multiple techniques, inside and outside, and fit a hybrid front. Not pure nose tackles, not pure ends. They're the Swiss Army knife type that can kick inside on passing downs, hold the point of attack in the run game, and create disruption from multiple alignments. Vrabel's defense demands exactly that kind of positional flexibility along the line rather than one-dimensional specialists.

Caleb Banks - Florida - 18
Christen Miller - Georgia - 32
Zxavian Harris - Mississippi - 197
Rayshaun Benny - Michigan - 232
James Thompson Jr. - Illinois - 239
Bobby Jamison-Travis - Auburn - 257
Damonic Williams - Oklahoma - 264
Cameron Ball - Arkansas - 274
Bryson Eason - Tennessee - 274
Tariq Jones - Hawaii - 662

Safety: 15
They need a true center fielder and at least a single hybrid Strong safety-MLB.

Hybrid versatility. Every one of these safeties can play multiple roles, high safety, box safety, slot, nickel linebacker, corner. None of them are one-dimensional. They're all football IQ players who process pre-snap, read quarterback eyes, and can operate in both zone and man looks.

Zakee Wheatley - Penn St - 95
Genesis Smith - Arizona - 100
Bud Clark - TCU - 114
Cole Wisniewski - Texas Tech - 179
Xavier Nwankpa - Iowa - 198
Jakobe Thomas - Miami - 256
VJ Payne - Kansas ST - 260
Shyheim Brown - Florida St - 270
Jalen Huskey - Maryland - 282
DeShon Singleton - Nebraska - 287
Kendal Daniels - Oklahoma - 293
Peter Manuma - Hawaii - 509
Justin Sinclair - Hawaii - 562

IOL: 15
The question I ask here is do the Patriots need this position or do they just need to slide the Campbell and Wilson right by one position?

Zone blocking, positional versatility across multiple interior spots. These are athletic, mobile linemen who can play center and guard interchangeably, not power maulers. They win in space, on pulls, climbing to the second level. They fit more of a zone-run scheme rather than a standard gap/power scheme.

Jager Burton - Kentucky - 124
Ar'maj Reed-Adams - Texas A&M - 161
Pat Coogan - Indiana - 164 
Febechi Nwaiwu - Oklahoma - 229
Weylin Lapuaho - BYU - 242
Joshua Braun - Kentucky - 245
Micah Morris - Georgia - 252
Ka'ena Decambra - Arizona - 264
Tomas Rimac - Virginia Tech - 265
Mason Randolph - Boise St - 274
Matt Gulbin - Michigan ST - 287
Kam Dewberry - Alabama - 298
Logan Taylor - Boston - 314
Kuao Peihopa - Hawaii - 542
Zhen Sotelo - Hawaii - 566

Corner:15
I have no issues with the Patriots playing three or four safety formations with how modern offense are but they need to have depth at outside corner.

Long, physical, press corners. These are all big outside corners with length who can jam at the line, mirror in man coverage, and handle the physical receivers. Corners big enough to match the X receivers physically, with the size and length to compete at the catch point.

Devin Moore - Florida - 85
Treydan Stukes - Arizona - 105
Davison Igbinosun - Ohio St - 122
Julian Neal - Arkansas - 139
Jalon Kilgore - South Carolina - 151
Tacario Davis - Washington - 177
Ephesians Prysock - Washington - 204
Domani Jackson - Alabama - 207
Andre Fuller - Toledo - 208
Jeadyn Lukus - Clemsen - 244
Ahmari Harvey - Georgia Tech - 251
Stephen Hall - Missouri - 286
Devyn King - Hawaii - 579
Edwards li Videl - Hawaii - 603
Jaheim Wilson-Jones - Hawaii- 999

Running back: 12
The Patriots need Brandon Bolden, a jack knife. A guy who can run, catch, block, and play special teams. That way they can use their two primary backs properly.

Three down versatility. These are all backs who can run, catch, and block, Every one of them brings something to all three phases including special teams value. Adam Randall's WR-to-RB conversion specifically amplifies that, a guy who thinks like a receiver in the passing game but runs with a back's mentality between the tackles.

Seth McGowan - Kentucky - 99
Nicholas Singleton - Penn St - 117
Mike Washington Jr. - Arkansas - 157
Roman Hemby - Indiana - 214
Al-Jay Henderson - Buffalo - 230
Eli Heidenreich - Navy - 237
Chip Trayanum - Toledo - 257
Dean Connors - Houston - 266
Adam Randall - Clemsen - 270
Christian Vaughn - Hawaii - 597
David Cordero - Hawaii - 999
Landon Sims - Hawaii - 999

Punter: 3
It's not always about the leg, sometimes it's about the options a player brings, and having former high school starting and back up quarterbacks punting the ball can make up for a lack of elite punting. There's not enough appreciation for those like Tom Tupa.

Jack Stonehouse - Syracuse - 301
Ryan Eckley - Michigan State - 306
Lucas Borrow - Hawaii - 615

Passer: 7
A good backup quarterback is worth it's weight in gold. Brady, Cassel, Hoyer, the Patriots know this. Also, athleticism will always take a backseat to a quarterbacks ability and mind with me, not that it's not a good tool to have.

Arm talent and football IQ first, with athleticism as a bonus rather than the primary trait. The mind comes before the legs across the entire list, cerebral with some physical abilities, accuracy over flash.

