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Wednesday, January 31, 2024

First Patriots Big Board Of The 2024 Offseason.

Names come and go but February first seems like time to start listing names on a big board for the Patriots draft. The prospects were originally listed in order with help from the PFF simulator but PFF changed their order. Who and what the Patriots need is always debatable. Tackle, True X, Free Safety, Nose Tackle, and Third down receiving back are still the five positions I think they need the most.

I don't know if they need a new quarterback or if they need to actually develop Mac. I don't like any of the quarterbacks being taken before round three and I think Mac is a better passer then them all but I expect the Patriots to take one no later than round four, regardless of where I like them. Daniels is my top passers in the draft, even for AVP's system.

(Updated 4/16/24)

QB(10):
Bo Nix, Oregon
J.J. McCarthy, Michigan
Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
Sam Hartman, Notre Dame
Carter Bradley, South Alabama
Davius Richard, NC Central
Parker Mckinney, Eastern Kentucky 

RB/FB(29):
Jaylen Wright, Tennessee 
Blake Corum, Michigan 
Ray Davis, Kentucky
Will Shipley, Clemson
Braelon Allen, Wisconsin
Cody Schrader, Missouri
Isaac Guerendo, Louisville 
Dylan Laube, New Hampshire
Frank Gore Jr, Southern Miss
Jase McClellan, Alabama 
Isaiah Davis, South Dakota State 
Deshaun Fenwick, Oregon St
Rasheen Ali, Marshall
Blake Watson, Memphis
Jawhar Jordan, Louisville
Jakobi Buchanan, Army (Fullback)

WR(36):
Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio St.
Malik Nabers, LSU
Brian Thomas, LSU
Ladd McConkey, Georgia
Ricky Pearsall, Florida 
Kion Coleman, Florida State
Jermaine Burton, Alabama
Xavier Legette, South Carolina
Malachi Corley, Western Kentucky
Jacob Cowing, Arizona
Malik Washington, Virginia 
Johnny Wilson, Florida St
Javon Baker, UCF 
Anthony Gould, Oregon ST
Ryan Flournoy, SE Missouri St
Lideatrick Griffin, Mississippi St
Jalen Coker, Holy Cross
Bub Means, Pitt

TE/Hback(19):
Brock Bowers, Georgia
Cade Stover, Ohio State
A.J. Barner, Michigan
Tip Reiman, Illinois 
Theo Johnson, Penn St
Dallin Holker, Colorado St.
Ben Sinnott, Kansas State
Jaheim Bell, Florida St
Bryson Nesbit, North Carolina
Brevyn Spann-Ford, Minnesota 
Erick All, Iowa
Marshel Martin IV, Sacramento St
Baylor Cupp, Texas Tech,
Owen Glascoe, LIU (Fullback)

OT(27):
Joe Alt, Notre Dame
J.C. Latham, Alabama
Amarius Mims, Georgia
Jordan Morgan, Arizona
Tyler Guyton, Oklahoma
Patrick Paul, Houston
Blake Fisher, Notre Dame
Javon Foster, Missouri
Garret Greenfield, South Dakota State
Josiah Ezirim, Eastern Kentucky
Anim Dankwah, Howard
Giovanni Manu, British Columbia
Travis Glover, Georgia State

IOL(25):
Zack Frazier, West Virginia
Cooper Beebe, Kansas State
Drake Nugent, Michigan 
Trevor Keegan, Michigan 
Mason McCormick, South Dakota State
Tanor Bortolini, Wisconsin
C.J. Hanson, Holy Cross
Zak Zinter, Mich,
Javion Cohen, Miami,
Sataoa Launoa, Utah, 
Andrew Raym, Okl, 
Matthew Jones, OH ST,
Will Putnam, Clem, 
Duke Clemons. UCLA, 
Bryan Hudson, Louisville, 
Avery Jones,  Auburn, 
Hunter Nourzad, Penn St,

IDL(27):
Kris Jenkins, Michigan
Tyler Davis, Clemson
Evan Anderson, Florida Atlantic
Jaden Crumedy, Mississippi State
Tim Smith, Alabama
Gabe Hall, Baylor
Jesus Gibbs, Towson
Cam Jackson, Florida

End/OLB/Edge(33):
Chop Robinson, Penn St
Marshawn Kneeland, West Michigan
Mohamad Kamara, Colorado St
Brennan Jackson, Washington State
Tyrone Hopper, Missouri
Jaylen Harrell, Michigan
Zion Tupuola-Fetul, Washington
Jalyx Hunt, Houston Christian
Eyabi Okie, Charlotte
Justin Blazek, UW-Plattville
Laiatu Latu, UCLA, 
Adisa Isaac, Penn St, 
Richard Jibunor, Troy, ED
J.J. Weaver, UK, ED
Jordan Davis, Miss St, 
Stephen Herron, Louisville, 
Ayodele Adeoye, Sacramento St, 
Mase Funa, Oregon
Trajan Jeffcoat, Arkansas 
Jalen Green, Madison

ILB(24):
Junior Colson, Michigan
Tommy Eichenberg, Ohio State
Curtis Jacobs, Penn St
Trevin Wallace, Kentucky
Payton Wilson, NC State

CB(33):
D.J. James, Auburn
Caelen Carson, Wake Forest
Mike Sainristil, Michigan
Jarrion Jones, Florida State
Max Melton, Rutgers 
Andru Phillips, Kentucky
Cam Hart, Notre Dame
Chau Smith-Wade, Washington State
Myles Harden, South Dakota
Willie Drew, Virginia State
Micah Abraham, Marshall
Terrion Arnold, Ala, 
Nate Wiggins, Clem, 
Cooper DeJean, Iowa, 
Kamari Lassiter, Georgia, 
Kalen King, Penn St, 
Ryan Watts, Texas, 
Jaden Davis, Miami, 
Lorando Johnson, Arkansas,
Isaiah Hazel, Charlotte,
Marcus Banks, Miss St,
Kris Abrams-Draine, Missouri 

