Patriots first preseason game of 2021 post game thoughts.

Okay so the Patriots lost to the Giants in their first preseason game. A few quick thoughts.

The first half offense looked like the Patriots offense we all know. The blocking was okay but needed to be better. The line didn't completely suck but I thought in the first half they let defense win too many times. The running game didn't look that good even when they had holes out side of a few plays. And I didn't think the pass catchers did a good enough job getting separation.

Defensively I don't know if they were playing soft / loose coverage or bad but I thought they gave up too much underneath. And I still saw issues stopping the run. There was still a hole in the middle and they could do a better job stopping the runs to the outside. 

The return game didn't look anything special and the punt coverage looked like we'd expect.  Kicking game was kn point from what I saw.

If this is the offense they run in 2022 Mac should at least duplicate his 2021 statistics but I think they're gonna give up a lot of points defensively. I still expect the defense to decline this season to a middle of the past group and to rebound next year 

Jakobi Meyers, One Of The Most Underappreciated New England Patriots Receivers In The NFL In 2022.

Jakobi Meyers is an underappreciated number one. 

Jakobi Meyers went from a "priority free agent" as predicted by Lance Zierlein of nfl.com in 2019 to what the Steelers Depot in predicted in 2019, improving to be come the New England Patriots number one starting receiver "in only a couple of years." And yet he's very much still underappreciated by fans and the media that covers the NFL.

In 2019 Meyers battled his way on to the Patriots. He had good chemistry in the preseason with then Patriots quarterback Jarrett Stidham. He would eventually play in 15 games for the Patriots where he was targeted 41 times as a rookie. He caught 26 passes for 359 yards, 17 of which were first downs. All from Tom Brady, a quarterback who prides himself on not wanting to work with unpolished players.

A year with the Cam Newton experience.

In 2020, Meyers was buried on the roster at the start of the season and would only play in 14 games, starting nine. He wouldn’t get utilized properly until Julian Edelman went down. Meyers would catch 59 of 81 targets for 729 yards, 35 for first downs. This while dealing with one of the worst passers that season in Cam Newton, who rushed for more touchdowns (12) then he threw (10).

A season with a rookie and top free agents.

In 2021 the Patriots went on a spending spree and signed Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne. They also signed the top two tight ends. There was arguments over which of the two new receivers would be the number one receiver. Meyers was an after thought until the preseason, where he showed he could be the number one receiver.

In 2021 Jakobi Meyers caught 81 of 126 targets for 866 yards and 2 touchdowns, 42 of those for first downs. He played well enough that Player Profiler ranked him the 29th best receiver of 2021. This while dealing with a rookie quarterback who spent the 2021 off and preseason working with the number twos.

The 2022 off-season 

Meyers became a free agent in 2022 and the Patriots slapped a second round tag on him. The Patriots signed DeVante Parker the 70th ranked receiver of 2021, who was instantly declared the Patriots number one. You read that right. The 70th ranked receiver was declared the number one over the 29th ranked receiver.

Then talk came around that the team could use the 33rd ranked receiver of 2021, Kendrick Bourne like Deebo Samuels and turn him into the number one. Meyers and Nelson Agholor (another under appreciated receiver) became expendable according to not only the media but the fans. Even more so after the Patriots drafted Tyquan Thornton in the second round of the 2022 NFL draft. A prospect that fans are still debating if it was a reach.

Meyers would eventually sign his free agent tender in June of 2021. And Adam Schefter tweeted not to long ago that two two sides were in talks for a contract extension. Which supposedly hasn't stopped and I would not doubt he gets between seven to eight million a year if he stays.

Check out the Tweet per Adam Schefter .

Projection heading in to the 2022 pre and regular season.

Meyers has been the go to guy or the security blanket for the past two seasons being targeted 21.23 percent of the Patriots attempts. There's nothing showing any other receiver has given Mac reason to change this. While he may not be the number one on any other team, just like Edelman before him, Meyers is the number one receiver for the Patriots.

