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Friday, April 26, 2024

The Patriots Select Drake Maye In The First Round Of The 2024 NFL Draft

With the third pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, the New England Patriots select boom or bust quarterback Drake Maye from the University of North Carolina. Maye is the highest quarterback the Patriots have taken since the team drafted the Wile E. Coyote, the King of The North, Drew Bledsoe. Here's a scouting report on Drake Maye.

Between 2021 and 2023 Maye started 25 of 30 games. Completing 64.9% of his 618 attempts. He threw for 8,018 yards, 63 touchdowns and 16 interceptions over that span. Unfortunately, he was also sacked 70 times with 69 coming the last two seasons. Maye also averaged 4 yards a carry on 302 attempts, scoring 16 touchdowns. He even averaged 40.5 yards in two punts. Maye lost 7 of 11 Fumbles over his college career.

When it comes to the sacks, keep in mind that Mac Jones was sacked 14 more times over that span and started hearing footsteps and seeing ghosts. If Maye plays before the Patriots line is fixed, that could be him.

Drake Maye is 6'4" 223 lbs and 21 years old, so he should have a decade of football at the least if he pans out. Let's look at all his pros and cons according to the various media scouting reports.

Pros:
-Prototype build
-Athletism
-Escape artist
-Velocity 
-Arm strength
-Throws off platform
-Throwing motions
-Accuracy
-Pocket play
-Awareness
-Processor
-Decision making
-IQ
-Field vision
-Nerves

Cons:
- Making adjustments after the snap
- Inconsistent throwing mechanics/stances
- Inconsistent footwork
- Poor decision making
- Hesitates to make decisions
- Tends to hold onto the ball
- Risk taker
- Average pocket presence
- Poor throws under pressure
- Unnecessarily puts the ball in harm's way
- Throwing between coverages/defenders
- Forces throws
- Throws with too much velocity
- Bubble thrower
- Inconsistent accuracy, misses open targets
- Sails sideline throws
- Accuracy declines when play breaks down
- Goes with the first read too often
- Too many paper cuts (quick passes)
- Doesn't lead receivers
- Tucking the ball while running
- Doesn't slide when should
- Average mobility
- Cerebral escape artist
- Not a runner by design


The Boom:

A big, strong passer, Maye has impressive arm talent and can throw with velocity and accuracy, whether it's firing passes over the middle or launching deep rainbow passes. He also has good touch and ball placement on their deep throws. When it comes to reading the defense, he takes what's given to him and make precise throws, even fooling defenders with their eyes.

He's not just limited to the pocket either, as he is mobile enough and can scramble when pressured or take off when they see an open running lane. And let's not forget his ability to throw on the run! Maye knows how to anticipate the blitz and avoid the rush. And ran UNC's simple offense better than Zappe ran the Patriots' offense.

The Bust:

Maye has a few areas where he could use some improvement. His footwork in the pocket can be inconsistent, leading to accuracy issues. He also has a longer release, which can affect his throws. Sometimes, he overthrows his targets or doesn't give his receivers a chance to make yards after the catch. He throws to the area of his receivers to much instead of to them. Additionally, Maye has a tendency to lock onto one receiver instead of going through their progressions, which allows defenders to read his eyes and make plays on the ball.

His post-snap movement recognition and pre-snap reads could use some work too. His decision-making can be questionable at times, and he has a tendency to go for the big play rather than taking what's given to him. This can lead to unnecessary sacks, turnovers, or missed opportunities. He has some areas to focus on to improve his game, especially against more complex defenses. And one has to question if he can run a more complicated offense.

Overall:

A prototypical quarterback for the modern NFL but in need of a lot of development. He will need to sit a season minimum. He also needs to learn to play the position and to stop trying to be a superstar. Not every quarterback can get away with Madden bullcrap. He has the qualities of a long term starting quarterback while simultaneously having the red flags of a bust. He needs to learn to be consistent instead of being consistently Inconsistent.

Check out how the Goat scouted him. I still trust the goat, even if he's no longer with the franchise. In Bill I trust. Like Bill I had Daniels as the top prospect for the Patriots. As unpopular as it is, I also had Nix and then McCarthy ahead of Maye. I took Maye off my board shortly after compiling the list of pros and cons for the quarterbacks in this draft back in January.