S(22):
Tykee Smith, Georgia 
Jaden Hicks, Washington State
Beau Brade, Maryland
Malik Mustapha, Wake Forest
Tyler Owens, Texas Tech 
Josh Proctor, Ohio St
Maxen Hook, Toledo
Elijah Jones, Boston College

K(2):
Will Reichard, Alabama
Joshua Karty, Stanford

LS(2):
William Mote, Georgia
Peter Bowden, Wisconsin

P(1)
Austin McNamara, Texas Tech

I have had a streak of having the Patriots take names from my board for years now, my average is 56% over the past 6 years. Last season I had two drafted (Andrews, Ryland) and then they did bring in Tavai as a udfa for like a second, which was the third prospect from my list but doesn't count. I do have fullbacks/Hbacks on the list and moved Elijah Jones to safety where I think he'll play at the next level. 

Update:
Since 2018 the percentage of players I have gotten correct from my board is: 56%

2024: 50%
2023: 17%
2022: 60%
2021: 55%
2020: 50%
2019: 70%
2018: 88%

This board was the first board where I only shrunk it to remove quarterbacks because Wolf was said not to care about the things Belichick did.

Saturday, January 27, 2024

Pros And Cons Of The 2024 NFL Rookie Class Per Media Scouts

I went throught and compiled a list of all the red flags of every quarterback prospect. And to be honest, without seeing any pros of the prospect, not a single prospect looks like they're worth better than a fourth round draft selection, And considering just red flags, that tells me that no prospect is ready leaving college to be a year one starter.

Now I am going to add in the pros from media scouts. I want you to look at how contradictory the two lists are. And ask you to compare the two and really think about what team scouts are seeing and why they cannot rely on media scouts.

Quarterback Prospects

Caleb Williams 
QB USC (Concensus number one)
Pros:
-Build
-Arm talent
-Velocity
-Arm strength
-Throws off platform
-Accuracy
-Leads pass catchers
-Field Vision
-Processor/Cerebral 
-Reads defenses
-Pocket awareness
-Decision making
-Ball security
-Mechanics
-Athletism
-Extends plays
-Fights for extra yards
-He's a sports entertainer

Cons:
- Holding the ball too long
- Doesn't trust his reads
- Doesn't take easy opportunities, always goes for the big play
- Inconsistent footwork
- Throws off his back foot
- Compact throwing motion
- Gets nervous, hears footsteps, has happy feet
- Overly aggressive risk-taker
- Throws across his body
- Tends to unnecessarily extend plays
- Relies too heavily on arm strength
- Relies too heavily on athleticism
- Limited experience with timing-based offenses
- Below average pre-snap read ability
- Undersized
- Takes unnecessary sacks
- Doesn't throw the ball away when needed
- Struggles to fit the ball between coverages/defenders
- Inconsistent short accuracy
- Often locks on to his main receiver
- Fumbles are an issue

Quote: "The biggest area Williams can prove himself is as an anticipatory passer on three- and five-step drops. Because the USC offense failed to incorporate favorable looks with pistol formations, play-action rollouts, and combination routes that could spur open looks, Williams’ processing might be more in question than they should be," Ian Valentino.

Drake Maye
QB North Carolina
Pros:
-Prototype build
-Athletism
-Escape artist
-Velocity 
-Arm strength
-Throws off platform
-Throwing motions
-Accuracy
-Pocket play
-Awareness
-Processor
-Decision making
-IQ
-Field vision
-Nerves

Cons:
- Making adjustments after the snap
- Inconsistent throwing mechanics/stances
- Inconsistent footwork
- Poor decision making
- Hesitates to make decisions
- Tends to hold onto the ball
- Risk taker
- Average pocket presence
- Poor throws under pressure
- Unnecessarily puts the ball in harm's way
- Throwing between coverages/defenders
- Forces throws
- Throws with too much velocity
- Bubble thrower
- Inconsistent accuracy, misses open targets
- Sails sideline throws
- Accuracy declines when play breaks down
- Goes with the first read too often
- Too many paper cuts (quick passes)
- Doesn't lead receivers
- Tucking the ball while running
- Doesn't slide when should
- Average mobility
- Cerebral escape artist
- Not a runner by design

Quote: "Beyond his natural talent, Maye shows off very promising operational qualities for a young QB. There are still a few mechanical issues for him to chip away at, and his occasional lapses in decision making can be frustrating. But overall, Maye’s mental game is just as exciting as his physical upside," Ian Cummings.

Jayden Daniels
QB LSU
Pros:
-Athletism
-Foot speed
-Toughness
-Ball security
-Protects body as runner
-Playmaker
-Pocket Awareness
-Improviser
-Deep Accuracy
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion
-Awareness
-Field Vision
-Calm
-Manipulates Defenders/coverages
-Release

Cons:
-Age (24)
-Build / Small frame
-Field vision
-Lack of arm strength
-Wobbly release
-Follow through on delivery 
-Inconsistent accuracy on throws under 15 yards
-Late delivery
-Inconsistently goes through progressions
-Throwing over the middle
-Doesn't throw enough outside the pocket 
-Lacks balance
-Fails to leave pocket
-Doesn't slide
-Development

Quote: "Overall, Daniels has an exciting floor as a prospect. He is a veteran-like presence in the pocket, and he's far and away the best athlete in the class at the position. Daniels' average arm talent and inconsistent accuracy may limit his ceiling, but it's hard to imagine him totally flaming out. Daniels would be best in an offense that leans into his rushing ability and vertical passing, similar to Kyler Murray or Jalen Hurts," Derrik Klassen.