And a quick message to my fellow fans. If 80 catches and 800 yards for an undrafted receiver is a bust, then your expectations are too high and you need to stop playing Madden. Meyers was 16th in receptions and 29th in receiving yards in 2021. I'd hate to know what kinda expectations y'all put on N'Keal Harry over his career but I bet Jerry Rice and Randy Moss in their prime could reach them. Appreciate what you have before it's gone.

Joe Was Great But Brady Was Better.

I loved watching Montana play but over his 16 seasons, he did not play in 64 games including the 1991 season. Over that time Joe had a record of 117-47. He also went 16-7 in the post season, including four super bowl wins. Montana led the 49ers to the playoffs 11 times over that span.

Brady has played lower but let's compare the two.

Brady sat his first season and missed the 2008 season. The makes up for Montana's 91 and 92 seasons. Over Brady's first 16 seasons he missed 31 games.

Regular season games missed over first 16 seasons:

Montana: 64

Brady:       31

Regular season record: 

Montana: 117-47

Brady:       172-50

Post season appearances

Montana: 11

Brady:       13

Posy season record:

Montana: 16-7

Brady:       22-9

Superbowl appearances (can't win a ring if you cannot get there):

Montana:      4

Brady:            6

Superbowl record:

Montana:     4-0

Brady:           4-2

Playoff TD-INT ratio

Montana: 45-21

Brady:       56-28

MVP:

Montana: 2

Brady:       2

Regular Season Yards:

Montana: 40551

Brady:      58,028

Regular season passing TDs to INTs

Montana:    273-139

Brady:          426-150

Rushing / receiving TDs to Fumbles:

Montana: 20-53

Brady:      19-106

Fourth quarter comebacks:

Montana:  26

Brady:        31

Game winning Regular season drives:

Montana:  28

Brady:        39

Brady fumbled the ball more but he did everything better including make Superbowl appearances. It was Montana's job to help lead his team to the Superbowl and he could only it 4 times. And to those who say it takes more than one player to get there, it also takes more than one player to win a Superbowl. Which nullifies the arguements.

I'm sorry, no disrespect to Joe but Brady beat him but all on one important stat. And that was Fumbles. Give me Brady in the big game.

Stats from Pro Football reference 

Former New England Patriots Quarterback And 2015 MVP May Not Be Done

Cam Newton as a starting quarterback should be done in the NFL. Currently Player Profiler has  Newton as the 36th best quarterback in the NFL. Newton in 2021 only played in five games but did not look like he still had it. Newton had a true completion rate of 57.5 and a true passer rating of 57.1 not good numbers.

With Cam struggles as a passer, which again saw him throw more Interceptions than touchdowns, it safe to say he probably will never start again but that doesn't mean he's done. He is still a weapon for teams if he's willing to take lesser money to play that way.

In 2021 Newton ran the ball 47 times for 230 yards and 5 touchdowns.  That makes Newton a weapon. We have seen teams use backup quarterbacks like Taysom Hill or RGIII out of position. If Newton was willing to line up out of position on occasion, he could be a threat. This could extend his playing career but it could also see him get hurt.

NFL teams and Cam Newton have aot of thinking to do when it comes ro Cam. If a team wants to use Newton this way, they have to seriously talk with Newton about expectations and Newton has to realize that his big money days are done. Newton should keep the arena league open as an option. But he has the personality for an NFL sports program.

List of Unanswered Patriots questions will be updated periodically

List of questions about the Patriots 

June 21, 2022

- Why are the Patriots keeping Nordin on the IR?

- With Smith expected to be the H-back and Henry playing inline, how many tight ends will they keep?

- How much does Harry's salary impact the decision of cutting him?

- Who are the remaining top 5 big name free agents that the Patriots that the Patriots shouldn't over pay for?

- With the Patriots expected to run more nickel and dime defense then before, how many linebackers do they actually need on the 53?

- Was the Problem with the 2021 defense Steve B. , failure to get the players ready, or too many voices?