Carson Beck - Miami - 94
Drew Allar - Penn St - 138
Luke Altmyer - Illinois - 235
Haynes King - Georgia Tech - 241
Cole Payton - ND State - 241
Trinidad Chambliss - Ole Miss - 473

IDL: 15
I'm convinced that the modern front seven's most important part is the interior. With the evolution of athletes nowadays, two or three starting interior linemen can change a defense.

Dominant run defenders who eat blocks and control the line of scrimmage first, with pass rush upside as a secondary trait still being developed. These are gap eaters and two-gappers who free up linebackers and make edge rushers' jobs easier by demanding double teams. Nobody on this list is a pure pass rush specialist, but they all are guys who own the interior.

Kayden McDonald - Ohio St - 23
Lee Hunter - Texas Tech - 28
Domonique Orange - Iowa ST - 67
Darrell Jackson Jr. - Florida ST - 86
Cole Brevard - Texas - 183
Zxavian Harris - Ole Miss - 196
Deven Eastern - Minnesota - 234
Bobby Jamison-Travis - Auburn - 257
Keeshawn Silver - USC - 268 
Cameron Ball - Arkansas - 274
Gary Smith III - UCLA - 275
Jamar Sekona - Hawaii - 527 
De'Jon Benton - Hawaii - 601
Carsen Stocklinski - Hawaii - 999
Qwyn Williams - Hawaii - 999 

Kicker: 3
Having an accurate leg secures dynasties. Out of all the players throughout the years, this is the first time I'm begging the patriots to draft a kicker from Hawaii.

Trey Smack - Florida - 314
Dominic Zvada - Michigan - 316
Kansei Matsuzawa - Hawaii - 344

FB/H-Back: 4
Sam Gash, Larry Centers, Heath Evans, James Develin, Jakob Johnson, having a player that can block has always been a way to sustain drives and if that guy can catch, it's a bonus weapon, especially when the guy is between two hundred and fifty to two hundred and seventy pounds.

These are all blocking-first fullbacks and H-backs who can catch. Physical enough to work in tight quarters, tough enough to play special teams, and smart enough to handle multiple alignment responsibilities, doing the dirty work nobody appreciates.

Justin Joly - N.C. State - 99
Max Bredeson - Michigan - 220
Riley Nowakowski - Indiana - 251
Truman Werremeyer - North Dakota State - 999

Why do I do this? Because I love Patriots football. Not to mention every year the Patriots draft at least one of my prospects and then sign as UDFAs at least one of my prospects. While I've never hit a perfect draft, there have been times when as many as 5 players form my boards have made it to the Patriots. Regardless if they make the final 53. I just want to open eyes to prospects that I feel are team fits, not just the consensus flavors.

Because someone wanted to know who players were that I had been correct about, you can go back through my blogs but here is the list. The Patriots have had 54 draft picks and signed idk how many UDFAs since 2020. While players may have signed in the following seasons, here is who the patriots acquired from my boards per each year, even if they eventually cut or traded them:

2020: Devin Asiasi, Nick Coe, Kyahva Tezino

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2020/03/my-140-man-patriots-2020-nfl-draft-big.html

2021: Mac Jones, Rhamondre Stevenson, Cameron McGrone

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2021/02/forty-one-combined-day-one-two-and.html


My 2022 big board is no longer on my blogger account but I did write a few other blog lists with most of my prospects.

2022: Marcus Jones, and Andrew Stuber

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/01/nineteen-early-potential-receiver-draft.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/01/sixteen-early-potential-receiving-and.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/01/early-offensive-line-prospects-for.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/01/twenty-six-early-defensive-line.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/01/early-middle-linebacker-prospects-for.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/02/eighteen-early-cornerback-prospects-and.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/02/early-safety-prospects-for-new-england.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/03/my-twenty-four-best-fit-prospects-for.html?m=0

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2022/03/twenty-four-draft-profiles-that-could.html?m=0

2023: Christian Gonzalez, Jake Andrews, Chad Ryland, Sidy Sow, Demario Douglas

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2023/04/cut-down-from-165-to-125-draft.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2023/04/the-patriots-2023-prospect-board-before.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2023/01/top-112-draft-prospects-that-fill.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2023/03/new-england-patriots-2023-draft.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2023/04/final-165-patriots-draft-prospect-big.html


2024: Charles Turner, DeShaun Fenwick, Jaheim Bell, Javon Baker, Ja’Lynn Polk, Caedan Wallace


https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2024/04/73-priority-draft-prospects-for-new.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2024/01/first-patriots-big-board-of-2024.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2024/03/with-off-season-moves-patriots-have.html


2025: Brock Lampe, C.J. Dippre, Elijah Ponder, Andrés “Andy” Borregales, Bradyn Swinson, Joshua Farmer, Jared Wilson, Will Campbell

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2025/02/media-consensus-patriots-prospects-by.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2025/03/post-combine-patriots-2025-big-board.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2025/04/the-patriots-close-out-day-three-of.html

https://vicariouslypatriots.blogspot.com/2025/02/patriots-2025-big-board-by-round.html

Sunday, January 25, 2026

3-2-6 Dime (5-0-6 Dime Bear-Double Eagle Big Dime) - 3 Down Base Defense

Modern offenses operate primarily out of 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR) with spread formations, move tight ends, and RPO integration. Traditional base defenses, built for power formations that no longer exist, struggle to match this speed and coverage demands without sacrificing run defense or generating pressure.

