Is Aaron Rodgers going to make the difference for the Jets. There's two things to go off of film and stats. I'm not gonna look at film. Now when it comes to stats, people say put an asterisks next to 2020 sports stats. Let's see if there's reason to think Rodgers is going to make a huge difference or not.
Health wise Rodgers hasn't missed an NFL game in 3 seasons. We know he has past injury concerns. I'm only looking at his past 3 years of stats, while he's been healthy, his stats don't excalty help him over that span.
Over the past 3 seasons his completion percentage has been 70.7, 68.9 and 64.6%. Thus involves things outside his control.
From a clean pocket 79.2, 74.3 and 67.4%,
His pressure completion percentages 43.1, 39.8 and 42.9
Lastly, his true completion percentage 78.3, 73.9 and 69.6
His touchdown percentages over that span are 9.1, 7 and 4.8%.
His interception percentages 1, .8 and 2.2%
His true accuracy rating according to player profiler 7.8 (13th), 7.8 (12th)
Catchall pass rate, 80.8, 79.1, 69%
QBR 85.4, 69.1 and 39.4
His protection rates, how well green bay kept him safe... 88.1, 88.9 and 85.5. So his stats weren't because he wasn't being protected.
What we see with Rodgers over the past three seasons is a drop in his ability to play quarterback.
The Jets quarterbacks had a 2.4 touchdown pass percentage and a 2.2 interceptions percentage in 2022. The Jets QBR was less than 36.
What everything tells us is that on paper is that the Jets are getting a quarterback in decline, who while might throw more touchdowns, is going to turn the ball over just as much. By himself, he doesn't move the needle enough to give them 2nd place in the AFC east.
The problem is none of the teams outside the Bill's are good enough to say they're better than 3rd in the division on paper. Those who say other wise are projecting favoritism and bias.