Friday, January 22, 2021

2021 Quarterback Prospect List.

2021 NFL Quarterback Prospects with scouting reports of the Patriots prospects. To make the list, a freshman must be a 2 year freshman. Players should meet the 100 attempt a season for 2 seasons attempt requirements or come very close. My exact formula for scoring I will keep to myself. 

Quick note: Winning percentage, starts, game winning drives, 4th quarter comebacks, bowl game appearances, and bowl game wins were not calculated in the scoring.

While the ranking is mine, This offseason, I'm letting others give the scouting reports for the quarterbacks. At the time of completing this list, all information pointed to all quarterbacks declaring for the NFL Draft

Mac Jones 6'3" 214 Alabama Jr. score: 88.565
ATT: 556, COMP 74.30, Yards 6126, TD 56, INT 7, RAVG .8 , RYard 37, RTD 2

Per Walter Sharp: "PROS: Mac Jones has great balance when he throws the football. He also has been very consistent on a lot of his throws. Jones uses his great throwing mechanics to successfully complete his passes. Mac Jones has a great football IQ and works through all his options before dumping the football off to his last option.

Mac Jones' patience in the pocket helps him make great decisions while throwing the football. His pocket presence is great for the NFL because he rarely throws the football into risky situations. His build is a great fit for the NFL to sustain hits from the NFL pass rushers.

CONS: The biggest knock on Alabama quarterback Mac Jones is that he is not very mobile. The direction that the NFL is heading it could be tough for Mac Jones to be successful. His deep throw accuracy could use some work, he tends to sail the ball on deep throws. If we look at his short to mid range passing numbers there is a big difference between those passes and the deep balls that he throws. Many NFL scouts fear that they would have to place the perfect situation around Mac Jones for him to be successful."

Should be an ideal fit for the Patriots 

Justin Fields 6'3" 228 Ohio St. Jr. Score:87.558
ATT: 618, COMP 68.40, Yards 5701, TD 67, INT 9, RAVG 4.4, RYard 1066, RTD 19

First, let me say that this one should surprise my friend Ray over at DPN. Ray is an OSU fan and does not have much faith in Fields. I value Ray's opinion but Fields scored very well by my formula.

Per Bobby Bishop: Pros: "Very good vision as a runner. Good speed, probably in the 4.5 range. He doesn’t leave the pocket too soon as some scramblers do and has a very good pocket presence. He hangs in the pocket and makes good throws, even when a hit is impending.

He was very composed in his interview after losing in the College Football Playoffs. Coaches rave about his leadership abilities. He takes care of the ball—only one interception in the regular season which was the receiver’s fault.

He has great arm talent with extreme arm strength and velocity. He throws an accurate catchable deep ball that he can place exceptionally. He is good at making impromptu plays—great scrambler and thrower on the run. He is very tough and played the last few games of the season on a hurt left knee."

Cons: "Needs to slide as a runner to protect his body. He has had a knee injury and a finger injury already—not quite injury prone yet. Has a few footwork issues to clean up. His field vision still needs to develop in some areas.

He sometimes sticks with his first option, even if the receiver isn’t open. Doesn’t always read the safeties well. He hasn’t shown the composure to lead a game-winning drive. His only opportunity last season was the final drive in the College Football Playoffs—need a bigger sample size before we say he is incapable."

Dustin Crum 6'3" 201 Kent St. Sr. Score: 86.708 Returned to school
ATT: 483, COMP 68.40, Yards 4214, TD 35, INT 6, RAVG 4.3, RYard 1360, RTD 12

Trevor Lawrence 6'6" 220 Clemson Jr. Score:84.230
ATT: 1138, COMP 66.60, Yards 10098, TD 90, INT 17, RAVG 4.10, RYard 943, RTD 18

Being Compared to former NFL legend and superbowl winning quarterback, doesn't hurt this future number one overall draft selection. Trevor scored fourth highest but that doesn't mean I don't know that he's going number one. Remember, not every sure thing, first overall lives up to the hype. So I don't feel bad with him not being ranked number one on my list.

Per Walter Sharp: "PROS: The arm talent that he has is top notch. He can fit the football into tight windows and throws the ball with great confidence. His pocket presence is amongst the best and will be helpful in the NFL. Trevor Lawrence is patient when it comes to letting play develop. He does not panic when he is receiving heat from the defensive pass rush.

Trevor Lawrence is not afraid to tuck the football and run. His size is a key attribute when he runs the football. He takes long strides and is not afraid to lower his shoulders and deliver a hit on defenders. The best thing about Trevor Lawrence is that he is a winner. He has a winner mentality and can lead a football team on and off the football field.