The 3-2-6 Big Dime solves this problem by making the "sub package" the base defense. Five-man fronts with three interior linemen who demand double-teams, two hybrid edges who can rush and cover, and six defensive backs (including three hybrid safeties with man coverage ability) create a defense that:

- Matches 11 personnel speed and coverage requirements
- Generates pressure through impossible blocking math (not individual dominance)
- Destroys RPO concepts through pattern-matching and robber principles
- Creates disguised 8-man boxes that punish run attempts
- Adjusts to heavier personnel without structural vulnerability

This isn't situational football. This is the base defense for the game that's actually being played.

Five-Man Line capable of dropping to a three-man:

The three interior linemen are expected to each draw double-team coverage from the average offensive line. This is the baseline expectation, not a bonus, but the default when the scheme is functioning correctly, utilizing the modern player.

1. Anchor Nose Tackle (0-Tech, 2-Gap)
- Alignment: Head-up on the center, controlling both A-gaps
- Role: The foundation of this defense. Must demand consistent double-teams from center plus guard, preventing vertical displacement and keeping blockers occupied. This player needs elite anchor strength, hand placement, and the ability to read flow while holding ground. Without this dominance, the entire scheme collapses because lighter second-level defenders get exposed to combo blocks climbing to the second level.
- Critical Skills: Low pad level, violent hands to shed, ability to submarine or stack-and-shed depending on down/distance.

2. Defensive Tackles (3-Tech & 5-Tech, 2-Gap)
- 3-Tech (B-gap/C-gap responsibility): Lines up on the outside shoulder of the guard but must be able to slide between B-gap (inside) and C-gap (outside the guard, inside the tackle) depending on blocking scheme and run flow. This player penetrates, collapses the pocket on passes, and must be quick enough to shoot gaps or strong enough to two-gap when needed.
- 5-Tech (C-gap/outside responsibility): Lines up on the outside shoulder of the tackle. Responsible for controlling C-gap primarily but must be aware of outside runs bouncing to the D-gap. Sets a firm edge against power/counter, anchors vs. down blocks, and provides interior pocket collapse on pass rush.
- Key Concept: Both DTs must have the versatility to cover B-gap AND C-gap depending on the call, formation, and offensive tendency. This requires exceptional football IQ, lateral agility for their size, and communication with the Jokers/Bucks to ensure gap exchanges are clean.

3. Joker/Buck/Elephant (Hybrid EDGE, C-gap/D-gap/Edge)
- Alignment Flexibility: Can align in 5-tech (outside tackle), 7-tech (inside shoulder of TE), 9-tech (outside shoulder of TE), or wide-9 (outside everything) based on formation and game plan.
- Gap Responsibility: Must cover C-gap, D-gap, and the edge depending on the play call and whether they're playing "contain" or "penetrate" technique. Against 12 or 21 personnel (multiple TEs/FB), they need to be physical enough to set edges vs. kick-out blocks but fast enough to chase down outside zone/stretch plays.
- Versatility Demands: These aren't traditional 4-3 DEs or 3-4 OLBs. They must:
  - Rush the passer with speed/bend (primary function against 11 personnel)
  - Spill runs to the perimeter (forcing the ball outside into your speed)
  - Drop into flat/hook zones to disguise coverage and handle move TEs releasing into routes
  - Execute "Squeeze" technique (attacking inside shoulder of blocker to force runs wider)
  - Play "Read" technique vs. option/RPO (reading the mesh point and reacting)
- Modern Matchup: Against today's move TEs (athletic 6'4", 250 lb receivers), these players must have the speed to carry vertical routes when dropped into coverage and the physicality to re-route at the line of scrimmage.

Secondary Roles: The "Positionless" Second Level

4. Single-High Free Safety 
- The Eraser: A zone player with occasional man ability, last line of defense, responsible for the deep middle third (or half in Cover 2 rotations). Must process route combinations rapidly, have elite range and closing speed, and communicate shell rotations. Think Devin McCourty.
- Modern Responsibility: Against 11 personnel with slot receivers and move TEs running vertical concepts, this player must be able to split the difference between multiple vertical threats and break on the ball at the high point.

5. Man Outside Cornerbacks
- Island Mentality: These players must win 1-on-1 consistently against today's bigger, more physical X and Z receivers. Press-man technique at the line, carry vertical routes, and mirror releases. Their success determines whether the defense can bring extra pressure or play aggressive underneath.
- Run Responsibility: Must set edges vs. perimeter runs (jet sweeps, toss plays), avoid being "stalk blocked" by receivers on outside zone/screens, and tackle in space. Against 11 personnel, they are often the force defender to the boundary.

6. Big Nickel / Robber
- The Hybrid Enforcer: The most versatile chess piece in the defense. Typically 6'0"-6'2", 200-220 lbs. Must have:
  - Linebacker instincts for run fits and diagnosing formations
  - Safety speed and man coverage ability for slot receivers and move TEs
  - Physical tackling to fill gaps and take on lead blockers
- Robber Technique: In coverage, reads the QB's eyes and "steals" throwing lanes on digs, curls, option routes, and shallow crossers. Against run, acts as a force player or scraping inside-out defender.
- Against 11 Personnel: This player often matches the slot receiver in man coverage or plays a "match" technique where they carry #2 vertical and drive on anything underneath. Against 12 personnel with inline TEs, they may walk down as a quasi-linebacker.