NFL comparisons per media Sources:
Justin Herbert, Jordan Love, Johnny Manziel, Eli Manning, Carson Palmer, Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Malik Willis, and personally, a big armed quarterback that I thought was a bust, that got hyped, Rob Johnson.

If I had to go with three comparisons from what I see,
Ceiling: Eli Manning (Former Giant)
Middle: Rob Johnson (Former Bill)
Floor: Johnny Manziel (Former Brown)

Here's hoping Maye can prove me wrong like Herbert did.

Sunday, April 14, 2024

McCarthy May Not Be The Potential Reward Maye Is But He's Also Not The Potential Damage That Maye Is.

Wanna watch people turn as red as a fire truck? Criticize Drake Maye or say that JJ McCarthy is capable of being drafted at the number three spot. Back in January, I thought Maye wasn't accurate or cerebral enough and was a 'Boom or Bust' prospect. Later, I compiled a list of pros and cons from every media scouting report I could find, listing all the pros and cons of over 20 quarterback draft prospects for the current draft.

The Patriots' acting GM, offensive coordinator, and head coach all spoke about what they want in a quarterback. Mayo said he looks for decision-making, competitiveness, and toughness. Wolf looks for winning, leadership, and composure. Van Pelt looks for decision-making, leadership, and accuracy. So, who, according to the pros and cons, fits that?

The two quarterbacks came from different situations, and the media knows that. Let's take a look at what they said about Maye and McCarthy, according to the media and see who wins.

Drake Maye
QB North Carolina R-Soph
6'4" 223 LBS
Pros:
-Prototype build
-Athletism
-Escape artist
-Velocity 
-Arm strength
-Throws off platform
-Throwing motions
-Accuracy
-Pocket play
-Awareness
-Processor
-Decision making
-IQ
-Field vision
-Nerves

Cons:
- Making adjustments after the snap
- Inconsistent throwing mechanics/stances
- Inconsistent footwork
- Poor decision making
- Hesitates to make decisions
- Tends to hold onto the ball
- Risk taker
- Average pocket presence
- Poor throws under pressure
- Unnecessarily puts the ball in harm's way
- Throwing between coverages/defenders
- Forces throws
- Throws with too much velocity
- Bubble thrower
- Inconsistent accuracy, misses open targets
- Sails sideline throws
- Accuracy declines when play breaks down
- Goes with the first read too often
- Too many paper cuts (quick passes)
- Doesn't lead receivers
- Tucking the ball while running
- Doesn't slide when should
- Average mobility
- Cerebral escape artist
- Not a runner by design

J.J. McCarthy
QB Michigan Jr
6'2" 219 LBS
Pros:
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Athletism
-Extends plays
-Toughness 
-Pocket presence
-Accuracy
-Leads pass catchers
-Looks off defenders
-Processor
-Reads
-Nerves

Cons:
-Build
-Struggles under pressure
-Inconsistent pocket awareness
-Risk taker, forces throws
-Field vision
-Decision making
-Inconsistent accuracy
-Late trigger puller, especially on deep balls
-Inconsistent throwing outside numbers
-Lacks touch
-Relies on athletism
-Game manager
-Developmental

McCarthy has been called a game manager at worst, meaning he can effectively manage a game and lead a team to victory by avoiding mistakes. He's tough, and one of the criticisms against him is that he only knows how to win, so he didn't have a lot of game footage to showcase. Another knock on him is that he never had to play from behind. However, McCarthy has consistently shown his ability to convert third downs when needed.

On the other hand, Maye had a tough 2024 season. Reports on him ended up seeing his pros and cons, canceling each other out. Unlike McCarthy, who is criticized for being a game manager at his worst, Maye is seen as an inconsistent risk taker, which could be a potential bust.

While I personally consider Daniels and Nix as better passers than both quarterbacks, McCarthy has recently moved ahead of Penix for me, becoming the third-best quarterback prospect for the Patriots. Based on what the Patriots have said they look for in a quarterback, McCarthy aligns more with their criteria than Maye does.

If Maye is selected, I'll accept it, but I understand the risks involved. He'll have to prove himself to remove the bust label. On the other hand, even at his worst, McCarthy seems to offer what we saw from Mac Jones in 2021. I'll hold him to that expectation until he proves himself.