- Is Steve Belichick finally okay to be considered as a candidate to replace his dad or even though he's spent a decade on the coach staff would it still nepotism?

- Do The Patriots really need to name someone the O.C. and D.C or are those just titles for the fans to have someone to scream at?

- Are the Patriots slowly moving towards a three down dime?

- Do The Patriots have the replacements for D-Mac and Slater in waiting?

- Should the Patriots bring back Agholor in 2023 if he has the same production this season as in 2021?

- How secure is the Patriots interior line against the run?

- Is there anything wrong if Mac turns out to be a game managing system quarterback if he continues to be as productive as he was in 2021?

- Should the Patriots use the throw back uniforms for away games and keep the flying Elvis for home?

- Any chance we see both Smith and Keene in the backfield at the same time this season?

- Are Patriots fans undervaluing Jakobi Meyers?

- Is this Isaiah Wynn's last season in New England?

- How good of receiver's coach has Troy Brown been?

- Will Hoyer be involved in the game planning due to his knowledge of the offense?

- Will the Patriots let Hoyer finish out his contract or will they try to force him into a coach position?

- With James White back, who is plan B as the receiving back?

- Pros and cons with signing OBJ?

- Will the Patriots have a set CB1 or will they run outside corner by committee?

Tre NIxon Had A Standout Spring But With A Spotlight Comes Great Expectations.

A few weeks ago I wrote that Jack Jones would be the most impactful rookie of the 2022 class. I also wrote that the receivers and corners still had questions to answer. After the spring camp session, there is another player to keep an eye on. It's not a rookie but a practice squad guy who had a solid spring. That guy is known as the Ernie Adams pick. I'm talking about Tre Nixon.

Nixon stands around 6'1" and reportedly weights around 185 pounds. Nixon started at Ole Miss as a four star recruit but transfered to UFC for playing time. In the FBS Nixon caught 109 of 126 targets for 1,671 yards with 35 first downs and 13 touchdowns. In 2018 UFC also had Nixon field one kickoff return. In the 2021 preseason, Nixon only managed 2 catches for 11 yards.

Nixon suffered a shoulder or collarbone injury his final season which likely caused his draft stock to fall. He is a stretch receiver who should excell as a deep slot although he can play the outside as well as the X. He runs in the 4.40s and had a decent 6.81 three cone. He had the talent entering the NFL to become a depth piece, nobody argued that but the concensus was he needed development and a vertical spread offense.

Evan Lazar wrote in May of 2001, "There’s enough explosiveness in Nixon’s movements to suggest that he can separate at the NFL level, but he’ll need to finish the play more consistently to stick around."

Nixon made several plays during the 2022 minicamp sessions, including two fifty yard catches beating Jonathan Jones. And there has been a big deal made about the appearent chemistry with franchise quarterback Mac Jones.

Nixon said, "“I feel like the biggest thing is this be where my feet are at. I know training camp’s around the corner, and I like to just stay present in the moment, just try and make my own role what I can do. It’s easy to, especially in this league, compare yourself to other people or count numbers. One of the biggest things the older guys tell me is to be your own person. Try and make your own role and see what you can do beyond that.”

Nixon has put a spotlight on himself but with that spotlight is going to come a lot of pressure when the Patriots meet up later this summer. We have seen players excel without the pads before. Almost everyone fell for Maurice Harris who had a lights out spring few years back before falling off in the preseason. Nixon will have to show he's not just a spring star but a true NFL receiver.

One quick mention. Nixon’s teammate Jack Jones whom I predicted to be the most impactful rookie, showed up this spring and gave enough effort to put his name in the mix for one of the two starting outside corners. He will need to step up his game as he will have competition but so far he has lived up to expectation. If the Patriots have found their outside guy, they are better off defensively then orginally expected and that could translate into wins. Just another name to watch when the team meets up in a few weeks.

Need A New Excuse For Why Patricia Cannot Coach The Offense.