Michael Penix Jr.
QB Washington
Pros:
-Athletism
-Toughness
-Vision
-Throwing motion
-Arm Strength
-Velocity 
-Accuracy
-Throws off platform 
-Processor
-IQ
-Field Vision
-Pocket Awareness
-Aggressive risk taker
-Extends plays
-Offensive system

Cons:
-Age (24)
-Injuries
-Stiff
-Not a playmaker
-off script play
-Ignores gimmies in search of big plays
-Risk taker
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion
-arm strength
-accuracy
-Timing
-Footwork
-Struggles under pressure 

Quote: "For teams that want to chuck it down the field with a heavy dose of play action, Penix is an interesting dice roll. His live arm, aggressiveness and moments of progression passing give him a shot to stick in the NFL. With that said, Penix's lack of touch, shaky pocket management and minimal ability to create plays will limit his ceiling in the pros," Derrik Klassen.

J.J. McCarthy
QB Michigan
Pros:
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Athletism
-Extends plays
-Toughness 
-Pocket presence
-Accuracy
-Leads pass catchers
-Looks off defenders
-Processor
-Reads
-Nerves⁰

Cons:
-Build
-Struggles under pressure
-Inconsistent pocket awareness
-Risk taker, forces throws
-Field vision
-Decision making
-Inconsistent accuracy
-Late trigger puller, especially on deep balls
-Inconsistent throwing outside numbers
-Lacks touch
-Relies on athletism
-Game manager
-Developmental

Quote: "It’s evident that McCarthy has talent to work with. His issues are ones that will likely need a redshirt year. Either that or experience in a system that will allow him to do more in terms of  progressions and reads. He likely won’t show a lot of growth in that Michigan scheme which would be a good reason for him to enter the draft," Tyler Forness.

Bo Nix
QB Oregon
Pros:
-Athletism
-Fast
-Velocity
-Arm strength
-Accuracy
-Anticipation throws
-Quick game
-Off platform throws
-Throwing motion
-mechanics
-Eyes
-Extends play
-Playmaker
-Reads

Cons:
-Ran simple college offense
-Questionable football IQ
-Ran lots of screens
-Game appears too fast for him
-Inconsistent footwork
-Inconsistently reads defenses
-Lacks idea pocket awareness
-Fails to throw the ball away
-Hero complex
-Inconsistent decision making
-Occasional bubble thrower
-Deep arm strength
-Field vision
-Fails to look off intended target 
-Feels nonexistent pressure
-Happy feet

Quote: "Nix will ultimately be a dice roll on traits. His athleticism and arm talent can be game-changing if honed correctly. With that said, it's a little worrisome that Nix is still unrefined in some areas as an older prospect with a ton of games under his belt. Nix would fit best in a spread-oriented offense that emphasizes RPOs, the quarterback run game and vertical passing," Derrik Klassen.

Michael Pratt
QB Tulane
Pros:
-Build
-Prototype pocket passer
-Field general 
-Arm strength
-Velocity 
-Mechanics 
-Throwing motion
-Footwork
-Vision
-Throws off platform
-Manipulates Defenders
-Anticipation throws
-Decision making
-Processor
-Deep accuracy 
-Athletism

Cons:
-Lacks arm strength
-Throws outside the numbers
-Throwing motion
-Internal Clock
-Cautious
-Field vision
-Sticks to first read
-One read and go
-Prefers contact to sliding
-Stiffness
-Lacks athletism
-Lacks pocket awareness 
-Footwork
-Projects as a low end starter

Quote: "Operationally, Pratt is well-rounded, with a competitive toughness that underlies his game. Suffice it to say, he should be coveted as a high-quality backup in the middle rounds, who could eventually go on to produce as a spot-starter in the right system," Ian Cummings.

Spencer Rattler
QB South Carolina
Pros:
-Experience
-Footwork
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Release
-Mechanics
-Off platform throws
-Athletism
-Accuracy
-Pocket awareness
-Decision making
-Gun slinger mentality 

Cons:
-Timing throws
-Field vision
-Back peddles under pressure
-Decision making
-Overly aggressive 
-High velocity thrower
-Ball placement 
-Pocket presence
-Footwork 

Quote: "He profiles as a developmental QB with backup utility early in his career, but Rattler has the physical tools to potentially grow into a starter," Ian Cummings.

Jordan Travis
QB Florida State
Pros:
-Athletic playmaker
-Extends plays
-Running ability
-Arm Strength
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Toughness
-Anticipation throws
-Plays off platform
-Decision making
-Play action ability
-Quick game
-Deep accuracy 
-Nerves

Cons:
-Age (24)
-Arm strength
-Deep velocity
-Deep accuracy
-Pocket Awareness
-Poor release
-Inconsistent ability to read zone coverage
-Anticipation throws
-Struggles to read zone coverage
-Forces throws
-Footwork, Throws off back foot
-Mechanics
-Small frame
-Ball security
-Injuries

Quote, "Travis is a creative mobile quarterback with an explosive running style, but he lacks the lower body mechanics and pocket presence to warrant a high draft pick," NFL Draft bible.

Sam Hartman
QB Notre Dame
Pros: 
-Release
-Throwing motion
-Athletism
-Toughness
-Extends plays
-Footwork
-Mechanics 
-Processor
-Decision making
-Leads pass catchers
-Pocket Presence

Cons:
-Age (25)
-Arm Strength
-Lack velocity
-Sped up clock
-Field vision
-Mechanics
-Accuracy
-Risk taker
-Average talent

Quote: "Hartman’s age and lack of high-end physical traits will limit his range as a 2024 NFL Draft prospect, and he doesn’t quite have the requisite operational profile to compensate. But in the late Day 3 range, he could field an investment as a passer with long-term quality backup potential," Ian Cummings.