CONS: There are times where Trevor Lawrence is too confident in his arm talent. He has gotten away with some throws at Clemson that he won't get away with in the NFL. There has been times where he decides where he is going to throw the football before the ball is snapped. He tends to lock in on his first read. This ties in with the decision of who he is going to throw the football to before its snapped. By doing this he fails to get to his second and possible third reads. His accuracy down the sideline could be improved. The downfall to how great Trevor Lawrence is that it can get him in trouble quick in the NFL."

Zach Wilson 6'3" 210 BYU Jr. Score: 80.492
ATT: 837, COMP 67.60, Yards 7652, TD 56, INT 15, RAVG 3.00, RYard 642, RTD 15

Per Dynasty Draft Room: "NFL Projection Wilson’s game is dependent on how consistently he can get his feet set and use his lower body to help him control the football as if he does he is very accurate. Wilson can use different arm angles and is able to operate a short passing attack with rollouts, screens, and quick game elements. He is a good athlete who can avoid defenders to extend plays and pick up yards as a scrambler. While generally playing poised he struggles to read defenses, leading to turnovers and missed opportunities. Wilson projects as an eventual starting QB in a west coast type offense thanks to his accuracy and mobility. To take his game to the next level he has to improve his footwork and become better at reading and understanding defenses on a consistent level."

Kyle Trask 6'5" 240 Florida Sr. Score: 80.290
ATT: 813, COMP 67.90, Yards 7386, TD 69, INT 15, RAVG .40, RYard 54, RTD 8

Per Kevin Knight, "Trask suffers from the same problem as NDSU’s Trey Lance: he’s only been a starter for a few years and is understandably raw at the position. He also lacks the athletic traits of the top QB prospects in the class and isn’t a threat in the run game whatsoever. However, Trask does have excellent size for the position at 6’5, 239 and is about as resilient in the pocket as they come.

Trask put together a strong season in 2019, and looks to be improving on his numbers in 2020. Currently, Trask has thrown for 2810 yards (10.3 YPA) at a 71.4% completion rate, with 34 TD and just 3 INT. He’s a quick and efficient passer in the short-to-intermediate area of the field, and looks downright elite when targeting this area. However, he has mechanical issues that limit his effectiveness downfield. Coupled with what appears to be a fairly average arm, Trask doesn’t offer the same ceiling as the 1st round QBs on this list. With some development, the right scheme, and a strong supporting cast, Trask can clearly be a quality NFL starter—but the question of “does he offer enough?” comes to mind."

Ian Book 6'0" 206 Notre Dame Sr. Score:77.623
ATT: 1141, COMP 63.8, Yards 8947, TD 72, INT 20, RAVG 4.20, RYard 1571, RTD  17

Per Crabbs of the Draft Network: "PROS (+): He's a mobile passer who has the mobility to break the pocket as he needs to when faced with pressure. His high points are pretty notable and offer some good flashes of both velocity and placement. He's very much a rhythm passer, when he's on he is capable of capturing lightning in a bottle and testing defenders with his arm. He's flashed most in the deeper throws, lofting good touch on vertical shots and affording his receivers winnable balls down the field. Foot quickness is a big plus, he'll break contain on the first arriving defender and convert into sandlot style plays with relative quickness and without panic.

CONS (—): For all of his mobility and his upside to break the pocket, he can fall way too reliant on doing so and lacks the consistent feel of the rush and the pocket. He'll get himself into trouble looking to extend plays because he doesn't know when to quit them all together and live to fight another down. He doesn't have prototypical size and he'll miss throws within the pocket if faced with tight quarters because he'll struggle to throw around the large bodies Notre Dame implements along their offensive front. He doesn't have the natural ability in his arm to live and die with such a free-weilding process and I get some Shea Patterson vibes as I watch him play in high volumes."

Zac Thomas 6'1" 210 App State Sr. Score: 77.451
ATT: 914, COMP 63.00, Yards 6979, TD 69, INT 23, RAVG 4.4, RYard 1301, RTD 19, REC 1, CTD 1

Per Ian Cummings, "As evidenced by his stats, Thomas is a multifaceted quarterback who has the running ability that teams look for in the modern NFL. He’s proactive producing on the ground and has toughness as a runner that can invigorate his teammates."

"Thomas’ arm isn’t anything to write home about, but he can still generate decent velocity when he’s in rhythm. He has good accuracy in the short and intermediate ranges, and he has a nice, compact throwing motion. Thomas can work on being more crafty with his eyes (which will come with time), comfort, and mental development. Given his success at the college level, as well as his experience and drive, he should be able to get a chance somewhere in the NFL if he continues his production in 2020."