There has been concern about how Matt Patricia can coach the offensive line and call plays on game day. People have said it makes more sense for Joe Judge to do it since he'll be working with Mac Jones during the week. Mike Lombardi spoke about the subject on The GM Shuffle. While Mike is one who doesn't get it, he basically explained how to make it work.

The first issue people are having is with Patricia not being there during the weekly practice next to Jones. Saying he will not be able to find out what Mac likes or doesn't like. What Mac's comfortable with and what he's not. This problem is solved by having a small meeting with the two after each practice. It doesn’t have to be a long meeting, just long enough to have the conversations. Patricia can also have those meetings with Judge if need be. It requires more time to have these meetings but it solves the problem. 

The other issue people are coming up with is how can Patricia call the plays and coach the offensive line. The answer to that is really simple. During the week Matt would work with the line with assistant Billy Yates. Then on Sunday, Yates would handle the line while Patricia deals with play calling. Then when the opposing offense is on the field, Patricia can relay anything he sees to his line. 

People are acting like it's rocket science. It's not that hard of a concept to grasp. This is actually a really simple thing to figure out. And Bill Belichick likes intelligent coaches. I think the main thing people have an issue with is the former offensive line assistant that turned defensive coordinator is now going to be the offensive coordinator or play caller. Remember, if Matt Patricia didn't know anything about offense, he wouldn't of known what defense to field to stop it.

Ask yourself this, how many times did you see Patricia bring out the jumbo or goaline defensive versus the shotgun. If you cannot remember him doing that, it's because that's something someone who knows nothing about offense might do. Patricia has been around a while and also knows how to study offense. While he might not be a top 16 coordinator in 2022, he'll be worthy of one of the 32 positions in the league if he is indeed the play caller for the Patriots in 2022.

What does an okay offense look like for Judge or Patricia?

There does not appear to be any change on the Patriots second mandatory day of June camp. There's still talk about play calling coming from the media. Josh McDaniels left for the Raiders and before the team has played one meaningful snap in 2022, people are already being smug giving an "I told you so" response on how import McDaniels was because the Patriots didn't bring in an offensive coordinator and instead appear to be running with two former NFL head coaches.

People are saying that Patricia and Judge are bums because they failed as head coaches. That's what was said about Belichick after his stint in Cleveland. "But Belichick won rings with the Giants." Yeah, and Patricia and Judge won rings with the Patriots. Yes Matty P. is known as a defensive coach but he has coached on offense before and one has to know something about offense to stop it. Judge has also coached a little on offense and is a former quarterback. What now?

Now that we've got semantics out of the Way. Since people don't have faith in either Judge or Patricia's ability to play call, what defines a successful first year as an NFL offensive play caller for those two? In 2022 McDaniels's offense had the following stats.

489 runs for a 4.4 yard average with 138 first downs and 24 touchdowns. The passing game completed 68% of the passes for 3857 yards with 187 first downs, 24 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. 

If the running game slips to what it produced in 2019, would it be a success or failure for Judge or Patricia? In 2019 the Patriots ran the ball 447 times for a 3.8 yard average with 110 first downs and 17 touchdowns.  The Patriots running backs are the same level if not better heading into 2022 compared to what they had in 2019. I get there were other factors to that season but McDaniels is supposed to be that much better than Judge and Patricia.

If the passing game slips to where it was in 2020, again would that be a success or failure for Patricia or Judge? I get Cam Newton was the quarterback in 2020 but with how incompetent people are making Judge and Patricia sound, it should be balanced out as Cam had McDaniels and these guys have Mac. In 2020 the Patriots completed 64% of their passes for 2890 yards with 157 first downs, 12 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Again, I get there may have been circumstances that season but McDaniels is supposed to be superior to Judge and Patricia so it doesn't matter what happened in 2020.

People are expecting the Patriots offense to regress without an experienced offensive coordinator. Since some of the personell is the same, both stat lines I shared from 2019 and 2020 would be a regression. So what qualifies as a successful offense in 2022 for the Patriots? Where's the bar at for this offense, what should we expect?