7. Rover / Star Strong Safeties (2 Players)
- The Constraint Solvers: These are your ultimate chess pieces. Pre-snap, they can show two-high shell, walk down to linebacker depth, align in the slot, or even stand on the edge as an extra rusher.
- Essential Man Coverage Ability: All strong safeties in this scheme must possess legitimate man coverage skills. They will be asked to:
  - Cover slot receivers in pure man coverage
  - Match vertical routes from #2 receivers in pattern-match concepts
  - Carry move TEs on seam routes and deep overs
  - Mirror running backs on wheel routes and option routes out of the backfield
- Multiple Functions:
  - Run Support: Fold into the box late (post-snap) to become the 6th/7th man, providing force/fill against inside/outside zone
  - Coverage: Drop to middle hook, play quarters, execute man coverage assignments, or match routes in pattern-matching schemes
  - Pressure: Blitz A/B-gaps from depth, creating "overload" looks the offensive line can't account for
- Modern Application: Against 11 personnel (the modern offensive base), these players turn your apparent light box into an 8-man front at the snap. By disguising their alignment and intention, they destroy the offense's pre-snap run/pass keys and create impossible blocking math.

Schematic Integrity: The "Wall and Spill" Philosophy

Why This IS a Modern Base Defense:

8. The NFL and college football have fundamentally shifted away from traditional power formations. The modern offensive landscape is dominated by:
- 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR) as the base package
- Move TEs who align in multiple spots and threaten vertically
- Slot receivers running option routes, crossers, and vertical concepts
- RPO integration forcing defenses to defend run and pass simultaneously
- Spread formations creating horizontal stress

9. The 3-2-6 Dime directly addresses this reality. It is not a "situational" defense but rather the base defense for the modern game. Traditional defenses with two linebackers (4-2-5, 4-3, 3-4) struggle because they either:
- Lack the speed to match 11 personnel in space
- Cannot generate enough coverage defenders without blitzing
- Get exposed by RPOs where linebackers trigger on run fakes and leave receivers uncovered

10. The "Wall" Concept (Interior Dominance)
Your 0-Tech and two DTs create a three-man "wall" across the A, B, and C gaps. By forcing the offensive line into man-blocking (rather than allowing easy combo blocks), you prevent clean releases to the second level. The offensive line is stuck blocking down linemen, which means pulling guards (rare in modern 11 personnel offenses) have to travel farther and your secondary has more time to fill.

Against modern inside zone concepts from 11 personnel, the wall forces the running back to press the line of scrimmage vertically before making a cut, buying time for your secondary to fill gaps.

11. The "Spill" Concept (Forcing Outside)
You intentionally funnel runs to the perimeter. The Joker/Buck players use "squeeze" technique (attacking the inside shoulder of the blocker) to force the ball carrier to bounce outside. Once the ball is outside, your Rovers/Stars (running downhill from depth with a head start) and your Big Nickel have angles to make tackles in space.

12. Key Principle: Modern offenses don't want to play smashmouth football. They want space, tempo, and mismatches. The 3-2-6 forces them to run between the tackles (where your wall lives) or outside (where your speed dominates). You are dictating terms, not reacting.

13. Creating the 8-Man Box Reality
Against 11 personnel, you actually have:
- 3 down linemen
- 2 hybrid edges (who can contain or rush)
- 1 Big Nickel (overhang/box safety)
- 2 Rovers (who fold down post-snap)
= 8 defenders at the point of attack

The modern offense cannot effectively run against 8-man boxes without significant personnel advantage. By disguising this as "dime," you bait the offense into running, then swarm with speed.

Dominance Against Modern 11 Personnel Offenses

14. Coverage Versatility Against Move TEs and Slot Receivers:
The rise of move TEs (think George Kittle, Travis Kelce, Brock Bowers) has broken traditional defenses. Linebackers are too slow. Traditional safeties aren't physical enough. The Big Nickel and Rovers in this scheme are specifically built to handle these players:
- Man coverage ability to carry them vertically
- Physicality to re-route and disrupt at the line
- Range to cover ground on crossers and deep overs
- Run-fit ability to not become a liability when the TE blocks

15. RPO Solutions:
RPOs die against this defense because:
- Your secondary players are in position to defend both run and pass
- The Robber can read the QB's eyes and drive on throws while maintaining run-gap integrity
- Pattern-matching allows you to carry vertical routes while still having defenders in run fits
- The disguise (two-high look that rotates to single-high) breaks the QB's pre-snap read

16. Pressure Without Blitzing:
The five-man line plus the ability to bring a Rover or Big Nickel from depth creates consistent pressure without sacrificing coverage. Against 11 personnel with five or six in protection, you can:
- Rush five and cover six (numerical advantage in coverage)
- Simulate pressure to force quick throws into robber coverage
- Bring delayed A-gap pressures that the center/guards cannot account for after sliding to the down linemen

Handling Heavier Personnel Groupings

17. Against 12 Personnel (1 RB, 2 TEs, 2 WR):
When offenses do bring a second tight end, you have options:
- Walk the Big Nickel or a Rover down to the line as a quasi-linebacker
- Joker/Buck players can handle inline TEs at the point of attack
- Your man coverage ability across the secondary allows you to match the TEs without sacrificing run fits
- The defense remains sound because the Rovers can still fold down to create an 8-man box

18. Against 21 Personnel (2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR):
This personnel grouping is increasingly rare in modern football, but when it appears:
- Your front five can still control gaps (this is their bread and butter)
- The Big Nickel and both Rovers walk down, essentially playing as linebackers
- You maintain coverage ability on the outside with your two OCBs
- The scheme forces the offense to beat you with execution, not schematic advantage

The key insight: modern offenses don't stay in heavy personnel. They use 11 personnel 60-80% of the time. When they do go heavy, it's often a tell (run tendency), and your defense is still structurally sound with adjustments.