Joe Milton
QB Tennessee
Pros:
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Accuracy
-Throwing motion
-Release
-Mechanics
-Build
-Size
-Pocket Awareness
-Aggressive bomb thrower
-Mobility 
-Fights for extra yards

Cons:
-Age (24)
-See it throw it
-Awkward runner
-Overly cautious
-Experience
-Locks on target
-Not anticipatory
-Bubble thrower
-Relies on play-action
-Fastball thrower
-Streaky
-Inaccurate outside the pocket
-Mechanics

Quote: "As a late-round developmental QB option, Milton’s physical talent does produce intrigue — but as a 24-year-old rookie, he’s shown very little as a processor and independent decision-maker. In the NFL, QBs need to be adaptable, and Milton’s tape at Tennessee was the antithesis of that," Ian Cummings.

Jason Bean
QB Kansas
Pros:
-Athleticism
-Playmaker 
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Release
-Throwing motion
-Progressions
-Anticipation throws
-Pocket Presence
-Aggressive passsr

Cons:
-Underweight
-Arm strength
-Footwork / stants
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion
-Raw
-Ball placement
-Eyes
-More of an athlete then quarterback.

Quote: "Jason Bean grades out as an early-to-mid Day 3 prospect in the 2024 NFL Draft on my board. He’s one of the most compelling depth prospects in the 2024 class, and there’s a reasonable avenue for him to be a quality QB3 and backup candidate early in his NFL career," Ian Cummings.

Austin Reed
QB Western Kentucky
Pros:
-Prototype size
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Deceptive athletism
-Manipulates defenders
-Anticipation throws
-Leads pass catchers
-Pocket Awareness
-Game manager

Cons:
-Average arm
-Average mobility
-Fastball thrower 
-Over disciplined
-Footwork
-Throwing motion
-Inconsistent Accuracy
-Telegraphs target
-Mechanics under pressure
-Risk taker
-Moves out of the pocket
-Doesn't improvise 

Quote: "Reed grades out as a late-round or potential PFA prospect in the 2024 NFL Draft. He’s not exceptional in any area, but as a well-rounded prospect with enough physical talent and operational utility, he’d be a solid pick late on Day 3 as a prospective backup," Ian Cummings.

Devin Leary
QB Kentucky
Pros:
-Pocket movement
-Accuracy
-Anticipation throws
-Extends plays
-IQ
-Reads
-Velocity
-Mechanics
-Accuracy
-Release

Cons:
-Age (25)
-Lacks velocity
-Arm strength
-Inconsistent Accuracy 
-Not a playmaker
-Footwork
-Alerts defender to target
-Pocket movement
-Injury prone

Quote: "At his peak, Leary was a surgical pocket passer with competent creation ability and above-average functional arm talent. But late in his career, compounded injuries and a lack of supporting stability may have taken a toll on his overall comfort," Ian Cummings.

Brennan Armstrong
QB NC State
Pros:
-Athletism
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Off platform throws
-Pocket presence
-Toughness
-Accuracy
-Anticipation throws

Cons:
-Age (25)
-Not a mobile threat
-Doesn't have the arm to throw 50 passes a game
-Throwing motion
-Stares down intended target
-Field vision
-Relies on arm strength too much
-Slow trigger
-Footwork
-Pocket Awareness
-Cowards under pressure

Quote: "His regression in 2022 was very stark, and on tape, there are a number of concerning tendencies that throw Armstrong’s NFL projection into question," Ian Cummings.

John Rhys Plumlee
QB UCF
Pros:
-Athletism
-Mechanics
-Footwork 
-Toughness
-Short accuracy

Cons:
-Undersized
-Small frame
-Arm Strength
-Footwork
-Pocket movement
-Eagerness to hotdog
-Looks for the deep ball
-Stares down reads
-Decision making
-One read and run scheme

Quote: "As a pure passer, Plumlee may always be a bit limited. He’s over-reliant on his creation ability to a fault, and he doesn’t have the high-level anticipation or processing to take on substantial reps at the NFL level, " Ian Cummings. 

Gavin Hardison
QB UTEP
Pros:
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Aggressive bomber
-Athletism
-Toughness

Cons:
-Age (24)
-Career completion percentage
-Pocket movement
-Mechanics
-Sacks, had no protection
-Development

Phil Jurkovec
QB Pittsburgh
Pros:
-Athletism
-Leadership
-Awareness
-Anticipation throws
-Back shoulder throws
-Accuracy
-Velocity 

Cons:
-Age (25)
-Arm Strength
-Slow reads
-Late trigger
-Risk taker
-Throwing motion
-Mechanics
-Stiff
-Changed position in 2023

Kedon Slovis
QB BYU
Pros:
-Arm strength
-Throwing motion
-Athletism
-Mechanics
-Pocket presence
-Looks of defenders
-Patience
-Takes gimmie passes
-Timing
-Confidence
-Reads

Cons:
-Inconsistent strength and velocity
-Inconsistent prosser
-Not a runner
-footwork
-Release timing
-Off script passer
-Slow progressions
-Reads
-Risk taker, forces throws
-Inconsistent Accuracy 
-Slow clock

Frank Harris
QB UTSA
Pros:
-IQ
-Progressions
-Decision making
-Throwing motion
-Accuracy
-Throw on the run
-Deceptive mobility

Cons:
-Age (24)
-Undersized
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Velocity
-Arm Strength
-Competition level

Collin Schlee
QB UCLA
Pros:
-Field vision
-Athletism
-Accuracy
-Arm strength
-Pocket presence
-Leadership

Cons:
-Footwork
-Decision making
-Arm Strength
-Processing 

Davius Richard
QB NC Central
Pros:
-Size
-Athletism
-Leadership
-Clutchness

Cons:
-Mechanics
-Pocket Awareness
-Field vision
-Inconsistent accuracy

Tanner Mordecai
QB Wisconsin
Pros:
-Extends plays
-off script
-velocity
-Athletism
-Field vision
-Reads
-Accuracy
-Arm strength