I listen to people talk about Maye and it's like someone going to a casino and betting three paychecks on a hand of poker, being advised that they cannot make rent if they lose, and them being like 'yeah, but if I win I can pay rent for the year and that's worth risking homelessness.' Maye is not a safe pick even though he's a consensus top three prospect, so it's gonna take balls and a lot of faith to select him. Does Wolf have that kind of confidence, will the Krafts force his hand, or will he pass on Maye when the time comes? Not everyone gets as lucky as rhe Chargers did with Herbert, boom or bust prospects tend to be busts more than not.

Sunday, April 7, 2024

73 Priority Draft Prospects For The New England Patriots In 2024.

So I have my Patriots big board with 292 prospects on it. This year instead of shrinking the board after free agency, I am doing something different and listing the prospects they need to prioritize based on team needs from the 292 prospects on my board. There are a total of 73 priority prospects playing six positions, that our Patriots should target out of necessity. 

QB:
Bo Nix, Oregon
J.J. McCarthy, Michigan
Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
Sam Hartman, Notre Dame
Carter Bradley, South Alabama
Davius Richard, NC Central
Parker Mckinney, Eastern Kentucky 

X-WR:
Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio St.
NT:
Evan Anderson, Florida Atlantic
Cam Jackson, Florida
McKinnley Jackson, Texas A&M,
Deron Irving-Bey, Ferris St

Outside CB:
Caelen Carson, Wake Forest
Mike Sainristil, Michigan
Cam Hart, Notre Dame
Kamal Hadden, Tenn 
Nate Wiggins, Clem, 
Cooper DeJean, Iowa, 
Ryan Watts, Texas, 
Lorando Johnson, Arkansas,
Isaiah Hazel, Charlotte,
Marcus Banks, Miss St,

Jaden Hicks, Washington State
Malik Mustapha, Wake Forest
Josh Proctor, Ohio St
Maxen Hook, Toledo
Elijah Jones, Boston College

I am uncertain if Wolf will draft by need and skill or if he will go completely off prospect star and census ranking. With Belichick, it was a little easier to figure out his style. Too many fans and media members seem to just want the team to draft the consensus best ceiling available at certain positions. That in my opinion is a sure way to stockpile draft busts in every round. I'm not saying don't take high ceiling guys but the body of work and the red flags matter. So does the system fit.

Also, you don't change a system completely for one player. McDaniels showed that with Cam Newton. He let Cam run but when it was time to pass he expected him to be a passer and not just a guy who can throw to an area. Hopefully Wolf gets that as well or he's gonna mess the team up more.

Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Although Daniels Is Risk To Injury, Maye Still Has The Riskier Floor.

Few weeks ago, Jerod Mayo talked floor of Drake Maye and his (Maye) supporters have been pouncing on the comment because they don't want to talk his floor. Phil Perry recently talked about Mayo's comment on the Patriots Nation Network podcast.

Phil would say that Daniels's floor "is RG3" and that "Daniels not playing," is his floor. And then said "it's a coach's job to make sure the player never sees his floor." 

RG3's career stretched from 2012 to 2020. He started 42 of his 56 games. His injury history did hurt his career, no doubt but he still played almost a decade in the NFL. Griffith played three seasons with Washington.

For Drake Maye, his floor is Johnny Manziel. Manziel played in the NFL for two seasons, from 2014 to 2015. He started 8 of 14 games. Manziel was too big a developmental prospect for the NFL. Even though he had a very high ceiling, his career was done after two seasons.

The thing with Drake Maye is his floor is while his ceiling is non existent according to some, other think his floor is near bottomless. The Patriots do not have the talents in 2024 for Maye to succeed. And odds are, they will not have the talent in 2025 for him to succeed either.

If one is okay with sitting Maye for two seasons to develop, while drafting him at number three, then fine take him. If one wants him to play by no later than 2025, the team will most likely not be ready. With Daniels, the Patriots only need to sit him for a year. And his development is basically teaching him to throw over the middle and how to run as a quarterback. They can do that in a year.

Now for the fans that want a rookie to start year one, I don't like saying it but McCarthy is the quarterback as the Patriots are closest to his Michigan team. They have a strong running game, two tight ends, and a left tackle short of McCarthy's offensive line. McCarthy's floor is Case Keenam and his ceiling is Kirk Cousins. And Keenam has played in 80 games thus far.

I doubt they're going to get a chance at Caleb Williams who's floor is Ryan Leaf. So of the three, the worst floor is Drake Maye of the probable selections.