What Makes This Defense Succeed

19. Personnel Requirements:
1. Dominant 0-Tech: This player must consistently demand double-teams and hold the point of attack. Without this, the scheme fails.
2. Athletic DTs: Players who can two-gap when needed but also penetrate gaps and collapse the pocket. They must have lateral agility to handle reach blocks on outside zone.
3. Hybrid Edges with Coverage Ability: The Joker/Buck players must rush the passer, set the edge vs. run, and drop into coverage against move TEs. This is a rare skill set but essential.
4. Violent, Instinctive Secondary: Your DBs must be willing tacklers who diagnose quickly, fill gaps without hesitation, and shed blocks. All safeties must have legitimate man coverage skills.
5. Disguise and Communication: Pre-snap looks must confuse the offense. Post-snap execution requires all 11 players to understand their responsibilities in multiple coverages and fronts.

20. Schematic Advantages:
- Matches the modern offensive reality (11 personnel base)
- Creates numerical advantages in coverage (6 vs. 5 eligible receivers)
- Generates pressure without blitzing (keeping coverage intact)
- Destroys RPO concepts through pattern-matching and robber techniques
- Forces offenses to execute perfectly rather than exploiting schematic mismatches

Critical Vulnerabilities

21. What Can Exploit This Defense:
1. Gap Scheme Runs with Excellent Execution: If the offensive line executes outside zone or inside zone with perfect timing and your DL doesn't maintain gap integrity, cutback lanes can open. This requires your front to be disciplined and your secondary to fill immediately.
2. Power/Counter with Pulling Linemen: A pulling guard can create advantages if your Rovers don't scrape correctly or your front doesn't "wrong-arm" the puller. This is more a technique issue than a scheme flaw.
3. Sustained Heavy Personnel: If an offense commits to staying in 12 or 21 personnel for an entire drive, the physical nature of the game can wear down your lighter secondary. However, most modern offenses won't do this because they lose their tempo and constraint advantages.
4. Play-Action Deep Shots: Single-high safety with aggressive run-supporting DBs creates vulnerability to play-action vertical routes (posts, corners, deep overs). The FS must have elite range and the discipline to not bite on fakes.
5. Elite Offensive Line Play: If the offensive line consistently wins at the point of attack (driving the 0-Tech backward, sealing Joker/Buck players), the scheme breaks down. This is true of any defense but more pronounced here because your likely to lack traditional linebacker size to clean up mistakes.

22. Mitigation Strategies:
- Rotate coverages to show two-high on obvious play-action downs
- Bring a Rover into the box earlier against run-heavy tendencies
- Use line stunts and twists to prevent the offensive line from getting clean blocks
- Substitute personnel against sustained heavy packages (though this is rare in modern football)

Advanced Tactical Concepts

23. Gap Exchange Calls
Because you have five players on the line defending six gaps (A, A, B, B, C, C), you must have "exchange" calls where the DT and Joker/Buck swap responsibilities based on blocking scheme recognition:
- If the offense runs "down" scheme (tackle blocks down on the 5-tech DT), the DT "squeezes" inside to the B-gap while the Joker/Buck "scrapes" outside to take the C-gap.
- If the offense runs "base" blocking (man-to-man), everyone plays their primary gap.
- Against "reach" blocks on outside zone, the DTs must work laterally to prevent vertical displacement while the Joker/Buck sets a hard edge.

This requires elite film study, pre-snap communication, and post-snap reaction speed.

24. Pressure Packages from This Look
- Fire Zone Blitzes: Send six (both Joker/Buck + one Rover/Big Nickel blitzing) while playing zone behind it. Forces quick throws into robber coverage.
- Simulated Pressures: Show eight rushing pre-snap, drop four (Joker/Buck and Rovers drop into coverage), rush four. Destroys protection schemes and creates confusion.
- A-Gap Overloads: Both Rovers blitz inside A-gaps at the snap while the Big Nickel replaces one in coverage. The offensive line physically cannot block both without leaving the center isolated on the 0-Tech.
- Edge Pressures with Coverage: Send one Joker/Buck on a speed rush while dropping the other into the flat to take away hot routes. The QB sees "dime" and expects soft coverage but gets immediate pressure with tight windows.

25. Coverage Versatility
From this structure, you can seamlessly play:
- Cover 1 (man-free with FS over the top, ideal against 11 personnel)
- Cover 3 (3-deep, 4-under with Rovers in hook/curl zones)
- Cover 4 (quarters with both Rovers playing deep quarters against four verticals)
- Cover 2 (two-deep with Big Nickel/Rovers playing flat/curl)
- Pattern-Match Concepts (MatchQuarters principles where defenders carry #2 vertical and drive on anything underneath)
- Robber Coverage (Big Nickel reads QB eyes while everyone else plays man, destroys option routes)

This disguise element is why offenses struggle. They cannot predict coverage until post-snap, which slows down the QB's process and forces him into longer progressions (where your pass rush arrives).