Sam Ehlinger 6'3" 225 TEXAS Sr. Score: 76.778
ATT: 1476, COMP 62.50, Yards 11436, TD 94, INT 27, RAVG 3.4, RYard 1903, RTD 33

Ehlinger is a day 3 development guy who comes in and learns behind a veteran for a season or two.

Per Ryan Wilson, "Ehlinger's athleticism and toughness are his best attributes, but the other side of that coin is that he leaves himself open to too many hits, either in the pocket while trying to buy time or in the open field when he's a ball carrier. But he also does some things well as dropback passer that will intrigue NFL teams. The question, as is often the case with young players, is consistency."

Davis Mills 6'4" 225 Stanford Sr. Score:76.574
ATT: 437, COMP 65.4, Yards 3464, TD 18, INT 8, RAVG 1.40, RYard 86, RTD 3

Per John Blair, "Stanford quarterback Davis Mills is an intriguing developmental quarterback prospect in the 2021 NFL Draft class. Mills has had an up and down career at Stanford as he struggled with turnovers and consistency. However, he was the highest-rated quarterback coming out of high school in 2017 and shows some traits that make you think he could develop with the right coaching.

One of the traits that make you think he could be a good developmental quarterback is his strong arm. He can easily throw any pass in an NFL offense and shows nice zip on intermediate passes. He also is able to throw with nice touch and throws an easily catchable ball when he throws the ball accurately.

Unfortunately, his accuracy can be off at times due to poor footwork. He struggles when being forced to move in the pocket as he doesn’t always throw with his feet underneath him. He also tends to throw with a poor base, which leads to accuracy issues. While these concerns did have an impact on him in college, with the right quarterback coach in the NFL he could fix this issue and improve in this area."


Peyton Ramsey 6'2" 220 NWEST Sr. Score: 76.457
ATT: 1234, COMP 65.20, Yards 8314, TD 54, INT 31, RAVG 2.8, RYard 1079, RTD 17

Per the Draft Lords as of June 2020. Pros: "One thing is for sure, Ramsey has some arm strength and puts good velocity on the football. His footwork is solid when he gets a clean pocket. He can step up and really drive the ball in tight spots. His feet are active as he’s going from read to read. His arm is very snappy and he has really good placement on his deep ball. He’s strong in the screen game, putting the ball in a good spot and upfield so the receiver can catch it and go. He senses backside pressure well and has average to above-average athleticism to allow him to escape and gain extra yards."

Cons: "His feet get over-active and it throws his mechanics off when there is even the slightest bit of pressure. When he’s off-platform, his mechanics go out the window. He’ll throw off of his backfoot and while some QBs can be accurate doing so, Ramsey is not. His over-aggressive with his deep ball, throwing up “ef it” balls and throwing into double, sometimes even triple, coverage. He has some touch but when he does put touch on the ball, his accuracy isn’t there and he doesn’t have a sense of zone depths for a defense when he needs touch. His accuracy as a whole is lacking, consistently putting balls low or behind receivers."

Malik Cunningham 6'1" 200 Louisville Jr. Score: 76.341
ATT: 549, COMP 63.00, Yards 5151, TD 43, INT 18, RAVG 4.8, RYard 1588, RTD 18

Comparing Cunningham to RG3, Alex Barbour gave this summary of what to expect from Cunningham as a prospect.

"Grab the popcorn. If you want a show, Cunningham is your guy. He can provide you with thriller action, suspenseful horror, and everything in between. His rare combination of athleticism and anticipation provides excellent building blocks for a quarterback that can sit behind a great decision maker like Alex Smith. Crippled mentally by his scheme, the future appears bright for Cunningham, but his scheme may have crippled him to the point of no return for NFL teams. Only time will tell whether Cunningham will be an unbelievable boom or a horrific bust."

Feleipe Franks 6'6" 228 Arkansas Sr. Score: 75.016
ATT: 860, COMP 61.60, Yards 6700, TD 55, INT 21, RAVG 2.20, RYard 642, RTD 9

Ian Cummings wrote,  "At 6-foot-6, 228 pounds, he’s a tall quarterback, but he moves fairly well for his size. He’s a good athlete with enough speed and lateral agility to manipulate the pocket, and he can also produce as a runner. He had some very impressive plays on the ground, especially his touchdown carry against LSU late in the year....