Before anyone says Judge and Patricia will have a bad year, we need to know what an average year is considered to be for them. So tell us, what is the criteria for an okay season. Not good, not bad but okay. If you cannot do that, then it's gonna have to be drastic reduction in all aspects of the offense for those two to have a bad season. However if the offense gets the same production it had in 2021, those two would've had a great season with how bad they're being made out to be.

Mandatory Camp Is Underway For June 2022.

The Patriots met up for the first day of mandatory training. A few players weren't there but nobody for the most part was missed. Of course the media per usual was hyping up some if the players, it's kinda their job. However, some noted things other members weren't.

Zack Cox had Mac Jones with an Incredible day. Greg Bedard said there were passes Jones got off after the defense was yelling sack. It's things like that, that really make judging these stories out of camp hard. We have to remember, the defense is severely handicapped with these practices.

The Patriots moved around the line switching Wynn and Brown. There was some confusion as to why, with several speculating that it was because the Patriots were trying to move Wynn. NBC Boston's Perry and Curran suggested it was to "bring balance to the line." Either way it was different and was noticed.

Matt Patricia may or may not be the head play caller. The guy was a defensive coordinator. So he has to know something about offense. I mean, we don't really think he was paid for years to be a defensive coordinator with no idea how offenses worked, do we? I get calling an offense and knowing how to prepare to stop one are different but if he knows what teams call in specific situations, he should be able to make those same calls. So we shouldn't be too worried.

Tre Nixon appears to be this year's Maurice Harris or N'Keal Harry. He looked good today against the handicapped defense. We'll see how he looks come the preseason. For now, he made his name known. Other than that, Jake Bailey showed why he's worth 4 million dollars and showed he's leaps a head of the other guy on the team. Really wasn't much to write home about for this day of practice. And it probably will stay that way until they break.

Receiver and Corner Still Have Questions To Be Answered.

There are three positions I still think we need to pay attention to. The stretch receiver role and both outside cornerback spots. The Patriots have pieces but they have just as many questions about those positions. The good thing is we should get to see them at the same time. So making the evaluations should be that much easier. Hopefully answers come sooner than later.

Cornerback 

J.C. Jackson is gone but Myles Bryant and Jalen Mills are still with the team. On top of that The team brought in Malcolm Butler and drafted Jack Jones. I have not seen Mills's or Bryant's name talked about a lot yet but Butler and Jones's name have been brought up as possible starters in either the number one or number two corner role.

With mandatory camp coming, the media will get a picture of what's going on. Will it be like 2021 where they ignored Mac's training and only saw Cam with the first string or will they see the entire picture? Honestly, the Patriots had a number two corner by committee in 2021 as nobody truly stood out and both outside corner spots maybe by committee in 2022.

Stretch receiver

Nelson Agholor was brought in with big expectations from the media and fans. Some thought he would be a thousand yards receiver and were disappointed in Agholor's production. People failed to see that Agholor's production also came by running sprints and drawing coverage away from the underneath guys. The most of the few who do recognize that think anyone can lore the safety into coverage. As Patriots fans, we know that's not the case.

The Patriots had Philip Dorsett who ran a 4.33 forty time, just a hair faster than Agholor and Dorsett didn't draw coverage the way Agholor does. People assume that Tyquan Thornton can just be a plug and play will do that. We have not seen what Thorton looks like in an NFL uniform. And a lot of players with speed look good in college. If the Patriots get rid of Agholor and Thorton turns out not to be the downfield threat fans want, then defenses are going to come up like they did in 2020. 

The other thing to consider is some believe Thorton to be a deep slot guy and not an X receiver. Yes, the Patriots have parker but is Parker going to be flanker or the X in the Patriots system? IF Parker is a Z receiver and Thorton turns out to be a deep slot, who's playing the X if Agholor goes, Harry? Bourne? Meyers? Henry? At the moment, It makes sense to keep Agholor for the 2022 season or at least until the trade deadline.