Presentation-Ready Summary

26. Core Identity: The 3-2-6 Big Dime is the base defense for modern football. It is a positionless, hybrid-heavy scheme designed to match the reality that offenses operate primarily out of 11 personnel with spread formations, move tight ends, and RPO integration. It sacrifices traditional linebacker size for elite speed, coverage versatility, and pre-snap disguise.

27. Philosophical Foundation: Modern football is won in space, not in phone-booth collisions. The game has evolved away from fullbacks and toward athletes who can threaten defenses horizontally and vertically. This defense accepts that reality and builds a structure where speed, versatility, and disguise create advantages.

28. Strength Against Modern Offenses: 
- Dominant vs. 11 personnel (the modern offensive base)
- Handles move TEs and slot receivers through hybrid safeties with man coverage ability
- Destroys RPO concepts through pattern-matching and robber techniques
- Generates pressure without sacrificing coverage
- Creates 8-man box against run while maintaining coverage integrity

29. Handling Heavier Personnel: 
When offenses occasionally bring a second TE or RB, the scheme remains structurally sound. The Big Nickel and Rovers can walk down to create a traditional front, the Joker/Buck players handle inline TEs, and the coverage ability across the secondary allows for matchups without schematic stress. The reality is modern offenses rarely sustain heavy personnel because it eliminates their tempo and constraint advantages.

30. Critical Success Factors: 
Requires a dominant 0-Tech who can hold the point of attack, athletic DTs with gap discipline, hybrid edges who can rush and cover, and a secondary filled with violent tacklers who possess man coverage skills. All safeties must be able to cover slot receivers and move TEs in man coverage while also filling run gaps without hesitation.

31. Vulnerabilities: 
Susceptible to elite offensive line play (any defense is), gap-scheme runs if the front doesn't maintain discipline, and play-action vertical shots against single-high looks. Can be stressed by sustained heavy personnel (12/21), though this is increasingly rare in modern football.

Bottom Line

I keep coming back to this defense. This is not a gimmick or situational package. The 3-2-6 Big Dime is a legitimate base defense built for the modern game. It forces offenses to play on the defense's terms by matching their speed, overwhelming their protections, and creating coverage advantages that traditional defenses cannot achieve. It accepts that football has evolved and provides a structurally sound answer to that evolution.

Friday, January 2, 2026

Drake Maye's 2025 Season Development Assessment

Earlier this season I gave a scathing early to mid-season review of Drake Maye, arguing he hadn't improved enough from his college flaws through his rookie season, and predicting he was trending toward the bust/wash outcome I'd forecasted in my 2024 pre-draft analysis. Now Maye is in MVP conversations. So what are his persistent flaws, and how do they compare to my initial scouting report? Since I have obvious biases, let's examine what those who cover him professionally have said this season.

The Boston-area media outlets have highlighted several persistent flaws in Drake Maye's game during the 2025 NFL season, particularly related to his pocket management, accuracy on certain reads, and occasional turnover issues heading into the final regular season game before the Patriots' potential playoff run.

Drake Maye's 2025 Season Flaws

1. Holding the ball too long: Maye continues to hold onto the ball for extended periods, leading to a high sack total (he was sacked 44 times in 2024 and has been sacked 24 times through 17 games in 2025). Analysts have described him as sometimes drifting into pressure or even creating pressure himself through poor pocket movement, a concern that directly mirrors pre-draft evaluations about his "average pocket presence" and tendency to hold the ball.

2. Inaccuracy/Inconsistency in ball placement: In specific games, such as the matchup against the Bills, his accuracy and ball placement were notably off. Reports suggested he was not on the same page as his receivers, indicating either a lack of rapport or poor execution on both sides. This echoes pre-draft concerns about his "inconsistent accuracy" and tendency to miss open targets or sail sideline throws. His completion percentage has improved from 66.6% in 2024 to 67.5% in 2025, but inconsistency remains.

3. Struggles when moving past his first read: Maye's performance drops significantly when forced to progress beyond his primary target. He ranks fifth in DVOA on first-read throws but plummets to 22nd when moving to later reads. This directly validates the pre-draft scouting report warning that he "goes with the first read too often" and struggles to work through progressions, allowing defenders to read his eyes.

4. Occasional turnovers/Ball security: Despite general improvement from his rookie 2024 season (11 INTs, 5 fumbles lost) to 2025 (6 INTs through Week 17, 6 fumbles lost), he still commits occasional "boneheaded INTs" and loses fumbles. Critics have pointed to his turnover issues as an ongoing concern, reflecting the pre-draft evaluation that warned he "unnecessarily puts the ball in harm's way," forces throws, and makes "poor decisions."

5. Occasional sloppy footwork/fundamentals: Although Maye has shown improvement over the course of his two seasons, he still exhibits the footwork and fundamental issues that were evident during his college career at UNC, specifically the "inconsistent throwing mechanics/stances" and "inconsistent footwork" noted in pre-draft analysis.