In addition to his passive mental work, Franks can also be more aware of how his eyes impact defensive backs. He will stare his targets down a bit too often, and in the NFL, that’s an invitation for a potential turnover. His mental work also erodes a bit under pressure. Franks has the mobility to extend the play, but sometimes he struggles to keep his eyes downfield, and he can also throw the ball away more often to avoid sacks...

Franks has some starting potential with his physical talent. Additionally, it’s promising that he improved his accuracy in 2020. However, as of now, Franks is a Day 3 pick who can latch on with a team in need of quarterback depth or developmental potential."

Levi Lewis 5'10" 184 LALAF Sr Score: 74.031
ATT: 787, COMP 61.50, Yards 6282, TD 52, INT 14, RAVG 4.0, RYard 745, RTD 9

Per Carter Donnick of the Draft Network. "Crabbs saw a lot of similarities between Louisiana QB Levi Lewis and the two star passers (Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray).

'If Kyler Murray ran 4.65, had an average arm, and was left-handed, this is who (Lewis) would be,' Crabbs half-joked in his evaluation.

Standing at just 5-foot-10, 190 pounds, Lewis and his left arm are an odd and quirky combination, but as Crabbs noted, he wins in an abundance of ways without having to meet the prototypical thresholds for the QB position. Putting up excellent production for the Ragin’ Cajuns, Lewis' arm won’t ever be considered a howitzer, but he can simply get the job done both as a runner and passer."


Shane Buechele 6'1" 207 SMU Sr. Score: 73.934
ATT: 1507, COMP 63.20, Yards 11660, TD 87, INT 32, RAVG 1.6, RYard 478, RTD 8

The jury is still out on whether Buechele is a day 3 development starter or career back. Here's what Marino if the Draft Network wrote.

"PROS: Quickly mastered the Air Raid system at SMU and it just looks like he’s playing catch with his targets. Makes good decisions with the football and puts it on his targets with good accuracy. Generally a good vertical passer and SMU’s scheme gives him plenty of space to lay it out for his weapons. Showcases good mobility within the pocket and he does well to feel the rush, keep his eyes down the field, step up and find his outlets. Illustrates the ability to hit throws with anticipation. Father and brother both played professional baseball. Began his career at Texas. 

CONS: Burps the baby into an elongated windup throwing motion on nearly every throw outside of quick game. Arm strength is average at best - the ball dies on him when working outside the numbers, especially from the opposite hash. Longer throws become more inconsistent with accuracy because of what it takes for his body to generate the force needed to cover the distance. Modest athlete that can move within the pocket but working outside the pocket to extend plays won’t yield much production. Pedestrian physical traits that will face a big adjustment to the pro game. "


Alan Bowman 6'3" 215 Texas Tech So. Score: 73.017
ATT: 713, COMP 67.00, Yards 5254, TD 33, INT 17, RAVG -.2, RYard -9, RTD 2

Per Draft Dynasty: Pros: "Bowman can move outside the pocket. His feet are quick enough to extend plays. He throws a solid jump ball as a whole, and Bowman shows flashes of good touch on his passes. His arm is pretty solid, preventing him from under throwing receivers."

Cons: "His mechanics are a mess at this point. He throws a lot of passes of his back foot. When under pressure, he tends to just heave the ball up. He is inaccurate to all levels of the field. Bowman also has a really long motion that allows defenders to adjust and make a play on the ball. He really struggled as a passer under most circumstances."

Spencer Sanders 6'1" 205 Oklahoma St. So. Score: 72.433
ATT: 494, COMP 62.8, Yards 4072, TD 30, INT 19, RAVG 3.70, RYard 897, RTD 4,

Per the Dynasty Room:
Pros: "Sanders has an elite arm. His velocity and arm strength are good as it gets for the position. He can make any throw in the book, and his arm strength does not diminish on the run. His deep ball is great, hitting receivers in stride. He is really athletic for the position, extending plays with his legs, while also being a weapon in the ground game. He is really fast, creating situations where he can break off big runs."

Cons: "His decision making isn’t where it needs to be for the next level. He plays carelessly while taking a lot of risks with the football. Sanders’ footwork and mechanics are off, forcing him to rely solely on his natural abilities to complete passes. His accuracy at this point is all over the place. Working out of structure is when things start to negatively impact his accuracy."