Cons:
-Bubble thrower
-Risk taker
-Footwork
-Deep accuracy 

Emory Jones
QB Cincinnati
Pros:
-Athletism
-Field vision 
-Release
-Extends plays 

Cons:
-Small frame
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion
-Footwork

Spencer Sanders
QB Ole Miss
Pros:
-Athletism
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Accuracy
-Extends plays 

Cons:
-Undersized
-Ball placement
-Rushes reads
-Risk taker

Jack Plummer
QB Louisville
Pros;
-Experience
-Arm strength
-Throwing motion
-Mobility
-Footwork
-Awareness
-Field vision
-Manipulates Defenders
-Accuracy

Cons:
-Age
-Lacks arm talent
-Not idea playmaking ability
-Deep accuracy
-Footwork
-Release
-Ball placement
-Mechanics
-Field vision
-Awareness
-Risk taker, forces throws

Theo Day
QB Northern Iowa
Pros:
-Arm strength
-Pocket presence
-Mobility
-Velocity
-Accuracy
-Field vision
-Confidence
-Size

Cons:
-Ball Security
-Throwing motion
-Decision making under pressure

Grant Gunnell
QB Sam Houston State North Texas
Pros:
-Athletism
-Velocity
-Deep Accuracy
-Arm strength
-Ball security

Cons:
-Mechanics
-Footwork
-Decision making
-Risk taker
-Pocket presence
-Sped up clock
-Ball security

Carter Bradley
QB South Alabama
Pros:
-Prototype build
-Mobility
-Accuracy
-Arm strength
-Throwing motion
-Velocity
-Pocket awareness
-Nerves
-Toughness
-Decision making

Cons:
-Experience
-Size and frame
-Deep accuracy, overthrows
-Slow
-Holds the ball
-Reads
-Mechanics 

Garrett Shrader
QB Syracuse
Pros:
-Pocket presence
-Release
-Accuracy
-Progressions
-Manipulates defenders
-Athletism
-Toughness
-Running ability 

Cons:
-Age (24)
-Poor Strength
-Lacks velocity
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion and release
-Pocket awareness
-Timing
-Risk taker, forces passes

Taulia Tagovailoa
QB Maryland
Pros:
-Velocity
-Throwing motion
-Off platform throws
-Athletism
-Awareness
-Manipulates Defenders
-Accuracy
-Mechanics
-Footwork
-Anticipation throws
-Decision making 

Cons:
-Age (24)
-Size
-Inconsistent velocity
-Deep passes
-Aggression
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Release
-Field vision
-Timing
-Hesitant
-Decision making under pressure 

Zach Calzada
QB Incarnate Word
Pros:
-Arm strength
-Athletism
-Size
-Quick release

Cons:
-Risk taker
-Indecisive, holds the ball
-Deep passes
-Mechanics 

Jeremy Moussa
QB Florida A&M
Pros:
-Mechanics
-Footwork
-Pocket movement
-Spreads the ball
-Athletism

Cons:
-Mechanics 
-Footwork
-Decision making
-Pre-snap reads
-Processor

Jason Brown
QB Jackson State
Pros:
-Arm strength
-Velocity
-Reads
-Athletism

Cons:
-High screen offense
-Ball placement
-Mechanics
-Undersized 

Davis Brin
QB Georgia Southern
N/A

Jalon Jones
QB Charlotte
Pros:
-Arm strength 
-Mechanics
-Athletism
-Decision making
-Velocity

Cons:
N/A

Mark Gronowski
QB South Dakota State
Pros:
-Pocket movement
-Athletism
-Velocity

Cons:
N/A

Jalen Mayden
QB San Diego State
Pros:
-Size
-Athletism
-Pocket movement
-Decision making 

Cons:
N/A

John Paddock
QB Illinois
N/A

Chance Nolan
QB Oregon State
N/A

Layne Hatcher
QB Ball State
N/A

Six of my top 10, including my top four quarterbacks all returned for the 2024 season. My top passers remaining are ranked as follows, Daniels, Nix, Penix, Pratt, Williams, Maye, Rattler, McCarthy. As you can see from the pros and the cons listed from media scouting reports, people don't all see the same things.

I don't know how accurate the reports are who is a bust and who isnt but I'm not a fan of taking any of these quarterbacks before round three. I think teams are gonna over draft and be disappointed in this quarterback class. Also if all my quarterbacks had come out, Caleb Williams would be the 11th best passer (not quarterback) in the draft, instead of the fifth in my opinion. And I think he runs a serious risk of turning into Ryan Leaf.

Since I'm a Patriots fan and not big on the quarterbacks, I would have the Patriots trade down and use the extra picks to get a receiver and two tackles. I would have the Patriots drafting a middle round quarterback to sit and develop behind Mac Jones for a season. Mac will either prove himself without Belichick or allow the team to develop his successor in 2024.

Friday, January 26, 2024

Patriots Coaching Staff Still Has Questions

Bill Belichick didn't get the Falcons job but I'm not writing him off yet. There's still a chance with Kansas City. If Belichick doesn't get a job by the 2025 Draft, then I'll accept he's done.

With the offensive coordinator, Bring in McDaniels and then bring in an assistant offensive coordinator slash position coach that ia a flight Risk to teach McDaniels the McVeigh system and let their title be known, so that to pouch them, they have to get an OC job.

The Patriots need to try to do everything to keep the defensive staff. The team needs to take advantage of the time that Bill Belichick is currently affording them and lock up the staff. If Bill doesn't get a job in 2024, the team can build chemistry to realize they can be good without Belichick.

Until we see what's going on with Bill Belichick, the coaching staff is gonna have questions and uncertainty. Only time will tell but the Patriots need to make sure they're working until the draft. Maybe not that long but close enough. 