2025 Statistical Overview (Through Week 17):

- Passing: 344 attempts, 232 completions (67.5%), 2,527 yards, 15 TDs, 6 INTs
- Rushing: 98 attempts, 409 yards (4.2 YPC), 2 TDs
- Sacks: 24 sacks taken
- Fumbles: 6 fumbles lost
- Rating: 87.7 passer rating

Conclusion on Developmental Progress

Based on coverage from CLNS, Boston Sports Journal, 98.5 The Sports Hub, NESN, NBC Boston, and Patriots.com, Drake Maye's primary flaws during the 2025 season remain largely mental and technical rather than physical, validating much of the original scouting assessment. The combination of issues points to developmental areas in field processing and pocket presence that were specifically flagged in the 2024 pre-draft evaluation.

Key areas requiring continued development:

- His tendency to hold the ball too long and take unnecessary sacks
- A significant drop in effectiveness when his first read is covered
- Inconsistent accuracy and ball placement under pressure
- Decision-making in complex defensive schemes

These have been the most frequently cited concerns throughout the 2025 season and align closely with the "bust" scenarios outlined in the original scouting report: inconsistent footwork leading to accuracy issues, locking onto receivers, questionable decision-making favoring big plays over smart plays, and struggles against more complex defenses.

Positive Signs:

Despite these persistent issues, media outlets have noted his ability to learn from mistakes and show overall improvement game-to-game. His athletic tools, arm strength, mobility, and ability to extend plays, remain elite when fundamentals are sound. His interception rate has improved (from 3.2% in 2024 to 1.7% in 2025), showing better ball security awareness. His rushing ability (409 yards, 4.2 YPC through Week 17) continues to add a valuable dimension to his game. The question entering the final regular season game and potential playoffs is whether he can minimize the mental errors and execute with consistency when the margin for error shrinks.

Context for the Original Scouting Report:

My 2024 pre-draft evaluation correctly identified Maye as a "boom or bust" prospect with "prototype build" and elite physical tools but significant developmental concerns. The assessment warned he would "need to sit a season minimum" and required extensive work on consistency, decision-making, and reading complex defenses.

After nearly two seasons (13 games in 2024, 17 games through Week 17 of 2025), many of those developmental concerns persist, though there's been incremental progress. The original comparisons remain relevant:

- Ceiling: Eli Manning - clutch performer with elite arm who overcame inconsistency (244 INTs, 125 Fumbles, 411 Sacks)
- Middle: Rob Johnson - big arm, athletic, but never put it together consistently (23 INTs, 14 Fumbles, 140 Sacks)
- Floor: Johnny Manziel - relied too much on improvisation, poor decisions (9 INTs, 9 Fumbles, 22 Sacks)

Maye currently sits somewhere between the middle and ceiling projections. The upcoming final regular season game and potential playoff appearance barring injury, will be crucial tests of whether his developmental trajectory continues upward toward the Manning ceiling or stalls closer to the Johnson middle ground, a talented quarterback whose mental processing never caught up to his physical gifts.

Now unlike myself, many other scouting reports I had read on Maye compared him to Josh Allen (Career: 94 INTs, 71 Fumbles, 229 Sacks). Allen when he was coming out of college was compared to Big Ben (Career 211 INTs, 115 Fumbles, 554 Sacks) and Brett Farve (Career: 336 INTs, 166 Fumbles, 525 Sacks), so essentially, the reports were comparing Maye to the two superbowl winners, that had a career of ball safety, sack, and just overall concerns throughout their careers. While I gave three more realistic options, so overall, Maye is and has been compared to 6 quarterbacks minimum with concerns throughout their career, that some made up for with talent, coaching, and players around them.

The pattern across all six of Maye's comparisons if were honest:
All six had big arms with velocity, Athletic/mobile for their size, held ball too long, forced throws into coverage, inconsistent accuracy under pressure, high sack totals, turnover-prone but capable of elite plays. Maye was okay but nothing special under Van Pelt and his simplistic west coast offense, with no guarantee he had a career. In 2025, he's been rescued by Josh McDaniels's mind and quarterback safety blanket offense.

The critical question remains:

Can Maye develop the consistent pre and post-snap processing, progression reading, and decision-making required to reach his ceiling, or will the mental side of the position continue to limit an otherwise elite physical talent? His statistical improvement in some areas (completion percentage up, interception rate down) suggests progress, but the persistent issues with sacks, progression reads, and consistency under pressure indicate significant developmental work remains.

Who am I:

I'm a Patriots blogger who correctly identified Drake Maye's developmental red flags in my 2024 pre-draft analysis. While he's now in MVP conversations, the same processing issues I flagged persist, and many beat writers covering him daily agree. My 2,000-word analysis examines whether Maye's improvement is real development or elite coaching masking fundamental flaws, using film analysis, advanced stats (DVOA), and historical QB comparisons.

I've always favored cerebral pocket passers over flashy athletic quarterbacks who rely on running ability and arm strength. I predicted Drake Maye would bust. Now he's in MVP talks, but I remain concerned. I credit Van Pelt and McDaniels for his success over his rookie and sophomore seasons; they've protected him with scheme. 'Fool's gold' is the best description I've heard about the 2025 Patriots, which I think currently fits Maye until he cleans up the five issues detailed above. And I'll stand by that even if he wins the MVP and or finishes the 2025 season with a superbowl ring.

Monday, November 10, 2025

Drake Maye: Mid 2025 Scouting Report

I gave an honest assessment of Drake Maye a few weeks ago (September 8th). I think it's time to re-evaluate the young quarterback. As of November 2025, Drake Maye has cemented his status as the New England Patriots' franchise quarterback, exhibiting significant growth and MVP-level production in his second season. After a turnover-prone rookie year in 2024, he has developed into a highly efficient and accurate passer while maintaining his elite athleticism as a runner. However, that's not the full story. That's where the mainstream analysis would have me stop.