Jake Bentley  6'4" 220 Utah Sr. Score: 72.376
ATT: 1126, COMP 62.40, Yards 8409, TD 61, INT 38, RAVG 1.10, RYard 256, RTD 9

Per TDN : Pros: "Jake aligns at QB for the Ute spread offense. He is an average athlete with regards to his mobility both in and out of the pocket. He does a good job with subtle movements to slide and step up in the pocket to avoid the rush. In the passing game, he is sufficient overall. He's been productive distributing the ball within his scheme at South Carolina. He does a good job of going through his progression then checking it down when necessary. He can throw the 5 route from the opposite half with sufficient velocity. He throws a catchable ball and has above average accuracy on his deep ball. Bentley does a good job feeling the rush on the backside, stands strong in the pocket with A-gap pressure and will deliver the football under duress."

Cons: "Bentley's overall athleticism is average and he isn’t a legitimate threat to the defense with his legs. He does have subtle movements in and out of the pocket to buy himself some time but this isn’t a strength. His arm strength is average and his accuracy on the move was inconsistent. He hasn’t been a great decision maker and turnovers have been an issue for him. He missed most of 2019 with a foot injury and it should be researched as he goes through the process as well. 

Chase Garbers 6'2" 225 California Jr. Score: 72.343
ATT: 611, COMP 61.40, Yards 4049, TD 34, INT 16, RAVG 3.2, RYard 718, RTD 7

Dynasty Draft Room
Pros: "His accuracy is as good as it gets. He throws receivers open and to where they can only catch the ball. His ball placement as a whole is elite in comparison to most college quarterbacks. Garbers throws with great touch for the quarterback position. He is able to survey the field before making a throw. His release is quick. Garbers does a great job of extending plays, and it helps that he can throw on the run. Though he isn’t big, defenders have a tough time tackling him, which also helps him extend plays. He doesn’t necessarily drive the ball downfield but has good deep accuracy. Garbers tends to make good decisions with the football."

Cons: "His arm strength and velocity aren’t that good. His strength isn’t as concerning, but he does lack ideal velocity on his passes. In the modern NFL, and when evaluating players in general, accuracy is more important though. He’ll make an occasional bad decision, but most of the time it is the defense making a great play on their part."

Kellen Mond 6'3" 217 Texas A&M Sr. Score: 72.317
ATT: 1358, COMP 59, Yards 9661, TD 71, INT 27, RAVG 3.7, RYard 1609, RTD 22

Per Erik Lambart: 
"Strengths: Arm strength isn’t a need for discussion. The ball comes off his hand with plenty of velocity in a crisp spiral. Accuracy at the short and intermediate levels is good. Ball placement is also solid, rarely being put in dangerous spots. Shown ability to throw on the run. Doesn’t lose a lot of accuracy when he’s moving to his right or left. The release is compact and quick. Ball comes up and out with little wasted motion. Mobility doesn’t seem to be an issue. While not a dangerous threat, he has more than enough in his legs to get 1st downs. Not afraid to stand in there and take the hit. Will wait until the last second if necessary before making the throw. Supporting cast didn’t do him any favors. Lot of drops over the past couple of years that make his evaluation more difficult. Highly experienced. Has been starting games since his freshman year. As seasoned a QB as there will be in this draft.

Weaknesses: Size isn’t terrible but it also isn’t ideal. Listed at 6’2 but more like 6’1 and also on the thinner side for a QB. Deep ball is a concern. Whenever he starts going further downfield, the throws tend to be high or overthrow. Not a lot of touch. Doesn’t have a lot of highlight-reel throws. Particularly into traffic. Speaks to a lack of aggressiveness at times. Processor is slow. Tends to linger from one read to the next, waiting for guys to come wide open rather than open. Awareness should be called into question. Often fails to recognize where the blitz is coming from. Seems to lack poise. Doesn’t handle pressure well and tends to play his worst in big games against big opponents."


Brady White 6'3" 210 MEMP Sr. Score: 71.125
ATT: 1282, COMP 61.90, Yards 10949, TD 91, INT 31, RAVG -.1, RYard -23, RTD 7

Per Jacob Infante," White is a three-year starter for Memphis whose experience is apparent in how he throws the ball. He does a good job of hitting his receivers in stride, leading his teammates open and execute throws with an acute sense of anticipation. He is able to stretch the field with nice touch on the intermediate ball, and he has proven that he can place the deep ball in a necessary window so that the receiver can make a play on it. White is also a good athlete for the quarter position, as he has solid breakaway speed and has good agility once he gets on the move.

There are a few issues with White, as he’ll be 25 years old by the time his rookie year starts, as he redshirted his freshman year at Arizona State in 2015 and played in just two games in total from 2016 to 2017. He also has a mediocre arm and is skinny at 6-foot-3 and just 210 pounds. He probably won’t be more than a late-round pick, but he does have enough tools in his profile to warrant a draft selection."

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