Saturday, January 20, 2024

Quarterback Prospects For The 2024 NFL Draft

Every year, every prospect list is the same. Here's why you should draft <insert name here>. But this year, I wanted to switch things up and actually compile the cons about every player, so people can make an informed decision. Oh, and I'm sorry I haven't been writing much this season. Work has been crazy, and I couldn't find the time to watch games.

Here are the quarterbacks in this draft and their cons according to media scouts. Which guy sounds like someone you'd want in uniform? I'm betting that without seeing their pros, many of these guys sound too risky for most. And that's probably why NFL teams might not be head over heels for any of them.

Quarterbacks (42)

Caleb Williams 
QB USC (Expected to be the first QB taken, does his cons agree with that)
- Holding the ball too long
- Doesn't trust his reads
- Doesn't take easy opportunities, always goes for the big play
- Inconsistent footwork
- Throws off his back foot
- Compact throwing motion
- Gets nervous, hears footsteps, has happy feet
- Overly aggressive risk-taker
- Throws across his body
- Tends to unnecessarily extend plays
- Relies too heavily on arm strength
- Relies too heavily on athleticism
- Limited experience with timing-based offenses
- Below average pre-snap read ability
- Undersized
- Takes unnecessary sacks
- Doesn't throw the ball away when needed
- Struggles to fit the ball between coverages/defenders
- Inconsistent short accuracy
- Often locks on to his main receiver
- Fumbles are an issue

Drake Maye
QB North Carolina
- Making adjustments after the snap
- Inconsistent throwing mechanics/stances
- Inconsistent footwork
- Poor decision making
- Hesitates to make decisions
- Tends to hold onto the ball
- Risk taker
- Average pocket presence
- Poor throws under pressure
- Unnecessarily puts the ball in harm's way
- Throwing between coverages/defenders
- Forces throws
- Throws with too much velocity
- Bubble thrower
- Inconsistent accuracy, misses open targets
- Sails sideline throws
- Accuracy declines when play breaks down
- Goes with the first read too often
- Too many paper cuts (quick passes)
- Doesn't lead receivers
- Tucking the ball while running
- Doesn't slide when should
- Average mobility
- Cerebral escape artist
- Not a runner by design

Jayden Daniels
QB LSU
-Age (24)
-Build / Small frame
-Field vision
-Lack of arm strength
-Wobbly release
-Follow through on delivery 
-Inconsistent accuracy on throws under 15 yards
-Late delivery
-Inconsistently goes through progressions
-Throwing over the middle
-Doesn't throw enough outside the pocket 
-Lacks balance
-Fails to leave pocket
-Doesn't slide
-Development 

Michael Penix Jr.
QB Washington
-Age (24)
-Injuries
-Stiff
-Not a playmaker
-off script play
-Ignores gimmies in search of big plays
-Risk taker
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion
-arm strength
-accuracy
-Timing
-Footwork
-Struggles under pressure 

J.J. McCarthy
QB Michigan
-Build
-Struggles under pressure
-Inconsistent pocket awareness
-Risk taker, forces throws
-Field vision
-Decision making
-Inconsistent accuracy
-Late trigger puller, especially on deep balls
-Inconsistent throwing outside numbers
-Lacks touch
-Relies on athletism
-Game manager
-Developmental

Bo Nix
QB Oregon
-Ran simple college offense
-Questionable football IQ
-Ran lots of screens
-Game appears too fast for him
-Inconsistent footwork
-Inconsistently reads defenses
-Lacks idea pocket awareness
-Fails to throw the ball away
-Hero complex
-Inconsistent decision making
-Occasional bubble thrower
-Deep arm strength
-Field vision
-Fails to look off intended target 
-Feels nonexistent pressure
-Happy feet 

Michael Pratt
QB Tulane
-Lacks arm strength
-Throws outside the numbers
-Throwing motion
-Internal Clock
-Cautious
-Field vision
-Sticks to first read
-One read and go
-Prefers contact to sliding
-Stiffness
-Lacks athletism
-Lacks pocket awareness 
-Footwork
-Projects as a low end starter

Spencer Rattler
QB South Carolina
-Timing throws
-Field vision
-Back peddles under pressure
-Decision making
-Overly aggressive 
-High velocity thrower
-Ball placement 
-Pocket presence
-Footwork 

Jordan Travis
QB Florida State
-Age (24)
-Arm strength
-Deep velocity
-Deep accuracy
-Pocket Awareness
-Poor release
-Inconsistent ability to read zone coverage
-Anticipation throws
-Struggles to read zone coverage
-Forces throws
-Footwork, Throws off back foot
-Mechanics
-Small frame
-Ball security
-Injuries

Sam Hartman
QB Notre Dame
-Age (25)
-Arm Strength
-Lack velocity
-Sped up clock
-Field vision
-Mechanics
-Accuracy
-Risk taker
-Average talent

Joe Milton
QB Tennessee
-Age (24)
-See it throw it
-Awkward runner
-Overly cautious
-Experience
-Locks on target
-Not anticipatory
-Bubble thrower
-Relies on play-action
-Fastball thrower
-Streaky
-Inaccurate outside the pocket
-Mechanics

Jason Bean
QB Kansas
-Underweight
-Arm strength
-Footwork / stants
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion
-Raw
-Ball placement
-Eyes
-More of an athlete then quarterback 

Austin Reed
QB Western Kentucky
-Average arm
-Average mobility
-Fastball thrower 
-Over disciplined
-Footwork
-Throwing motion
-Inconsistent Accuracy
-Telegraphs target
-Mechanics under pressure
-Risk taker
-Moves out of the pocket
-Doesn't improvise 

Devin Leary
QB Kentucky
-Age (25)
-Lacks velocity
-Arm strength
-Inconsistent Accuracy 
-Not a playmaker
-Footwork
-Alerts defender to target
-Pocket movement
-Injury prone