2025 Season Statistics (as of Nov. 10)

Passing Yards: 2,555 
Passing Touchdowns: 19 
Passing Interceptions: 5 
Completion Percentage: 71.6% 
Quarterback Rating: 113.9 
Rushing Yards: 283 
Rushing Touchdowns: 2 
Fumbles: 6

Pros

As a passer, Maye has demonstrated elite passing ability, ranking among the league leaders in passing yards, touchdowns, and passer rating in 2025. He has significantly improved his deep-ball accuracy, posting a league-leading completion percentage on throws of 20+ yards. This season, he has also shown elite performance on third downs, ranking third in the NFL in passer rating.

As a runner, he possesses a dual-threat skill set with excellent athleticism, quickness, and speed. He is an explosive improviser and scrambler, with the ability to escape pressure and extend plays. The Patriots' new offensive scheme under Josh McDaniels is also utilizing his rushing ability with more designed runs in 2025.

Growth potential remains high. Observers note his immense growth from his rookie year, with his flashes of brilliance now becoming a more consistent reality. His continued development could see him reach All-Pro caliber.

The supporting cast has improved dramatically. The addition of a new offensive coordinator, improved offensive line, and new weapons like Stefon Diggs and Kyle Williams have contributed to his success.

Cons

Turnover issues persist. While his 2025 interception total is lower than his rookie season, Maye still has six fumbles through 10 games, continuing to raise concerns about ball security.

Decision-making remains inconsistent. The turnovers highlight lapses in judgment and a lingering tendency to play hero ball, particularly when extending plays. As in his rookie season, he can still make ill-advised deep throws under pressure.

Pocket presence, while improved, still needs refinement. His processing under pressure still needs to get steadier, as indicated by his occasional poor ball security when forced off his spot.

Consistency is an ongoing concern. His inexperience still shows up at times, and he occasionally lapses into sloppy mechanics, resulting in inaccurate throws.

Decision-Making: Then and Now

Drake Maye's decision-making has seen a marked improvement in 2025, but it remains an area for refinement.

Rookie year 2024 saw pronounced struggles with decision-making, leading to 16 total turnovers: 10 interceptions and 6 lost fumbles in 12 starts. A notable example was a game-ending interception in overtime against the Titans.

Second season 2025 shows progress. He has reduced his interception total to 5 through 10 games, demonstrating better field vision and anticipation. However, his 6 fumbles this season indicate that ball security issues under pressure persist. Some of these are from holding onto the ball too long, which he still needs to address.

What's Changed

Interceptions have dropped significantly. From 10 in his rookie year, he's now on pace for approximately 6-7 this season. He's cutting the most catastrophic errors.

Completion percentage has jumped to 71.6 percent. In Week 1 alone, I noted 8 accuracy issues. That problem has largely been solved.

Deep ball accuracy now leads the league. On throws of 20-plus yards, Maye ranks first in completion percentage. My draft profile flagged inconsistent accuracy and sailing sideline throws as major concerns.

Third down performance ranks third in the NFL in passer rating. This addresses the pre-draft concern about making adjustments after the snap.

Volume and production are legitimate top-tier numbers. Through 10 games, 2,555 yards and 19 touchdowns represent genuine franchise quarterback production.

What Hasn't Changed

Fumbles remain a persistent problem. He lost 7 of 11 fumbles in college. Now he has 6 fumbles through 10 games in 2025, still on pace for 9-10 this season. The ball security issue has not been resolved.

Hero ball decision-making continues. My draft profile warned about risk-taking, forcing throws, and unnecessarily putting the ball in harm's way. In Week 1, I observed him throwing to tight or covered targets too often. The November 2025 scouting report still notes lapses in judgment and a tendency to play hero ball when extending plays.

Holding the ball too long was flagged in the draft profile. The 6 fumbles suggest it's still happening under pressure.

Inconsistent mechanics persist. The draft profile noted inconsistent throwing mechanics and stances. The November 2025 report states he occasionally lapses into sloppy mechanics, resulting in inaccurate throws.

Processing under pressure still needs work. This remains consistent with draft concerns about poor throws under pressure.

Bottom Line: What's the Story?

The passing results have improved dramatically. Fewer picks, better accuracy, elite production. These are real gains that cannot be dismissed.

But the underlying tendencies that concerned me remain present. Ball security, forcing plays, inconsistent technique are still part of his game. He's playing better, but he hasn't fundamentally changed who he is as a quarterback.

Maye is a pocket quarterback who can run, similar to Eli Manning's semi-mobile profile (although some would have me say Josh Allen) rather than a true dual-threat like Michael Vick. The comparison holds because both show stretches of brilliant production mixed with maddening inconsistency. The talent is undeniable. The question is whether the infrastructure around him can continue compensating for the flaws, or whether those flaws will surface in critical moments when it matters most.

For now, the Patriots appear to have their franchise quarterback. Whether they have their championship quarterback remains to be seen. Yes, I admit I have a little bias as I prefer the cerebral Montana, Brady, Pennington pocket quarterback over the circus style of quarterbacks like Mahomes, Vick, or Lamar Jackson. Fundementals as a passer will always be more important than athleticism for a quarterback.