Brennan Armstrong
QB NC State
-Age (25)
-Not a mobile threat
-Doesn't have the arm to throw 50 passes a game
-Throwing motion
-Stares down intended target
-Field vision
-Relies on arm strength too much
-Slow trigger
-Footwork
-Pocket Awareness
-Cowards under pressure

John Rhys Plumlee
QB UCF
-Undersized
-Small frame
-Arm Strength
-Footwork
-Pocket movement
-Eagerness to hotdog
-Looks for the deep ball
-Stares down reads
-Decision making
-One read and run scheme

Gavin Hardison
QB UTEP
-Age (24)
-Career completion percentage
-Pocket movement
-Mechanics
-Sacks, had no protection
-Development

Phil Jurkovec
QB Pittsburgh
-Age (25)
-Arm Strength
-Slow reads
-Late trigger
-Risk taker
-Throwing motion
-Mechanics
-Stiff
-Changed position in 2023

Kedon Slovis
QB BYU
-Inconsistent strength and velocity
-Inconsistent prosser
-Not a runner
-footwork
-Release timing
-Off script passer
-Slow progressions
-Reads
-Risk taker, forces throws
-Inconsistent Accuracy 
-Slow clock

Frank Harris
QB UTSA
-Age (24)
-Undersized
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Velocity
-Arm Strength
-Competition level

Collin Schlee
QB UCLA
-Footwork
-Decision making
-Arm Strength
-Processing 

Davius Richard
QB NC Central
-Mechanics
-Pocket Awareness
-Field vision
-Inconsistent accuracy

Tanner Mordecai
QB Wisconsin
-Bubble thrower
-Risk taker
-Footwork
-Deep accuracy 

Emory Jones
QB Cincinnati
-Small frame
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion
-Footwork

Spencer Sanders
QB Ole Miss
-Undersized
-Ball placement
-Rushes reads
-Risk taker

Jack Plummer
QB Louisville
-Age
-Lacks arm talent
-Not idea playmaking ability
-Deep accuracy
-Footwork
-Release
-Ball placement
-Mechanics
-Field vision
-Awareness
-Risk taker, forces throws

Theo Day
QB Northern Iowa
-Ball Security
-Throwing motion
-Decision making under pressure

Grant Gunnell
QB Sam Houston State North Texas 
-Mechanics
-Footwork
-Decision making
-Risk taker
-Pocket presence
-Sped up clock
-Ball security

Carter Bradley
QB South Alabama
-Experience
-Size and frame
-Deep accuracy, overthrows
-Slow
-Holds the ball
-Reads
-Mechanics 

Garrett Shrader
QB Syracuse
-Age (24)
-Poor Strength
-Lacks velocity
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Throwing motion and release
-Pocket awareness
-Timing
-Risk taker, forces passes

Taulia Tagovailoa
QB Maryland
-Age (24)
-Inconsistent velocity
-Deep passes
-Aggression
-Footwork
-Mechanics
-Release
-Field vision
-Timing
-Hesitant
-Decision making under pressure 

Garrett Nussmeier
QB LSU
-Arm strength
-Throwing motion
-Run first
-Mechanics
-Decision making 

Zach Calzada
QB Incarnate Word
-Risk taker
-Indecisive, holds the ball
-Deep passes
-Mechanics 

Jeremy Moussa
QB Florida A&M
-Mechanics 
-Footwork
-Decision making
-Pre-snap reads
-Processor

Jason Brown
QB Jackson State
-High screen offense
-Ball placement
-Mechanics
-Undersized 

Davis Brin
QB Georgia Southern
N/A

Jalon Jones
QB Charlotte
N/A

Mark Gronowski
QB South Dakota State
N/A

Jalen Mayden
QB San Diego State
N/A

John Paddock
QB Illinois
N/A

Chance Nolan
QB Oregon State
N/A

Layne Hatcher
QB Ball State
N/A

It took me a solid 10 hours to gather all the cons from the consensus board prospect list. Surprisingly, there were 7 guys who didn't have any cons listed. Either there were no reports on them or the reports conveniently ignored any negatives. It's quite rare to find someone who dares to compile a list like this, focusing on why these guys shouldn't be drafted.

Just a friendly reminder, these cons are from media scouts, not professional scouts. So, there's a chance that the media might have missed something or maybe they're right on point.

For all you Patriots fans out there, I want you to compare these cons to what you already know about Mac and Zappe. Which of these prospects are worse or at least on the same level as the current quarterbacks in the room? And how many of them have cons that make them sound better than Mac or Zappe? With the cons, I'm curious what a prospect needs to do to stand out and elevate themselves above the current room in people's opinions.

Thursday, January 18, 2024

Mayo Spoke And Spoke A Lot.

Mayo has been making the rounds in the media and there is a lot to decipher. Most of what he had said has been repetitive but there were a few things that he said that stuck out.

First it sounded like Mayo agreed that the Belichick end in New England didn't go as planned but that after the 2023 season, that it was time.

Mayo said he doesn't like yes men. He wants to he challenged by his staff and the front office. However, he doesn't seem to feel the same way about the players. I'll get into that later.

Mayo said titles are important but people have to have a role to be a round. It kinda sounded like he was taking a shot at some of the people that have been around the organization the past few seasons. Imying that people aren't just gonna be in the building to be in the building.

Mayo at the press conference brought up the quote that coaches lose games, the entire quote didn't really seem needed for the question asked. Almost made it seem like he was blaming Bill for some of the losses.

Kraft said he didn't see color and Mayo followed up by saying he was going to diversify the locker room. I thought the team was pretty mixed if we're talking racially, Mayo added to that talking to Mike Reiss, sounding like talent took a backseat to ethnicity, and that the Patriots were trying too hard to diversify.

Mayo said to be successful, he's gotta basically build a good staff. That was a no brainer but he also said he has to listen to the staff. Mayo said he'll take advice but he's gonna do his own thing. Mayo said he's not Bill Belichick but implied he was gonna carry on the work ethic installed by Bill.

Mayo said he doesn't just wanna have leaders but develop players and coaches when asked about coaching philosophy. Mayo implied talking to Reiss that football will be taking a backseat to mental health.

Getting back to the players, Mayo said he doesn't want vocal critics in the locker room. Mayo also said he wants his players to enforce the culture and hold each other accountable in and off the field.

Mayo basically said the clicks & voices of the echo chamber are gone or aren't gonna be tolerated. Giving a warning to players and coaches.

Mayo got asked about the quarterback position and while he said the same thing he said repeatedly, he added "its up to the guys under contract to be leaders." That could mean many things but I think it means that there could be a quarterback competition coming regardless if they bring in a new guy. He spoke with Mike Reiss and came across as if he thinks the quarterbacks on staff are underdeveloped. Mayo told Phil Perry concerning the offense that there's a difference between developing and coaching.

Mayo implied that the Patriots way of everyone saying the company line is gone. This could be taken as players are going to be allowed to be themselves but it also could mean that players are gonna be allowed to address things with the media.

Mayo acknowledged that he is not Bill. There will be some carry over from Belichick but the team may not be run like a corporation any longer and that could be a good thing or a bad thing.  Only time can tell.

Saturday, January 6, 2024

A Lot Of Things Circling The Patriots Organization As The 2023 Season Ends

I have been silent since November 11, 2023. I haven't been able to catch a lot of the games this season, so I have not been writing. There are some stories going around that seem worth noting. And I do have a question or two concerning them.

Trent Brown hasn't been too happy with the front office and coaching staff. He's been dealing with injuries and some reports suggest that he may have been mentally checked out early on in the season. Odds are he won't be back in 2024.

The Patriots are in need of some major changes when it comes to their offensive coaching staff. The dysfunction is a cause for concern. There were some issues with the leadership and decision-making within the staff. Josh McDaniels is in New England reportedly and whether it's replacing O'Brien with McDaniels or getting new staff completely, an overhaul is needed. I do agree with those calling to replace Troy Brown but with who?

The dysfunction has had the quarterbacks not communicating. Reportedly the two quarterbacks haven't been helping each other because of the tension in the organization. And is Justin Fields headed to New England? Also like with Bill O'Brien, reviving the question from 2021, was Mac Jones getting drafted when Bill could've moved up for Fields, a Robert Kraft decision after seeing how Cam Newton (a Bill's guy and mobile quarterback) play?

There were a lot of internal factors at play that contributed to Mac Jones being broken mentally. It's important for a team to provide the necessary support and resources to help their players thrive both on and off the field. The organization needs to learn from this experience and make the necessary changes to create a healthier work environment for their players.

Bringing back McDaniels as a quarterback coach while he collects money from the Raiders could possibly fix Mac Jones but the Patriots should still invest in a quarterback because of the damage done.

Someone has gone on the offensive against Mayo. Mayo addressed it saying the person needs to come to him and that he did some self reflecting. The timing suggests someone who either wants the spot or that is trying to protect Belichick. 

Nick Caserio has been thrown around as a potential GM and front office candidate. It's unknown if he would wanna return and it doesn't make sense unless Bill is removed from the GM role. Caserio helped build some of Brady's teams and could be a sign that R.K.K. although moving on from Belichick, wants to relive the 2010s decade.

Belichick reportedly wanted Matt Patricia to continue to work on installing the Shanahan offense but Kraft wanted Bill to bring back Billy O. and to return to the Brady offense. Belichick in return limited O'Brien's power. Who's really against evolving the offense Robert or Bill?

Ownership is considering their options and looking towards Mayo as a potential direction. It's clear that a deep conversation between ownership and Coach Belichick is long overdue. It's important for them to have an open and honest discussion about the team's future and how they can move forward. 

Jonathan Kraft could play a crucial role in the discussion between the Patriots and Coach Belichick. His perspective and opinions might have a significant influence on the final decision.

Don't close the door on the Belichicks in New England just yet. And there is a good chance at least Steve stays on the staff if Bill moves on, in a defensive coordinator capacity.

The chargers appear a defensive head coach away from a Superbowl birth. Trading Belichick to the Chargers is a possibility but would Kraft wanna risk handing the Superbowl to another AFC team, would he be willing to potentially make Belichick sit out to avoid him coaching elsewhere?

Who put out the information that Belichick has suitors? Did the Krafts do it to make Bill wanna leave? Did Bill do it to make the Krafts think he has options, did an NFL source or the media come up with it to create a wedge between ownership and Belichick? Did a possible successor put the word out to try to get Bill out of the way?

We know Kraft got involved with Jimmy G being shipped out. And we know he played a hand with Brady up until Brady left. Why is it not possible that Kraft had his hands in the 2021 Draft and why is it not possible that he meddled this season more than just demanding that Belichick bring back O'Brien? So is Bill truly at full blame for the downfall of the Patriots since Brady left and if Bill leaves, is it because Robert wanted him out of the way or because Bill showed to much decline?

Some will say that "Robert Kraft has never meddled before" but to that I say he also never ordered Bill to hire a coach until 2023. He never released a statement throwing shade at Belichick like the one he did at the end of the 2022 season. Kraft has been doing things that Kraft hasn't been known for. And furthermore he has meddled with the quarterback situation in the past. The dysfunction starts with Robert Kraft and trickles downward.

To what end the blame falls, we do not know for certain but some blame falls on Robert Kraft, owner of the New England Patriots. And the rest falls on Bill Belichick. This isn't about dividing the fan base. This is about looking at things, asking questions and trying to find answers to those questions, so that responsibility gets placed properly.